Forum: Richard Fun House

TROPDISC: Tropical Weather Discussion

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Aug 26 23:27:36 2026

998
AXNT20 KNHC 262327
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An 1008 mb area of low
pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located a few
hundred nautical miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
near 12.5N31W. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this
system have changed little in organization over the past several
hours. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is
noted within roughly 150 nm of the center of AL96. Associated
winds and seas will spread west of 35W into the High Seas Forecast
area overnight into early Thu. Environmental conditions are
somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of days,
and a tropical depression could form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5lL9gI8AxYvO-VRcpywNG-QZV-f3GBJqoLHaMjDKbvfE5MvhhGrxPsfvlSxlSlU9Tw55qrqfKdImR9uUSheS6g1ojpI$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5lL9gI8AxYvO-VRcpywNG-QZV-f3GBJqoLHaMjDKbvfE5MvhhGrxPsfvlSxlSlU9Tw55qrqfKdImR9uUSheSA2oKubM$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W west of the Cabo
Verde Islands, south of 21N, and is associated with Invest AL96.
Please refer to the Special Features section above for more
details and the potential for tropical cyclone formation.

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W moving across the
Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south of
22N, moving quickly westward at around 25 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water,
but it may be assisting with some convection over portions of
Venezuela.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 77W, south of 21N
over eastern Cuba to portions of Jamaica to near the border of
Colombia and Panama, moving quickly westward around 20 kt. No
significant deep convection is occurring in association with this
wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula to
near the coast of the NW Caribbean Sea.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 18N17W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 12.5N31W to 10.5N45W. The ITCZ
extends from 10.5N45W to 13N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, no significant deep convection
is present near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Isolated to widely scattered showers prevail north of mainly 23N,
while generally dry conditions are present in the remainder of
the Gulf waters, except in the Bay of Campeche where a weak
surface trough is supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Weak ridging prevails across the remainder of the
basin at the surface supporting mainly gentle winds, to moderate
in the Bay of Campeche and the Straits of Florida. Seas are slight
across the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere over water, while diurnal thunderstorm activity
is over portions of Cuba and Hispaniola. Outside of the Gale
Warning area, fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate
seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W with
6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades prevail across
the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with gentle to
locally moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N between 64W and 77W, and is
also enhancing diurnal activity over portions of the western
Bahamas and Florida Peninsula. A weak surface trough runs from
north of the waters through 31N58W to 25N63W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are found within 90-120 nm either side
of the trough. To the east, a cold front extends from the Iberian
Peninsula to just northwest of the Canary Islands to 30N35W with
no noticeable convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to
strong winds associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N
between 27W and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N
between 26W and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north
of the monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh
northerly winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to
26N to the east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the
remainder of the offshore and open waters. Mainly slight seas are
west of 70W, with mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the
waters, except also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the
cold front mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Lewitsky

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 05:23:44 2026

132
AXNT20 KNHC 270523
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have slightly improved
in organization over the last several hours. However, recently
received satellite wind data suggests that the circulation is not
yet well-defined. Environmental conditions are somewhat favorable
for development over the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression could form within the next day or two as the system
moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 kt across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. However, environmental
conditions are expected to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6wZaeP69nA-4WnRaLMKmHBMilgO3GBcTVl6xFpgzsWBPKP5W0j77NkRlj5UkGi_9op5is2jSiJDqiYMie2Gr-Ii9nHY$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6wZaeP69nA-4WnRaLMKmHBMilgO3GBcTVl6xFpgzsWBPKP5W0j77NkRlj5UkGi_9op5is2jSiJDqiYMie2Gr79OZ6qs$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.

For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 05:23:46 2026

214
AXNT20 KNHC 270523
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have slightly improved
in organization over the last several hours. However, recently
received satellite wind data suggests that the circulation is not
yet well-defined. Environmental conditions are somewhat favorable
for development over the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression could form within the next day or two as the system
moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 kt across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. However, environmental
conditions are expected to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9URJ5BNGTXobRhLbMjx73RRnf2dNnR0I_oQDXnYmMM7XLl9EtAX_2nuYsPY0LxvoF7QuKkPNzx36DsYSAAT84yeucuI$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9URJ5BNGTXobRhLbMjx73RRnf2dNnR0I_oQDXnYmMM7XLl9EtAX_2nuYsPY0LxvoF7QuKkPNzx36DsYSAAT88oPo5V4$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.

For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
To unsubscribe from WX-ATLAN and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-ATLAN.
--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 08:44:54 2026

324
AXNT20 KNHC 270844
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated
with an area of low pressure, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better
organized tonight. If the current trends continue, advisories could
be initiated on a short-lived tropical depression or storm later
today. However, environmental conditions are expected to become
hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its chances for
development. This system has a high chance of tropical cyclone
formation through the next 48 hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4AHs6pDHTpGtI86sN60PRsTkF6H6ZKhqmgImxTDAPSr46Hw0YiW5fGRw2CvHUu5aVhFs1-RDF4NvTxPiLFCJ1_omT8w$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4AHs6pDHTpGtI86sN60PRsTkF6H6ZKhqmgImxTDAPSr46Hw0YiW5fGRw2CvHUu5aVhFs1-RDF4NvTxPiLFCJpwLUAEc$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.

A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.

For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.

Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.

For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 10:11:50 2026

522
AXNT20 KNHC 271011
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1005 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area
of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If
the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning
on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. This system
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next
48 hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5AswU2bPfzHkZDzGPmzmS_pnPaZ37egOeExff9Hv8TVkeetAKVJD-J0H4S2RXh6dPBUzngT0LXEv2nEQLuZlTvGIP80$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight off Colombia.

Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5AswU2bPfzHkZDzGPmzmS_pnPaZ37egOeExff9Hv8TVkeetAKVJD-J0H4S2RXh6dPBUzngT0LXEv2nEQLuZl4lib2aw$ for more
details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to 11N38W. The ITCZ continues from 11N38W to 10N59W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
04N to 15N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the northern
Gulf waters and off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient
across the basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras, SE Caribbean and off Panama and Costa Rica. Drier
conditions are noted elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present
in the north-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades
and moderate seas are occurring in the Windward Passage and the
rest of the Caribbean south of 18N. North of 18N, light to gentle
winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to locally very
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off Colombia.
Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical
development over the next couples of days. The system will bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 26N and between 58W and 63W. Similar convection is found
in the waters off NE Florida. The SW North Atlantic is dominated
by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas, west of 60W.

A cold front extends from Morocco to 26N22W to 28N34W, followed by
a stationary front north of our area. Broad high pressure also
prevails across the central and eastern tropical Atlantic,
maintaining moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in
the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical development
over the next couple of days. The system will bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 10:12:42 2026

314
AXNT20 KNHC 271012
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1005 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area
of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If
the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning
on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. This system
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next
48 hours and 7 days.

Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_9M5qzf8aLX8wKog30nsKlvsBrYHhAk2evxLLZL92uOShlJRg1AViUqcBHjf3s3KpknR5ykXm_wkIScyLyz4J-cTF_4$ for more details on
this feature.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight off Colombia.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_9M5qzf8aLX8wKog30nsKlvsBrYHhAk2evxLLZL92uOShlJRg1AViUqcBHjf3s3KpknR5ykXm_wkIScyLyz4RcbL718$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to 11N38W. The ITCZ continues from 11N38W to 10N59W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
04N to 15N and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the northern
Gulf waters and off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient
across the basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras, SE Caribbean and off Panama and Costa Rica. Drier
conditions are noted elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present
in the north-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades
and moderate seas are occurring in the Windward Passage and the
rest of the Caribbean south of 18N. North of 18N, light to gentle
winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to locally very
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off Colombia.
Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical
development over the next couples of days. The system will bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
tropical cyclone formation.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 26N and between 58W and 63W. Similar convection is found
in the waters off NE Florida. The SW North Atlantic is dominated
by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas, west of 60W.

A cold front extends from Morocco to 26N22W to 28N34W, followed by
a stationary front north of our area. Broad high pressure also
prevails across the central and eastern tropical Atlantic,
maintaining moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in
the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical development
over the next couple of days. The system will bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this weekend.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 17:27:56 2026

325
AXNT20 KNHC 271727
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1715 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Dolly is centered near 13.6N 38.7W at 27/1500 UTC
or 1350 nm E of the Leeward Islands, moving W at 21 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are 4 m in the
NE quadrant. On the forecast track, this system should be nearing
the Leeward Islands this weekend. Little change in strength is
forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolly is forecast to
degenerate into a tropical wave before it reaches the Leeward
Islands. Heavy rain from this system could begin to affect the
Leeward Islands late Saturday into Sunday, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This heavy rain may
produce flash flooding, especially in areas of higher terrain.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8Msb90QcsqMd2iLmMsIx_TU7n9L9AUoh4lM7JmI9csFccFYNYofDWBeHE1GwNN71YTK-2pNSKaj3Avzbz0tUyOdxFRA$ and the latest Dolly
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!8Msb90QcsqMd2iLmMsIx_TU7n9L9AUoh4lM7JmI9csFccFYNYofDWBeHE1GwNN71YTK-2pNSKaj3Avzbz0tUVWcrCVI$
for more details.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-
force tonight off Colombia.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8Msb90QcsqMd2iLmMsIx_TU7n9L9AUoh4lM7JmI9csFccFYNYofDWBeHE1GwNN71YTK-2pNSKaj3Avzbz0tUyOdxFRA$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa and has
been analyzed along 20.5W, south of 18N. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 06N to 14N between 20W and 24W.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 66W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82.5W, south of
20N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. The interaction with the wave
and the eastern end of the monsoon trough is supporting scattered
moderate convection south of 12N and west of 80W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17.5N16W and extends
southwestward to 10N24W to 10N47W. The ITCZ continues from 10N47W
to 11N61.5W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 11N
to 14N between 56W and 60W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is depicted north
of 27.5N between 83W and 95W, ahead of a stationary frontal
boundary located over the SE United States. Similar convection is
noted off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient across the
basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present in the north-
central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades and moderate
seas prevail across the rest of the Caribbean, except for gentle
winds and slight seas over the NW part of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the
forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the
Windward Passage at night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.6N
38.7W at 11 AM EDT, and is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central
pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly will move to 13.7N 42.0W this evening,
14.4N 46.4W Fri morning, 15.1N 51.1W Fri evening, 15.9N 55.6W Sat
morning, become post-tropical and move to 16.7N 59.5W Sat evening,
and 17.7N 63.2W Sun morning. Dolly will dissipate early Mon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the recently upgraded Tropical Storm Dolly.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 22N and between 57W and 66W. Scattered moderate
convection is also found west of 75W. The SW North Atlantic is
dominated by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas, west of 35W. A cold front
extends from 30N10W to 25N26W to 28N35W, followed by a stationary
front north of our area. Broad high pressure also prevails across
the central and eastern tropical Atlantic, maintaining moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.6N 38.7W at 11 AM EDT, and
is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly
will move to 13.7N 42.0W this evening, 14.4N 46.4W Fri morning,
15.1N 51.1W Fri evening, 15.9N 55.6W Sat morning, become post-
tropical and move to 16.7N 59.5W Sat evening, and 17.7N 63.2W Sun
morning. Dolly will dissipate early Mon.$$ KRV

