072
ABPZ20 KNHC 271147
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Aug 27 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lala, located several hundred miles north of Kure Atoll.

Central East Pacific (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located about 900 miles
south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Environmental conditions are expected to support continued
development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to
form later today or tonight. The system is forecast to move
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, well offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Western East Pacific (EP94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands have become a
little better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form over the next days while the system drifts to the northeast,
before turning westward this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form this weekend well to the
south of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while it moves westward
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south of the Hawaiian
Islands over the weekend or early next week. Some gradual
development is possible thereafter while the system moves slowly west-northwestward, well south-southwest of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven
&&

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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311124
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Aug 31 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located several
hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a
tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later
today or tonight, while the system moves northwestward around 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south or southwest of the
Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. Some gradual development is
possible thereafter while it moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNN

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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011114
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 1 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula, on Tropical Storm Lowell, located several
hundred miles southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on newly formed
Tropical Storm Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of
southwestern Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public advisories on Tropical Storm Marie are issued under WMO
header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Marie are issued under WMO
header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNN

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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021132
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Sep 2 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, on Hurricane Lowell, located several hundred miles
south-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Tropical Storm
Marie, located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern
Mexico over the weekend. Gradual development is possible early
next week as the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph,
and is likely to remain well offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly
NNN

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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 031124
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Thu Sep 3 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well east of the Hawaiian Islands, on Hurricane
Lowell, located several hundred miles south of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Hurricane Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form well offshore of southwestern
Mexico over the weekend or early next week. Gradual development is
possible, and the system could become a tropical depression around
the middle of next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to
15 mph, likely remaining well offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
NNN

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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041146
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Sep 4 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well east of the Hawaiian Islands, on Hurricane
Lowell, located several hundred miles south of the Hawaiian Islands,
and on Hurricane Marie, located several hundred miles west-
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure may develop well offshore of southwestern
Mexico early next week. Gradual development is possible, and a
tropical depression could form around the middle of next week while
it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, likely remaining well
offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Adams
NNN

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781
ABPZ20 KNHC 051116
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat Sep 5 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lowell, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
Hawaiian Islands, on Hurricane Karina, located about 800 hundred
miles east of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Hurricane Marie, located
several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well offshore of
southwestern Mexico early next week. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form during the second
half of the week while the system moves generally west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
NNN

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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 061131
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Sep 6 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lowell, located about 600 miles south-southwest of the Hawaiian
Islands, on Tropical Storm Karina, located several hundred miles east-northeast of the Hawaiian Islands, and on Hurricane Marie,
located several hundred miles west of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this
system is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the
middle or latter portions of this week while the system moves
generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNN

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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 081150
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Sep 8 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lowell, located just north-northwest of Lihue, Kauai, and on
Tropical Storm Marie, located several hundred miles west of Punta
Eugenia, Mexico.

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of southwestern
Mexico are showing signs of organization. Gradual development of
this system is likely, and a tropical depression is expected to
form later this week while the system moves generally
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Well South of the Southern Tip of Baja California:
An area of low pressure is forecast to develop several hundred miles
south of the southern tip of Baja California this weekend or early
next week. Some slow development is possible as this system moves
generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Evans/Kelly
NNN

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