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 17:28:08 2026

355
AXNT20 KNHC 271727
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1715 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Dolly is centered near 13.6N 38.7W at 27/1500 UTC
or 1350 nm E of the Leeward Islands, moving W at 21 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are 4 m in the
NE quadrant. On the forecast track, this system should be nearing
the Leeward Islands this weekend. Little change in strength is
forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolly is forecast to
degenerate into a tropical wave before it reaches the Leeward
Islands. Heavy rain from this system could begin to affect the
Leeward Islands late Saturday into Sunday, the Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This heavy rain may
produce flash flooding, especially in areas of higher terrain.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8Vb4UlleOvyUTmXRX9_mHiEfDKqh18CZYBi2oPnc5DX64E519mQw5hoBvGjymbAxeHZ2OV6kZFDmBtaaG_n--l70Px8$ and the latest Dolly
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!8Vb4UlleOvyUTmXRX9_mHiEfDKqh18CZYBi2oPnc5DX64E519mQw5hoBvGjymbAxeHZ2OV6kZFDmBtaaG_n-Dufyaak$
for more details.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-
force tonight off Colombia.

Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8Vb4UlleOvyUTmXRX9_mHiEfDKqh18CZYBi2oPnc5DX64E519mQw5hoBvGjymbAxeHZ2OV6kZFDmBtaaG_n--l70Px8$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa and has
been analyzed along 20.5W, south of 18N. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 06N to 14N between 20W and 24W.

An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 66W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82.5W, south of
20N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. The interaction with the wave
and the eastern end of the monsoon trough is supporting scattered
moderate convection south of 12N and west of 80W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17.5N16W and extends
southwestward to 10N24W to 10N47W. The ITCZ continues from 10N47W
to 11N61.5W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 11N
to 14N between 56W and 60W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is depicted north
of 27.5N between 83W and 95W, ahead of a stationary frontal
boundary located over the SE United States. Similar convection is
noted off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient across the
basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present in the north-
central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades and moderate
seas prevail across the rest of the Caribbean, except for gentle
winds and slight seas over the NW part of the basin.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the
forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the
Windward Passage at night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.6N
38.7W at 11 AM EDT, and is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central
pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly will move to 13.7N 42.0W this evening,
14.4N 46.4W Fri morning, 15.1N 51.1W Fri evening, 15.9N 55.6W Sat
morning, become post-tropical and move to 16.7N 59.5W Sat evening,
and 17.7N 63.2W Sun morning. Dolly will dissipate early Mon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the recently upgraded Tropical Storm Dolly.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 22N and between 57W and 66W. Scattered moderate
convection is also found west of 75W. The SW North Atlantic is
dominated by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas, west of 35W. A cold front
extends from 30N10W to 25N26W to 28N35W, followed by a stationary
front north of our area. Broad high pressure also prevails across
the central and eastern tropical Atlantic, maintaining moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.6N 38.7W at 11 AM EDT, and
is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly
will move to 13.7N 42.0W this evening, 14.4N 46.4W Fri morning,
15.1N 51.1W Fri evening, 15.9N 55.6W Sat morning, become post-
tropical and move to 16.7N 59.5W Sat evening, and 17.7N 63.2W Sun
morning. Dolly will dissipate early Mon.$$ KRV

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 21:23:46 2026

680
AXNT20 KNHC 272123
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Dolly is centered near 13.7N 40.7W at 27/2100 UTC
or 1240 nm E of the Leeward Islands, moving W at 21 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are currently
around 12.5 ft (4.0 m). Numerous moderate isolated strong
convection is noted within 240 nm in the SE semicircle and 90 nm
in the NW semicircle. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_SPoxCPiT3f98SkkG3FJ9hGJ5S4aUN1jXtjbMJ6LEveSugMJjwdYcQiMtcfWG5Ex7utB0hR2DEyYiZxAZJMyFbXmldA$ and the latest Dolly
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_SPoxCPiT3f98SkkG3FJ9hGJ5S4aUN1jXtjbMJ6LEveSugMJjwdYcQiMtcfWG5Ex7utB0hR2DEyYiZxAZJMyaPTFAgg$
for more details.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-
force tonight off Colombia. Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!_SPoxCPiT3f98SkkG3FJ9hGJ5S4aUN1jXtjbMJ6LEveSugMJjwdYcQiMtcfWG5Ex7utB0hR2DEyYiZxAZJMyFbXmldA$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along has emerged off the
coast of Africa and has been analyzed along 22W, south of 18N and
approaching the Cabo Verde Islands while moving westward at about
15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is found from
07N to 14N between 21W and 26W.

A tropical wave is moving from the eastern to the central
Caribbean now along 68W, south of 20N near the Mona Passage to
portions of Venezuela, moving westward at around 20 kt. No
significant convection is observed with this wave except over the
Mona Passage and it may be helping to enhance diurnal convection
over portions of Hispaniola.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N
to across portions of eastern Honduras and central Nicaragua,
moving quickly westward around 25 kt. No significant convection is
noted with this wave but some isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms are possible in the Gulf of Honduras area.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16.5 and extends
southwestward to 10N32W. The ITCZ extends from southwest of Dolly
at 08N46W to near the coast of NE Venezuela at 11N62W. Other than
the convection described with Dolly and the tropical wave above,
no significant convection is found with the monsoon trough and
ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough is over the north-central and NE Gulf with
scattered showers and thunderstorms across the waters north of 26N
and east of 94W. Otherwise, 1014 mb high pressure is centered in
the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz, Mexico with light to gentle
anticyclone winds dominating the basin, locally higher in any
convection. Seas are mainly slight, except locally higher in any
convection.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

Other than scattered showers and thunderstorms in the SW Caribbean
mainly south of 11N near the monsoon trough, no significant
convection is noted over the basin. Fresh to strong trades are
found from 10N to 17N with 7 to 11 ft seas. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 10N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas, except slight in the
lee of Cuba to the Yucatan Peninsula offshore Mexico.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the
forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the
Windward Passage at night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.7N
40.7W at 5 PM EDT, and is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central
pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly will move to 14.1N 43.9W Fri morning,
14.7N 48.5W Fri afternoon, 15.6N 53.1W Sat morning, become post-
tropical and move to 16.5N 57.3W Sat afternoon, 17.3N 61.5W Sun
morning, and dissipate Sun afternoon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the Tropical Storm Dolly.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda extends from 30N59W to
22N69W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are found within 90 nm
either side of the trough. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms
are possible over the western Bahamas to the Florida Peninsula.
The strongest winds away from Dolly are found offshore Africa,
north of 18N and east of 20W where fresh to strong speeds are
found. Moderate to fresh NE winds are found across the remainder
of the waters north of 15N and east of 35W. Winds are moderate or
weaker elsewhere under a relatively relaxed pressure gradient.
Mainly slight seas are found west of 70W, and moderate elsewhere
away from Dolly.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.7N 40.7W at 5 PM EDT, and
is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly
will move to 14.1N 43.9W Fri morning, 14.7N 48.5W Fri afternoon,
15.6N 53.1W Sat morning, become post-tropical and move to 16.5N
57.3W Sat afternoon, 17.3N 61.5W Sun morning, and dissipate Sun
afternoon.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Aug 27 21:23:48 2026

679
AXNT20 KNHC 272123
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Dolly is centered near 13.7N 40.7W at 27/2100 UTC
or 1240 nm E of the Leeward Islands, moving W at 21 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are currently
around 12.5 ft (4.0 m). Numerous moderate isolated strong
convection is noted within 240 nm in the SE semicircle and 90 nm
in the NW semicircle. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5H6bLKWrk3Pqmi_ZuHdx1z-pYm3kpxCsRVbWMq2Y4g8cc7lh-d7lodddyydRGMZREiENRMk3AZyFSQEyzfA_ulGa2io$ and the latest Dolly
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5H6bLKWrk3Pqmi_ZuHdx1z-pYm3kpxCsRVbWMq2Y4g8cc7lh-d7lodddyydRGMZREiENRMk3AZyFSQEyzfA_GeIGQ2g$
for more details.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-
force tonight off Colombia. Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5H6bLKWrk3Pqmi_ZuHdx1z-pYm3kpxCsRVbWMq2Y4g8cc7lh-d7lodddyydRGMZREiENRMk3AZyFSQEyzfA_ulGa2io$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along has emerged off the
coast of Africa and has been analyzed along 22W, south of 18N and
approaching the Cabo Verde Islands while moving westward at about
15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is found from
07N to 14N between 21W and 26W.

A tropical wave is moving from the eastern to the central
Caribbean now along 68W, south of 20N near the Mona Passage to
portions of Venezuela, moving westward at around 20 kt. No
significant convection is observed with this wave except over the
Mona Passage and it may be helping to enhance diurnal convection
over portions of Hispaniola.

A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N
to across portions of eastern Honduras and central Nicaragua,
moving quickly westward around 25 kt. No significant convection is
noted with this wave but some isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms are possible in the Gulf of Honduras area.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16.5 and extends
southwestward to 10N32W. The ITCZ extends from southwest of Dolly
at 08N46W to near the coast of NE Venezuela at 11N62W. Other than
the convection described with Dolly and the tropical wave above,
no significant convection is found with the monsoon trough and
ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A frontal trough is over the north-central and NE Gulf with
scattered showers and thunderstorms across the waters north of 26N
and east of 94W. Otherwise, 1014 mb high pressure is centered in
the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz, Mexico with light to gentle
anticyclone winds dominating the basin, locally higher in any
convection. Seas are mainly slight, except locally higher in any
convection.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

Other than scattered showers and thunderstorms in the SW Caribbean
mainly south of 11N near the monsoon trough, no significant
convection is noted over the basin. Fresh to strong trades are
found from 10N to 17N with 7 to 11 ft seas. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 10N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas, except slight in the
lee of Cuba to the Yucatan Peninsula offshore Mexico.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the
forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the
Windward Passage at night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.7N
40.7W at 5 PM EDT, and is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central
pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly will move to 14.1N 43.9W Fri morning,
14.7N 48.5W Fri afternoon, 15.6N 53.1W Sat morning, become post-
tropical and move to 16.5N 57.3W Sat afternoon, 17.3N 61.5W Sun
morning, and dissipate Sun afternoon.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the Tropical Storm Dolly.

A surface trough located SE of Bermuda extends from 30N59W to
22N69W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are found within 90 nm
either side of the trough. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms
are possible over the western Bahamas to the Florida Peninsula.
The strongest winds away from Dolly are found offshore Africa,
north of 18N and east of 20W where fresh to strong speeds are
found. Moderate to fresh NE winds are found across the remainder
of the waters north of 15N and east of 35W. Winds are moderate or
weaker elsewhere under a relatively relaxed pressure gradient.
Mainly slight seas are found west of 70W, and moderate elsewhere
away from Dolly.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.7N 40.7W at 5 PM EDT, and
is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly
will move to 14.1N 43.9W Fri morning, 14.7N 48.5W Fri afternoon,
15.6N 53.1W Sat morning, become post-tropical and move to 16.5N
57.3W Sat afternoon, 17.3N 61.5W Sun morning, and dissipate Sun
afternoon.

$$
Lewitsky

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 28 05:04:36 2026

755
AXNT20 KNHC 280504
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Dolly is centered near 13.8N 42.3W at 28/0300 UTC
or 1140 nm E of the Leeward Islands, moving W at 20 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are near 12
ft. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring
within 90 NM of the center in the northern semicircle. A fast
westward motion is expected to continue for the next couple of
days. On the forecast track, this system should be nearing the
Leeward Islands this weekend. Little change in strength is likely
during the next 48 hours, and Dolly is forecast to degenerate into
a tropical wave before it reaches the Leeward Islands. Heavy rain
from Dolly could affect the Leeward Islands late Saturday into
Sunday, with rainfall moving into the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This heavy rain may produce
flash flooding within areas of higher terrain of the Leeward
Islands. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
National Hurricane Center - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-R_T6GQqBDnWDLAQ1dHlPfj_r68K7524UCcro0nnQ1ZJon9DQFmXqvu2h7liN4hKWLdv_O_sekzfmC8KjX9wDMr2ST0$ and the latest Dolly
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-R_T6GQqBDnWDLAQ1dHlPfj_r68K7524UCcro0nnQ1ZJon9DQFmXqvu2h7liN4hKWLdv_O_sekzfmC8KjX9wH7X3g7w$
for more details.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. The ASCAT scatterometer passes around 0130 UTC showed
peak winds of near gale at 12N75W. Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-R_T6GQqBDnWDLAQ1dHlPfj_r68K7524UCcro0nnQ1ZJon9DQFmXqvu2h7liN4hKWLdv_O_sekzfmC8KjX9wDMr2ST0$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 25W, south of
20N over the Cabo Verde Islands while moving westward at about 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 09N-13N between
24W-29W.

A new tropical wave was introduced in Atlantic approaching the
Lesser Antilles along 57W south of 20N. It is likely moving
westward around 15 kt. No deep convection is noted in association
with this system.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 71W, south of
19N from Hispaniola to Venezuela. It is quickly moving westward
at around 20 kt. No significant convection is observed with this
wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough exits West Africa from the Senegal coast near
14N17W and extends southwestward to 10N24W. The ITCZ starts at
09N36W to 07N58W along the coast of Guyana. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 09N-13N between 24W-29W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1015 mb high is centered over the central Gulf near 25N89W.
Winds across the Gulf are moderate or weaker with seas 1-3 ft.
Isolated moderate convection is noted north of 24N east of 90W.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through the next several days, supporting moderate or
lighter winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night. A frontal boundary will meander near the
northern Gulf waters during the next few days producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty
winds and higher seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

Other than the gale winds just north of Colombia for a few more
hours, fresh to near gale trades are occurring over the central
Caribbean with seas 6-11 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring south of 12N west of 80W, associated with the eastern
extent of the northeast Pacific monsoon trough.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the
Windward Passage at night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.8N
42.3W at 11 PM EDT, and is moving west at 20 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central
pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly will move to 14.3N 45.7W Fri morning,
15.2N 50.2W Fri evening, 16.0N 54.7W Sat morning, become post-
tropical and move to 16.7N 59.0W Sat evening, weaken to a remnant
low near 17.0N 63.0W Sun morning, and dissipate Sun evening.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the Tropical Storm Dolly.

Aside from the winds associated with Tropical Storm Dolly, the
trades are moderate or weaker across the tropical North Atlantic
except for fresh to locally strong N along Western Sahara and
Mauritania. Seas are 3-7 ft across forecast waters. A weak surface
trough extends from 28N67W to 31N65W and is associated with
isolated moderate convection north of 22N between 61W-70W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.8N 42.3W at 11 PM EDT, and
is moving west at 20 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly
will move to 14.3N 45.7W Fri morning, 15.2N 50.2W Fri evening,
16.0N 54.7W Sat morning, become post-tropical and move to 16.7N
59.0W Sat evening, weaken to a remnant low near 17.0N 63.0W Sun
morning, and dissipate Sun evening.

$$
Landsea/Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 28 05:04:38 2026

756
AXNT20 KNHC 280504
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Dolly is centered near 13.8N 42.3W at 28/0300 UTC
or 1140 nm E of the Leeward Islands, moving W at 20 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are near 12
ft. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring
within 90 NM of the center in the northern semicircle. A fast
westward motion is expected to continue for the next couple of
days. On the forecast track, this system should be nearing the
Leeward Islands this weekend. Little change in strength is likely
during the next 48 hours, and Dolly is forecast to degenerate into
a tropical wave before it reaches the Leeward Islands. Heavy rain
from Dolly could affect the Leeward Islands late Saturday into
Sunday, with rainfall moving into the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This heavy rain may produce
flash flooding within areas of higher terrain of the Leeward
Islands. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
National Hurricane Center - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5M8HBrG75_ZmcOInSJjVhXINJiOX3kaiqv5QGln4pqDRqsmpa_yi-XOjSLtCAAtnv8cJr8QJSGSqjm6TLpirnG5pFSg$ and the latest Dolly
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5M8HBrG75_ZmcOInSJjVhXINJiOX3kaiqv5QGln4pqDRqsmpa_yi-XOjSLtCAAtnv8cJr8QJSGSqjm6TLpirUIG579g$
for more details.

Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. The ASCAT scatterometer passes around 0130 UTC showed
peak winds of near gale at 12N75W. Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5M8HBrG75_ZmcOInSJjVhXINJiOX3kaiqv5QGln4pqDRqsmpa_yi-XOjSLtCAAtnv8cJr8QJSGSqjm6TLpirnG5pFSg$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 25W, south of
20N over the Cabo Verde Islands while moving westward at about 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 09N-13N between
24W-29W.

A new tropical wave was introduced in Atlantic approaching the
Lesser Antilles along 57W south of 20N. It is likely moving
westward around 15 kt. No deep convection is noted in association
with this system.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 71W, south of
19N from Hispaniola to Venezuela. It is quickly moving westward
at around 20 kt. No significant convection is observed with this
wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough exits West Africa from the Senegal coast near
14N17W and extends southwestward to 10N24W. The ITCZ starts at
09N36W to 07N58W along the coast of Guyana. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 09N-13N between 24W-29W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1015 mb high is centered over the central Gulf near 25N89W.
Winds across the Gulf are moderate or weaker with seas 1-3 ft.
Isolated moderate convection is noted north of 24N east of 90W.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through the next several days, supporting moderate or
lighter winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night. A frontal boundary will meander near the
northern Gulf waters during the next few days producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty
winds and higher seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.

Other than the gale winds just north of Colombia for a few more
hours, fresh to near gale trades are occurring over the central
Caribbean with seas 6-11 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring south of 12N west of 80W, associated with the eastern
extent of the northeast Pacific monsoon trough.

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to
locally very rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off
Colombia. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the
Windward Passage at night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.8N
42.3W at 11 PM EDT, and is moving west at 20 kt. Maximum sustained
winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central
pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly will move to 14.3N 45.7W Fri morning,
15.2N 50.2W Fri evening, 16.0N 54.7W Sat morning, become post-
tropical and move to 16.7N 59.0W Sat evening, weaken to a remnant
low near 17.0N 63.0W Sun morning, and dissipate Sun evening.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the Tropical Storm Dolly.

Aside from the winds associated with Tropical Storm Dolly, the
trades are moderate or weaker across the tropical North Atlantic
except for fresh to locally strong N along Western Sahara and
Mauritania. Seas are 3-7 ft across forecast waters. A weak surface
trough extends from 28N67W to 31N65W and is associated with
isolated moderate convection north of 22N between 61W-70W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 13.8N 42.3W at 11 PM EDT, and
is moving west at 20 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly
will move to 14.3N 45.7W Fri morning, 15.2N 50.2W Fri evening,
16.0N 54.7W Sat morning, become post-tropical and move to 16.7N
59.0W Sat evening, weaken to a remnant low near 17.0N 63.0W Sun
morning, and dissipate Sun evening.

$$
Landsea/Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 28 10:08:16 2026

848
AXNT20 KNHC 281007
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0955 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Dolly is centered near 14.5N 44.8W at 28/0900 UTC
or 990 nm E of the Leeward Islands, moving W at 21 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are near 15 ft. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring within 90 NM
of the center in the eastern semicircle. Dolly is expected to
continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, this
system, or its remnants, should be nearing the Leeward Islands this
weekend. Little change in strength is likely during the next
couple of days, and Dolly is forecast to degenerate into a tropical
wave before it reaches the Leeward Islands. Heavy rain from Dolly
could affect the Leeward Islands late Saturday into Sunday, with
rainfall moving into the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This heavy rain may produce flash
flooding within areas of higher terrain of the Leeward Islands.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
National Hurricane Center - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4vw_-go3GiWolrSPbm7TlaRzXbrpzFIwG1jFHjD_M7YhtwI23rPXqJKEwFCyN5pOpi02OeyionVyLcS3SLn9Wg1sFdE$ and the latest Dolly
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4vw_-go3GiWolrSPbm7TlaRzXbrpzFIwG1jFHjD_M7YhtwI23rPXqJKEwFCyN5pOpi02OeyionVyLcS3SLn9gGh_vEE$
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 19N, moving
westward at about 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 58W, south of 21N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No deep convection is noted in association
with this system.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 21N, moving
quickly westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are found near the northern portion of the wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
18N16W to 05N26W. The ITCZ continues from 08N44W to 07N56W.
No deep convection is present near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front over the southern and SE United States supports
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the northern
Gulf waters. Moderate easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft are
present in the eastern Bay of Campeche, while a weak pressure
gradient elsewhere maintains light to gentle winds and slight
seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through the next several days, supporting moderate or
lighter winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night. A frontal boundary will meander near the
northern Gulf waters during the next few days producing
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can
expect gusty winds and higher seas associated with these storms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered SW of the Azores supports fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the north- central and eastern Caribbean, Gulf of
Honduras and Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring in the SW Caribbean.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the islands will support
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the
south- central Caribbean through the weekend. Winds will diminish
some early next week, before increasing again midweek as the ridge
builds back in. Winds will freshen up in the eastern Caribbean
early next week. Tropical Storm Dolly is near 14.5N 44.8W at 5 AM
EDT, and is moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35
kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007
mb. Dolly will move to 15.1N 48.3W this afternoon, 15.9N 52.8W Sat
morning, become post-tropical and move to 16.6N 57.3W Sat
afternoon, weaken to a remnant low near 17.2N 61.4W Sun morning,
18.0N 64.5W Sun afternoon, and dissipate Mon morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the Tropical Storm Dolly centered well east of the Leeward Islands.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms dot the waters
between Bermuda and the Greater Antilles, especially between 62W
and 73W associated with an upper level low moving across the
Bahamas. At the surface, a broad subtropical ridge supports
moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across
much of the SW North Atlantic.

Aside from the winds associated with Tropical Storm Dolly, trades
are moderate to locally fresh across the central and eastern tropical
North Atlantic with moderate seas. However, a tighter pressure
gradient sustains fresh to strong northerly winds and seas of 4-8
ft north of 19N and east of 21W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
Tropical Storm Dolly is near 14.5N 44.8W at 5 AM EDT, and is
moving west at 21 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with gusts
to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Dolly will
move to 15.1N 48.3W this afternoon, 15.9N 52.8W Sat morning,
become post- tropical and move to 16.6N 57.3W Sat afternoon,
weaken to a remnant low near 17.2N 61.4W Sun morning, 18.0N 64.5W
Sun afternoon, and dissipate Mon morning.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 28 15:43:32 2026

566
AXNT20 KNHC 281543
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Aug 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1543 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gale Warning: Tropical Storm Dolly no longer has a closed
circulation and is now a tropical wave. Remnants of Dolly is
centered near 15.0N 46.9W at 28/1500 UTC or 870 nm E of the
Leeward Islands, moving W at 22 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt. On the forecast track, the remnants should be
nearing the Leeward Islands Saturday night and Sunday. The winds
associated with the remnants of Dolly are expected to decrease
below tropical-storm force on Saturday. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-6t8B6Dbhb7VSbilmTnrSk3FwwvUi_NIUAhk5YzsYHTedTjRd3cN-ZHbVTCH3L5uRP09JlQwwbKdZyZoLjA43mO8YJs$

Heavy rains from the remnants of Dolly could affect the Leeward
Islands late Saturday into Sunday with possible impacts in the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This
heavy rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher terrain
of the Leeward Islands.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
depicted in association with this wave.

A tropical wave is approaching the Leeward Islands and is along
60.5W, south of 21N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered
showers are found over the Leeward Islands.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 21N,
moving quickly westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are found near the northern portion of the
wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from 12N17W to 10N27W to 08N37W.
Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 10N to 13N and east
of 19W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1014 mb low pressure along with a surface trough has
developed over the northern Gulf ahead of a stationary front over
the southern and SE United States. This complex system continues
to supports scattered showers and thunderstorms over the northern
and eastern Gulf waters. Moderate easterly winds and seas of 2-4
ft are present in the Bay of Campeche, while a weak pressure
gradient elsewhere maintains light to gentle winds and slight
seas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters into early next week, supporting moderate or lighter winds
and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night. A nearly-
stationary front will meander near the northern Gulf waters during
the next few days producing a few thunderstorms. Mariners can
expect gusty winds and higher seas associated with the stronger
thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered SW of the Azores supports fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean, Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring in the SW Caribbean.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Dolly no longer has a closed
circulation and is now a tropical wave. At 11 AM EDT, the Remnants
of Dolly are near 15.0N 46.9W, moving west at 22 kt. Maximum
sustained winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum
central pressure is 1008 mb. Dolly will move to 15.6N 50.3W this
evening, 16.4N 54.7W Sat morning, and dissipate Sat evening. These
remnants will bring gale conditions to Atlantic waters E of the
Leeward Islands Saturday. Otherwise, high pressure north of the
islands will support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
rough seas across the south- central Caribbean through the
weekend. Winds will diminish some early next week, before
increasing again midweek as the ridge builds back in. Winds will
freshen up in the eastern Caribbean early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
the remnants of Dolly centered well east of the Leeward Islands.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms dot the waters
between Bermuda and the Greater Antilles, especially between 62W
and 73W associated with an upper level low moving across the
Bahamas. At the surface, a broad subtropical ridge supports
moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across
much of the SW North Atlantic.

Aside from the winds associated with Tropical Storm Dolly, trades
are moderate to locally fresh across the central and eastern tropical
North Atlantic with moderate seas. However, a tighter pressure
gradient sustains fresh to strong northerly winds and seas of 4-8
ft north of 19N and east of 22W.

For the forecast west of 55W, Tropical Storm Dolly no longer has a closed circulation and is now a tropical wave. At 11 AM EDT, the Remnants
of Dolly are near 15.0N 46.9W, moving west at 22 kt. Maximum
sustained winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum
central pressure is 1008 mb. Dolly will move to 15.6N 50.3W this
evening and 16.4N 54.7W Sat morning. For waters N and E of the
remnants of Dolly, the subtropical ridge will dominate the SW N
Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting mainly
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to
locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night. $$ KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Aug 28 22:46:10 2026

793
AXNT20 KNHC 282245
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 28 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will
approach waters east of the Leeward Islands Sat as a strong
tropical wave, bringing gale conditions and very rough seas.
Strong winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms will spread into the
far NE Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico late this
weekend into early next week in association with this tropical
wave.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!6JTlqiWFKGY4puGrXqBIoKv761XmCqHRQ60_umCY7zA7ID3eALfFiVCSRkX7ibiTccNGqUxVyI53_OvvVawHIMIdyyc$

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 28W, south of 16N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Only a few showers are near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is along 48W, south of 20N, moving westward around
15 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure, remnants of T.S. Dolly, is along
the wave axis near 15N48W. A cluster of moderate to isolated
strong convection is within about 150 nm NW quadrant of low center.
Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are noted on either side of
the wave axis per scatterometer and altimeter data covering the
waters from 13N to 20N between 40W and 50W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 78W,
moving westward at around 20 kt. The wave appears to enhance convection
over parts of eastern Cuba and Jamaica.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near 18N16W
to 10N23W to 06N34W. The ITCZ extends from 06N34W to 09N45W.
Convection is limited.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are affecting the
norther Gulf waters, mainly N of 26N. This convective activity
is ahead of a surface trough, that extends from a 1014 mb low
pressure located near 29N87W to 27N90W to 28N94W. A weak ridge
dominates the remainder of the basin. Under this pattern, gentle
to locally moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
Winds and seas could be higher near thunderstorms.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the
Gulf waters through early next week, supporting moderate or
lighter winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
A nearly- stationary front will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing a few thunderstorms.
Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher seas associated with
the stronger thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered SW of the Azores supports fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean, Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring in the SW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will
approach waters east of the Leeward Islands Sat as a strong
tropical wave, bringing gale conditions and very rough seas.
Strong winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms will spread into the
far NE Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico late this
weekend into early next week in association with this tropical
wave. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressure over South America will
support strong trades and rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish some early next
week as the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure
gradient, but will increase again by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the waters
between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly N of 22N and W of
65W. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce this
convective activity. A ridge dominates the remainder of the
Atlantic forecast waters, anchored on a 1029 mb high pressure
located SW of the Azores near 36N32W. The ridge supports moderate
to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across much of
the SW North Atlantic. Aside from the winds and seas associated
with the remnants of Dolly, fresh to strong northerly winds and
moderate to rough seas are evident N of 20N and E of 18N to the
coast of W Africa, including the Canary Islands. Moderate to
locally fresh winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere under the
influence of the ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, the strong tropical wave associated
with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will bring strong
winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms across the waters S of 22N
as it approaches the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico late this
weekend and spreads toward Hispaniola early next week. Elsewhere,
the subtropical ridge will dominate the SW N Atlantic waters
over the next several days supporting mainly moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong off
northern Hispaniola each night.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 03:12:14 2026

570
AXNT20 KNHC 290312
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will
approach waters east of the Leeward Islands Sat as a strong
tropical wave, bringing gale conditions and very rough seas.
Strong winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms will spread into the
far NE Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico late this
weekend into early next week in association with this tropical
wave.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4gd8jYBZfj3mPZ4b945zCZuQKby8Q4gSgX5OQTRYYPbGAVwSpMHSeAd2g6lETVYRNsZFgJYQYRCX29wnoRgVEE9leno$

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 28W, south of 16N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Only a few showers are near the wave axis.

A tropical wave is along 48W, south of 20N, moving westward around
15 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure, remnants of T.S. Dolly, is along
the wave axis near 15N48W. A cluster of moderate to isolated
strong convection is within about 150 nm NW quadrant of low center.
Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are noted on either side of
the wave axis per scatterometer and altimeter data covering the
waters from 13N to 20N between 40W and 50W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 78W,
moving westward at around 20 kt. The wave appears to enhance convection
over parts of eastern Cuba and Jamaica.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near 18N16W
to 10N23W to 06N34W. The ITCZ extends from 06N34W to 09N45W.
Convection is limited.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are affecting the
norther Gulf waters, mainly N of 26N. This convective activity
is ahead of a surface trough, that extends from a 1014 mb low
pressure located near 29N87W to 27N90W to 28N94W. A weak ridge
dominates the remainder of the basin. Under this pattern, gentle
to locally moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
Winds and seas could be higher near thunderstorms.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the
Gulf waters through early next week, supporting moderate or
lighter winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
A nearly- stationary front will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing a few thunderstorms.
Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher seas associated with
the stronger thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The subtropical ridge centered SW of the Azores supports fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean, Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring in the SW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will
approach waters east of the Leeward Islands Sat as a strong
tropical wave, bringing gale conditions and very rough seas.
Strong winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms will spread into the
far NE Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico late this
weekend into early next week in association with this tropical
wave. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressure over South America will
support strong trades and rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish some early next
week as the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure
gradient, but will increase again by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the waters
between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly N of 22N and W of
65W. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce this
convective activity. A ridge dominates the remainder of the
Atlantic forecast waters, anchored on a 1029 mb high pressure
located SW of the Azores near 36N32W. The ridge supports moderate
to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across much of
the SW North Atlantic. Aside from the winds and seas associated
with the remnants of Dolly, fresh to strong northerly winds and
moderate to rough seas are evident N of 20N and E of 18N to the
coast of W Africa, including the Canary Islands. Moderate to
locally fresh winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere under the
influence of the ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, the strong tropical wave associated
with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will bring strong
winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms across the waters S of 22N
as it approaches the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico late this
weekend and spreads toward Hispaniola early next week. Elsewhere,
the subtropical ridge will dominate the SW N Atlantic waters
over the next several days supporting mainly moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong off
northern Hispaniola each night.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 04:21:38 2026

008
AXNT20 KNHC 290421
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly have
opened up into a trough at the surface, and is now a tropical wave
along about 51W. This system is passing directly south of the
Atlantic subtropical ridge, and producing gale-force winds to 35
kt, from 16.5N to 17.5N between 49W and 51W. Peaks seas there are
estimated at 14 ft. This tropical wave will approach the waters
east of the Leeward Islands late Sat as a strong tropical wave,
with winds expected to diminish to 25-30 kt by then, and below
gale conditions. Strong winds with gusts to gale- force, rough
seas, accompanied by squalls and thunderstorms will spread into
the far NE Caribbean, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico and the
adjacent waters Sat evening into early next week in association
with this tropical wave.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4sN7sAO3WCWDDKM9h56lWQEI_kQqxkjklf_kTldhQ1wxrHny0njuWb0PCFEuVQAqv7nUrZcj27C5qtrgcJV69XnV4tA$

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 30W, south of 16N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is around the periphery
of this wave, as Saharan Air dominates the area N of 11N.

A tropical wave, the remnants of Dolly, is along 50W, south of
21N, moving westward around 20 kt. A few clusters of moderate to
strong convection are noted from 15N to 19N between 49.5W and
53.5W. Gale-force winds accompany this wave. See description above
in the Special Features section for more details.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean, along 64W and
south of 17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13.5N to 17N between 63W and 65W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 79W,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to be enhancing
convection over parts of central and eastern Cuba and Jamaica.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is near the south
portion of this wave from 09N to 11.5N between 78W and 83W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19.5N16.5W to 10N20W to 07N26W. The ITCZ extends
from 06N34W to 15N50W, then resumes from 11N54W to 09.5N61W.
Associated convection is described above with the tropical waves.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Showers and thunderstorms affecting the norther Gulf waters N of
26N have diminished significantly in recent hours, with only
widely scattered moderate convection now occurring mainly N of 26N
and E of 91W. This activity is occurring south of a stalled
frontal boundary across the Gulf coast states along 32N. Also,
over the Gulf waters, a 1014 mb low is located near 29.5N87W with
a surface trough extending W-SW to near 28N91W. A weak ridge
dominates the remainder of the basin. Under this pattern, gentle
to locally moderate winds and slight seas 3 ft or less prevail.

For the forecast, weak will persist across the Gulf waters
through early next week, supporting moderate or lighter winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night. A nearly-
stationary front will meander near the northern Gulf waters during
the next few days producing thunderstorms along and to the south
of the front. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher seas
associated with the stronger thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The Atlantic subtropical ridge extends across the central Atlantic
along about 36N then SW to coastal Georgia along 31N. The pressure
gradient south of this ridge supports fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and rough seas to 9 ft in the south- central
Caribbean, to around 30 kt across the Gulf of Venezuela and NE
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
found in the eastern Caribbean, Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring in the SW Caribbean ahead of a tropical wave.

For the forecast, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly are now a
strong tropical wave moving quickly westward, and will cross 55W
Sat morning. This tropical wave will then approach the waters
east of the Leeward Islands late Sat, bringing strong winds with
gale-force wind gusts, rough seas, and accompanied by squalls and thunderstorms that will spread across the far NE Caribbean, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the adjacent waters Sat evening into
early next week. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high
pressure north of the basin and lower pressure over South America
will support strong trades and rough seas over the south- central
Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish some early next
week as the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure
gradient, but will increase again by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly,
now a tropical wave along 51W. Please, refer to the Special
Features section for more details.

Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the waters
between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly N of 23N and W of
67W. Converging middle level winds and a diffluent pattern aloft
are helping to induce this convective activity. A ridge dominates
the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters, anchored on a pair
of surface highs, one 1030 mb high pressure located SW of the
Azores near 37N32W, and a second 1027 mb high near 36N52W. The
ridge supports moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas across much of the SW North Atlantic S of 26N and W
of 35W. Farther E, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough
seas prevail N of 18N and E of 24N to the coast of W Africa,
including the Canary Islands. Moderate to locally fresh winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere to 35W, under the influence of
the ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, the strong tropical wave associated
with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will bring strong
winds, rough seas, squalls and thunderstorms waters S of 23N as
it moves across the southeastern zones E through NE of the Leeward
Islands late Sat through Sun, and then reaches the Atlantic waters
near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico early Sun through Sun
night, and spreads toward Hispaniola Sun night through Mon.
Elsewhere, the subtropical ridge will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days supporting mainly moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong
off northern Hispaniola each night.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 04:21:40 2026

007
AXNT20 KNHC 290421
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly have
opened up into a trough at the surface, and is now a tropical wave
along about 51W. This system is passing directly south of the
Atlantic subtropical ridge, and producing gale-force winds to 35
kt, from 16.5N to 17.5N between 49W and 51W. Peaks seas there are
estimated at 14 ft. This tropical wave will approach the waters
east of the Leeward Islands late Sat as a strong tropical wave,
with winds expected to diminish to 25-30 kt by then, and below
gale conditions. Strong winds with gusts to gale- force, rough
seas, accompanied by squalls and thunderstorms will spread into
the far NE Caribbean, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico and the
adjacent waters Sat evening into early next week in association
with this tropical wave.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7-JmQ62dX_XvZ_IX9cYwJTU_WoYlrLiVlz4FAd2rEhlPCS8iXVvp77IeXFFs8Ko7lvbwusmZblMHmFwlucay9PKxujw$

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 30W, south of 16N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is around the periphery
of this wave, as Saharan Air dominates the area N of 11N.

A tropical wave, the remnants of Dolly, is along 50W, south of
21N, moving westward around 20 kt. A few clusters of moderate to
strong convection are noted from 15N to 19N between 49.5W and
53.5W. Gale-force winds accompany this wave. See description above
in the Special Features section for more details.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean, along 64W and
south of 17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13.5N to 17N between 63W and 65W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis near 79W,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to be enhancing
convection over parts of central and eastern Cuba and Jamaica.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is near the south
portion of this wave from 09N to 11.5N between 78W and 83W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19.5N16.5W to 10N20W to 07N26W. The ITCZ extends
from 06N34W to 15N50W, then resumes from 11N54W to 09.5N61W.
Associated convection is described above with the tropical waves.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Showers and thunderstorms affecting the norther Gulf waters N of
26N have diminished significantly in recent hours, with only
widely scattered moderate convection now occurring mainly N of 26N
and E of 91W. This activity is occurring south of a stalled
frontal boundary across the Gulf coast states along 32N. Also,
over the Gulf waters, a 1014 mb low is located near 29.5N87W with
a surface trough extending W-SW to near 28N91W. A weak ridge
dominates the remainder of the basin. Under this pattern, gentle
to locally moderate winds and slight seas 3 ft or less prevail.

For the forecast, weak will persist across the Gulf waters
through early next week, supporting moderate or lighter winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night. A nearly-
stationary front will meander near the northern Gulf waters during
the next few days producing thunderstorms along and to the south
of the front. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher seas
associated with the stronger thunderstorms.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The Atlantic subtropical ridge extends across the central Atlantic
along about 36N then SW to coastal Georgia along 31N. The pressure
gradient south of this ridge supports fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and rough seas to 9 ft in the south- central
Caribbean, to around 30 kt across the Gulf of Venezuela and NE
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
found in the eastern Caribbean, Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring in the SW Caribbean ahead of a tropical wave.

For the forecast, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly are now a
strong tropical wave moving quickly westward, and will cross 55W
Sat morning. This tropical wave will then approach the waters
east of the Leeward Islands late Sat, bringing strong winds with
gale-force wind gusts, rough seas, and accompanied by squalls and thunderstorms that will spread across the far NE Caribbean, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the adjacent waters Sat evening into
early next week. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high
pressure north of the basin and lower pressure over South America
will support strong trades and rough seas over the south- central
Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish some early next
week as the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure
gradient, but will increase again by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly,
now a tropical wave along 51W. Please, refer to the Special
Features section for more details.

Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the waters
between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly N of 23N and W of
67W. Converging middle level winds and a diffluent pattern aloft
are helping to induce this convective activity. A ridge dominates
the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters, anchored on a pair
of surface highs, one 1030 mb high pressure located SW of the
Azores near 37N32W, and a second 1027 mb high near 36N52W. The
ridge supports moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas across much of the SW North Atlantic S of 26N and W
of 35W. Farther E, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough
seas prevail N of 18N and E of 24N to the coast of W Africa,
including the Canary Islands. Moderate to locally fresh winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere to 35W, under the influence of
the ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, the strong tropical wave associated
with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly will bring strong
winds, rough seas, squalls and thunderstorms waters S of 23N as
it moves across the southeastern zones E through NE of the Leeward
Islands late Sat through Sun, and then reaches the Atlantic waters
near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico early Sun through Sun
night, and spreads toward Hispaniola Sun night through Mon.
Elsewhere, the subtropical ridge will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days supporting mainly moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong
off northern Hispaniola each night.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 11:03:38 2026

978
AXNT20 KNHC 291103
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1055 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly,
is along 53W, south of 21N, moving westward at 20-25 kt. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms are occurring from 14N to 21N and
between 50W and 57W. Strong to gale-force winds are found in the
northern semicircle, along with rough to very rough seas, peaking
around 13 ft (4 m). This tropical wave will approach the waters
east of the Leeward Islands late today as a strong tropical wave,
with winds expected to diminish to 25-30 kt by then, below gale
conditions. Strong winds with gusts to gale-force, rough seas,
accompanied by squalls and thunderstorms will spread into the far
NE Caribbean, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico and the adjacent
waters Sat evening into early next week in association with this
tropical wave.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!65SLc-cZMvqkjwvtGJEocdGG7D2ITuYKuIMg5OSSUJLiZxgpOHU2kOkf4Bh9mA6sb2TJ5kwyi4YwLCj4PKlEEiECZdI$

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 16N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean, along 67W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 18N between 64W and 70W.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 81W, south
of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are evident in SW Caribbean.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W to 08N31W. The ITCZ extends from 05N35W to
10N52W, then resumes from 10N56W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate
convection is present near the monsoon trough in the eastern
Atlantic.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak low pressure system in the northern Gulf waters and
divergence aloft are producing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over much of the basin east of 90W. Moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft are noted in the
Bay of Campeche, while weaker winds and slight seas prevail
elsewhere.

For the forecast, a weak area of low pressure over the northern Gulf
waters is producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
These storms may produce gusty winds and higher seas. This system
is expected to remain nearly stationary over the next several
days. The low pressure has a low chance of tropical development
over the next 48 hours and 7 days. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support moderate or lighter winds and slight seas
over much of the basin through the middle of next week. Winds will
pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.

High pressure north of the area forces fresh to strong easterly
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate
to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the
north-central and eastern Caribbean and also in the Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave, associated with the
remnants of Dolly, is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
This system will also bring gale conditions and rough to very
rough seas to the area east of the Lesser Antilles today. Strong
winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms will spread into the far NE
Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico tonight into early next
week. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressure over South America will
support strong trades and rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish some early next
week as the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure
gradient, but will increase again by the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.

Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are found across
the waters between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly west of
65W. Converging middle level winds and a diffluent pattern aloft
are helping to induce this convective activity.

A ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a pair of surface highs north of our waters. The ridge
supports moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas across much of the forecast waters south of 26N and west of
35W. Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough
seas prevail N of 18N and E of 24N to the coast of west Africa,
including the Canary Islands. Primarily moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere to 35W, under the influence of the
ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave, associated
with the remnants of Dolly, is producing a large area of showers
and thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
This system will also bring strong winds and rough to locally
very rough seas to the SE waters today. These conditions will
spread into the far NE Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
tonight into Mon and toward Hispaniola early next week. Elsewhere,
abundant moisture and an unstable atmosphere generate scattered
to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 65W.
Similar conditions are expected through early next week. At the
surface, the subtropical ridge will dominate the basin supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in the remainder
of the forecast waters. However, winds will pulse to locally
strong off northern Hispaniola through Sun night.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 17:08:46 2026

533
AXNT20 KNHC 291708
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall: A strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly,
is along 55.5W, south of 21N, moving westward at 20 to 25 kt.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring from 15.5N to
21N and between 53W and 57W. Scattered showers are also found
from 09N to 12N between 51W and 56W. This tropical wave will
cross the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave
will bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Islands local topography could enhance orographic lift and
support additional rainfall, varying by island. Peak rainfall
rates are expected from Sat night through Sun.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7nBzrQxmSqs5fG11jHoCZ06vbkcjCcFu57GYT0nDPg3liCQFq4yY-hOSWnoascWztg80d784HYyKugZK7-CfRQtaa9o$ and your local
weather service office for additional information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 33W, south of 18N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean, along 68.5W, south
of 19N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 18N between 67W and 70W.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 82W, south
of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are evident in SW Caribbean.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16.5W to 07N40W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 10N52W. Isolated to scattered
moderate convection is present near the monsoon trough in the
eastern Atlantic and near the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak low pressure system in the northern Gulf waters and
divergence aloft are producing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over much of the basin east of 90W. Light to gentle
variable winds prevail across the Gulf waters, except for locally
moderate E winds over the Bay of Campeche. Seas 1 to 3 ft prevail
across the basin.

For the forecast, weak low pressure about 100 nm offshore Mobile
Bay will continue to produce scattered thunderstorms with gusty
winds and locally higher seas as it drifts west over the next few
days. This low has a low chance of tropical development over the
next 7 days. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support
mainly light to gentle winds and slight seas into into late next
week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western
Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving
west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated to a strong tropical wave that will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight.

High pressure north of the area forces fresh to locally strong
easterly winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in
the north-central and eastern Caribbean and also in the Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave will cross the northern
Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sun
and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will bring strong to
near gale force winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms with locally
heavy rainfall to nearby waters. Otherwise, the pressure gradient
between high pressure north of the basin and lower pressure over
South America will support strong trades and rough seas over the
south- central Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish
slightly early next week as the aforementioned tropical wave
disrupts the pressure gradient.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for
information about a strong tropical wave moving across the
Atlantic.

Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are found across
the waters between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly west of
68W. Converging middle level winds and a diffluent pattern aloft
are helping to induce this convective activity.

A ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a pair of surface highs north of our waters. The ridge
supports moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas across much of the forecast waters south of 26N and west of
35W. Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough
seas prevail N of 21N and E of 23N to the coast of west Africa,
including the Canary Islands. Primarily moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere to 35W, under the influence of the
ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will
bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Elsewhere, deep tropical moisture and an upper-level trough
will aide in scattered moderate convection W of 70W into early
next week. At the surface, the subtropical ridge will dominate the
basin supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas in the remainder of the forecast waters. However, winds will
pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola through Sun night.

$$
KRV

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 17:08:48 2026

664
AXNT20 KNHC 291708
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall: A strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly,
is along 55.5W, south of 21N, moving westward at 20 to 25 kt.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring from 15.5N to
21N and between 53W and 57W. Scattered showers are also found
from 09N to 12N between 51W and 56W. This tropical wave will
cross the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave
will bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Islands local topography could enhance orographic lift and
support additional rainfall, varying by island. Peak rainfall
rates are expected from Sat night through Sun.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5FYGH2Quv4ALQtJkC5QxWnx3yO9wwI8ztzQJ58J37qOdJa7vFOQ4uCH8iZacy6NDnjajsQfDmAOqiCgXpvdnaQhi-28$ and your local
weather service office for additional information.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 33W, south of 18N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean, along 68.5W, south
of 19N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 18N between 67W and 70W.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 82W, south
of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are evident in SW Caribbean.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16.5W to 07N40W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 10N52W. Isolated to scattered
moderate convection is present near the monsoon trough in the
eastern Atlantic and near the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak low pressure system in the northern Gulf waters and
divergence aloft are producing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over much of the basin east of 90W. Light to gentle
variable winds prevail across the Gulf waters, except for locally
moderate E winds over the Bay of Campeche. Seas 1 to 3 ft prevail
across the basin.

For the forecast, weak low pressure about 100 nm offshore Mobile
Bay will continue to produce scattered thunderstorms with gusty
winds and locally higher seas as it drifts west over the next few
days. This low has a low chance of tropical development over the
next 7 days. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support
mainly light to gentle winds and slight seas into into late next
week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western
Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving
west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated to a strong tropical wave that will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight.

High pressure north of the area forces fresh to locally strong
easterly winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in
the north-central and eastern Caribbean and also in the Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave will cross the northern
Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sun
and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will bring strong to
near gale force winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms with locally
heavy rainfall to nearby waters. Otherwise, the pressure gradient
between high pressure north of the basin and lower pressure over
South America will support strong trades and rough seas over the
south- central Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish
slightly early next week as the aforementioned tropical wave
disrupts the pressure gradient.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for
information about a strong tropical wave moving across the
Atlantic.

Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are found across
the waters between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly west of
68W. Converging middle level winds and a diffluent pattern aloft
are helping to induce this convective activity.

A ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a pair of surface highs north of our waters. The ridge
supports moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas across much of the forecast waters south of 26N and west of
35W. Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough
seas prevail N of 21N and E of 23N to the coast of west Africa,
including the Canary Islands. Primarily moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere to 35W, under the influence of the
ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will
bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Elsewhere, deep tropical moisture and an upper-level trough
will aide in scattered moderate convection W of 70W into early
next week. At the surface, the subtropical ridge will dominate the
basin supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas in the remainder of the forecast waters. However, winds will
pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola through Sun night.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 23:32:50 2026

780
AXNT20 KNHC 292332
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall: Disorganized showers and thunderstorm continue
in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located
about 300 miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there are
no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation.
Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward
to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally
heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days.
The main hazards for Puerto Rico will be urban flooding, lightning,
and gusty winds, especially tonight into Monday. The potential
for isolated flash flooding is lower but cannot be ruled out.
Rainfall amounts and the location of the highest totals remain
uncertain. Islands local topography could enhance orographic
lift and support additional rainfall, varying by island. Peak
rainfall rates are expected from tonight through Sun.

Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!_iKrWARMnDPhEx7LeXz-RXn5xVQSk4kqXH0tp_9DkcAQT4qnOnEsni4P3ph-Vc0RMVs42vJoyYxw6-hwLb9zZgyNUTk$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 34W, south of 18N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.

A tropical wave is along 58W, south of 21N, moving westward around
20 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure, remnants of T.S. Dolly, is along
the wave axis near 17N58W. A cluster of moderate to isolated
strong convection is within about 90 nm NW quadrant of low
center. Fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas are
noted on either side of the wave axis per scatterometer and
altimeter data, covering roughly the waters from 16N to 22N
between 50W and 60W.

A tropical wave is along 70W and extends from Dominican Republic
to western Venezuela, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near the wave axis, affecting
Dominican Republic and the southern offshore waters.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to
enhance convection over parts of Central America.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, and extends SW to near 10N24W, and
westward to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 07N40W to
11N53W. In addition to the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is present near
the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1014 mb low pressure is analyzed over the NE Gulf near
29N87W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are over
Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are noted elsewehre over the Gulf
waters. A diffluent pattern aloft supports this convective
activity. A weak ridge dominates the remainder of the basin.
Under this pattern, gentle to locally moderate winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail. Winds and seas could be higher near
thunderstorms.

For the forecast, cloudiness and showers associated with a weak
low pressure area centered about 125 miles south of Pensacola,
Florida, have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Some additional slow development of this system is possible
during the next few days as it drifts westward. Currently, this
system has a low chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7
days. Regardless of development, mariners over the northeast and
north-central Gulf can expect thunderstorms with gusty winds and
locally higher seas into early next week. Elsewhere, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds and
slight seas into into late next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated to a strong tropical wave that will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight.

High pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low
supports fresh to strong trades offshore Colombia where seas are
7 to 9 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
are found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean, and also
in the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Convection has fakred-up over
most of Cuba and Jamaica while a tropical wave is enhancing
convection over Dominican Republic. Showers and thunderstorms
ahead of the remnant of Dolly are reaching the northern Leeward
Islands.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave will cross the northern
Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sun
and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will bring strong
to near gale force winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms with
locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters. Otherwise, the pressure
gradient between high pressure north of the basin and lower
pressure over South America will support strong trades and rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this weekend. These winds
will diminish slightly early next week as the aforementioned
tropical wave disrupts the pressure gradient.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about a strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, that is approaching
the Lesser Antilles.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring between Bermuda
and the Bahamas, particularly N of 24N and W of 68W. A diffluent
pattern aloft is helping to induce this convective activity. A
ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a 1026 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near
35N33W. Another high pressure center of 1026 mb is noted NE of
Bermuda near 35N54W. Aside from the winds and seas associated
with the remnants of Dolly, fresh to locally strong northerly
winds and moderate to rough seas are evident N of 20N and E of
20N to the coast of W Africa, including the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, the ridge generally supports moderate to locally fresh
winds easterly winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave
will bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer
trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early
next week. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
Winds will pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola
through Sun night.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Aug 29 23:32:52 2026

779
AXNT20 KNHC 292332
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall: Disorganized showers and thunderstorm continue
in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located
about 300 miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there are
no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation.
Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward
to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally
heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days.
The main hazards for Puerto Rico will be urban flooding, lightning,
and gusty winds, especially tonight into Monday. The potential
for isolated flash flooding is lower but cannot be ruled out.
Rainfall amounts and the location of the highest totals remain
uncertain. Islands local topography could enhance orographic
lift and support additional rainfall, varying by island. Peak
rainfall rates are expected from tonight through Sun.

Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9sdaTQUmkfT5S3leE6AEcTqUKPzxZPdB4cuZOo0797aq3aBM6CCf6JKKEu1oPTCD8J4Pn1LzfJv6Y4cyBDoejQnXvW0$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 34W, south of 18N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.

A tropical wave is along 58W, south of 21N, moving westward around
20 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure, remnants of T.S. Dolly, is along
the wave axis near 17N58W. A cluster of moderate to isolated
strong convection is within about 90 nm NW quadrant of low
center. Fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas are
noted on either side of the wave axis per scatterometer and
altimeter data, covering roughly the waters from 16N to 22N
between 50W and 60W.

A tropical wave is along 70W and extends from Dominican Republic
to western Venezuela, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near the wave axis, affecting
Dominican Republic and the southern offshore waters.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to
enhance convection over parts of Central America.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, and extends SW to near 10N24W, and
westward to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 07N40W to
11N53W. In addition to the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is present near
the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1014 mb low pressure is analyzed over the NE Gulf near
29N87W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are over
Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are noted elsewehre over the Gulf
waters. A diffluent pattern aloft supports this convective
activity. A weak ridge dominates the remainder of the basin.
Under this pattern, gentle to locally moderate winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail. Winds and seas could be higher near
thunderstorms.

For the forecast, cloudiness and showers associated with a weak
low pressure area centered about 125 miles south of Pensacola,
Florida, have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Some additional slow development of this system is possible
during the next few days as it drifts westward. Currently, this
system has a low chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7
days. Regardless of development, mariners over the northeast and
north-central Gulf can expect thunderstorms with gusty winds and
locally higher seas into early next week. Elsewhere, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds and
slight seas into into late next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated to a strong tropical wave that will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight.

High pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low
supports fresh to strong trades offshore Colombia where seas are
7 to 9 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
are found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean, and also
in the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Convection has fakred-up over
most of Cuba and Jamaica while a tropical wave is enhancing
convection over Dominican Republic. Showers and thunderstorms
ahead of the remnant of Dolly are reaching the northern Leeward
Islands.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave will cross the northern
Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sun
and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will bring strong
to near gale force winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms with
locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters. Otherwise, the pressure
gradient between high pressure north of the basin and lower
pressure over South America will support strong trades and rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this weekend. These winds
will diminish slightly early next week as the aforementioned
tropical wave disrupts the pressure gradient.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about a strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, that is approaching
the Lesser Antilles.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring between Bermuda
and the Bahamas, particularly N of 24N and W of 68W. A diffluent
pattern aloft is helping to induce this convective activity. A
ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a 1026 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near
35N33W. Another high pressure center of 1026 mb is noted NE of
Bermuda near 35N54W. Aside from the winds and seas associated
with the remnants of Dolly, fresh to locally strong northerly
winds and moderate to rough seas are evident N of 20N and E of
20N to the coast of W Africa, including the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, the ridge generally supports moderate to locally fresh
winds easterly winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave
will bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer
trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early
next week. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
Winds will pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola
through Sun night.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 30 04:31:44 2026

018
AXNT20 KNHC 300431
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall: Clusters of showers and thunderstorm
continue in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly,
located along 59W-60W, moving westward around 20 kt. Satellite
imagery tonight shows strong SW upper level wind shear continuing
to impact this system, with the remnants of the low level center
exposed to the west of most of the convection, and approaching the
island of Barbuda at this time. A well defined middle level
cyclonic circulation is farther east along 57W, and has spawned an
area of scattered to locally numerous moderate isolated strong
convection from 17N to 20.5N between 55.5W and 60W. Recent
satellite scatterometer data suggests that there are no signs that
the system is developing a closed circulation, but rather remains
a sharp trough. Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it
moves westward to west-northwestward around 20 kt. The wave is
expected to bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions
of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the
adjacent waters over the next several days. Rainfall amounts and
the location of the highest totals will vary from island to
island, as local topography will enhance orographic lift and
support the heaviest rainfall. Please refer to your local weather
agency for specific rainfall forecasts for your local area.

Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!8Vt_CtP3dh0oBvJAAna4-946RMet7EiUvWhfHcbjBFxI_p65Veo7zlAaNk5ZeGWe1ff9csCwEViCtxATiyC8b4qgVr0$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 36W-37W, south of 17N, moving westward
at around 15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are
within 90 nm of the wave axis.

A tropical wave is along 59W-60W, south of 21N, moving westward
around 20 kt. Fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas
are noted from 15N to 23N between 54W and 64W. See the Special
Features section above for more information on this wave.

A tropical wave is along 73W and extends from Dominican Republic
to eastern Colombia, moving westward near 20 kt. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is occurring behind the wave
across interior portions of Venezuela, while no significant
convection is noted over water.

A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 83W, south
of 15N, moving westward at 5 kt. The wave appears to be
reorganizing while interacting with the monsoon trough in this
area. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted over
portions of Central America and adjacent tropical eastern Pacific
waters from 04N to 10N between 78W and 85W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W, and extends S-SW to near 10N24W. The ITCZ
continues from 12N25W to 11N35W, then resumes from 08N40W to
06N49W to 11.5N59W. In addition to the convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is noted from
05N to 13.5N between 18W and 34W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted within 120 nm S and 180 nm N of the ITCZ
between 40W and 55W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered moderate convection is occurring near a weak 1014 mb
low pressure center over the N central Gulf near 28.5N88W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted elsewhere dotting the
eastern Gulf waters E of 87W. A middle level trough and upper
level diffluent pattern aloft supports this convective activity.
A weak 1016 mb high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N93W, and
dominates the remainder of the basin. Under this pattern, gentle
to locally moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
Moderate to locally fresh NE winds are occurring across the east
and central Bay of Campeche, ahead of the typical thermal trough
over the Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, weak low pressure in the northern Gulf is
generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms E of 90W.
Some slow development of this low is possible during the next few
days as it drifts westward, although there is a low chance of
tropical formation over the next seven days. Regardless of
development, mariners over the northeast and north-central Gulf
should expect active thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally
higher seas into early next week. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds and slight seas
into into late next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal
surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave that will
cross the northern Leeward Islands tonight and Sun.

Atlantic high pressure continues a broad ridge along 35N extending
westward to near 70W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and
a 1007 mb Colombian low supports fresh to strong trades offshore
Colombia to 15N where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are found elsewhere across the
north- central and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. Squalls and showers
ahead of the remnants of Dolly are moving across northern Leeward
Islands and into the adjacent Caribbean waters.

For the forecast, a strong tropical wave will cross the northern
Leeward Islands tonight, then Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sun
and Sun night, and Hispaniola Mon. This wave will bring strong to
locally near gale force winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms with
locally heavy rainfall across the islands and adjacent waters.
Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the basin and lower pressure over South America will support
strong trades and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean this
weekend. These winds will diminish slightly early next week as
the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure gradient.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, that is
approaching the Lesser Antilles.

Abundant low level moisture continues to shift northwestward
across the Bahamas and waters to the E and NE, and is interacting
with a middle level trough extending from the eastern Gulf of
America northeastward into the Atlantic. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms are occurring across the Bahamas N of 24N, between
70W and 80W, producing areas of strong gusty winds. The Atlantic
ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a 1026 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near
35N32W and extends a ridge westward along 35W to 70W. South of the
ridge, fresh to strong winds associated with the remnants of
Dolly prevail across the area S of 25N between 53W aND 67W.
Elsewhere across the tropical Atlantic, moderate to fresh trade
winds prevail S of 24N between 25W and 45W, while fresh NE winds
are noted from 10N to 16N between 45W and 52W. Farther east, fresh
to locally strong northerly winds and moderate to rough seas are
evident N of 20N and E of 20N to the coast of W Africa, including
the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, the ridge generally supports
moderate to locally fresh winds easterly winds and moderate seas.

For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight, then Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola on Mon. This wave
will bring strong to locally near gale force winds, rough seas,
and scattered thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to these
islands and nearby waters S of 23N. Elsewhere, abundant tropical
moisture and a deep- layer trough will aide in scattered
thunderstorms W of 70W into early next week. To the east, the
subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong
off northern Hispaniola through Sun night.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 30 09:52:00 2026

264
AXNT20 KNHC 300951
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0935 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall across the NE Caribbean: A strong tropical
wave, associated with the remnants of Dolly, is moving across the
northern Leeward Islands producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms, especially from 15N to 22N and between 56W and
65W. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there
are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is
unlikely while the wave moves westward to west-northwestward at
about 25 mph. The system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty
winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico over the next couple of days. The wave is expected to
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the adjacent
waters over the next several days. Rainfall amounts and the
location of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as
local topography will enhance orographic lift and support the
heaviest rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for
specific rainfall forecasts for your local area.

Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!7omtfLS1EVRkjwLdNmHVnSkpJWSortM6epjOGaFu_ppeuMjB_Cm4MHjN1iRyw4F1_sCzfO736DpJqckyyXhmQPB8D8Y$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring within 90 nm on both sides of the
trough axis.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 62W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Fresh to locally near gale-force
winds and rough seas are associated with this wave. Recently a
buoy north of the Leeward Islands reported winds gusts to 41 kt
and gusts to 43 kt has been reported in the northern Leewards. See
the Special Features section above for more information on this
wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 18N, moving
westward near 20 kt. No significant convection is noted over
water.

For information about the tropical wave crossing Central America,
please read the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 11N29W. The
ITCZ extends from 12N31W to 11N37W and then from 09N40W to 07N47W
and to 10N62W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
present within 150 nm on both sides of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1015 mb low pres south of the mouth of the Mississippi River is
producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the
north-central Gulf waters. A surface trough is noted in the
eastern Gulf, also supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. A weak high pressure system dominates the
remainder of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
and seas of 2-4 ft are found in the north-central and eastern Gulf
waters, especially east of 90W and eastern Bay of Campeche.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, some slow development of this system
(aforementioned low pres) is possible during the next few days as
it drifts westward across the northern Gulf. Regardless of
development, mariners over the northern Gulf waters can expect
thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally higher seas over the
next few days. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will persist through
the forecast period, sustaining moderate or weaker winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the northern Leeward Islands.

The eastern Pacific monsoon trough is helping to enhance a few
showers and isolated thunderstorms in the southwest Caribbean
waters, especially off Panama. High pressure north of the islands
sustains fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft
in the central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.

For the forecast, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly will bring
scattered showers and thunderstorms, strong winds and rough seas
today to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and nearby waters
south of 23N, and then Hispaniola and SE Bahamas on Mon.
Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer trough will
aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early this week. To
the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting mainly
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to
locally strong off northern Hispaniola through tonight.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the Leeward Islands.

Abundant moisture, a surface trough and divergence aloft associated
with an upper level trough over the eastern United States combine
to generate numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms west of
70W. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning and
higher seas near the strongest storms. Elsewhere, a broad
subtropical ridge dominates the remainder of the tropical Atlantic
between Africa and the Bahamas. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail across the area, outside of the influence of
the remnants of Dolly. However, fresh northerly winds and seas of
5-9 ft are found off Morocco and northern Mauritania.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms, strong winds and
rough seas today to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and nearby
waters south of 23N, and then Hispaniola and SE Bahamas on Mon.
Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep- layer trough
will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early this
week. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola through tonight..

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 30 15:37:50 2026

730
AXNT20 KNHC 301537
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Significant Rainfall across the NE Caribbean: A strong tropical
wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is producing scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection from 15N-21N between
58W-67W, including Puerto Rico eastward across the Virgin Islands
and the northern Leeward Islands. Fresh to locally near-gale winds and
8-12 ft seas are associated with this wave from 18N-22N between
60W-65W. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that
there are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and
redevelopment is unlikely during the next day or two while the
wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 20 kt. The
system should bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto
Rico over the next couple of days. Rainfall amounts and the
location of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as
local topography will enhance orographic lift and support the
heaviest rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for
specific rainfall forecasts for your local area. Conditions may
become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week
as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of America and the
system has a low chance of formation through 7 days

Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!6vF-y494d6mIfpCmamMOgDjlCC5ES5EG9ROQy5jvO0V9oFGq_ysQAabDw-4p_ca2mUMnopz5s1USk6bJUnLzdRbLh5g$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 22N,
moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is occurring from 13N-15N between 33W-40W.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south of 23N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 15N-21N between 58W-67W. See
the Special Features section above for more information on this
wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W, south of 2-N,
moving westward near 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is occurring south of 11N between 77W-83W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Mauritania at
20N16W southwestward to 10N29W. The ITCZ begins there and extends
to 10N39W, where it breaks for the central Atlantic tropical wave.
The ITCZ resumes at 09N43W and extends westward to coastal Guyana
at 08N59W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 10N-15N
east of 21W and from 07N-11N between 45W-57W. Isolated moderate
convection is also noted from 07N-10N between 15W-45W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1014 mb low pressure about 100 NM south of the mouth of the
Mississippi River is producing a cluster of thunderstorms in the
north-central waters. Aside from gusty winds in thunderstorms, peak
winds are around 20 kt and seas 4 ft. Elsewhere, winds across the
Gulf are moderate or weaker with seas 1-3 ft.

For the forecast, slow development of the low is possible over
the next couple of days as it moves west or west-northwest across
the northern basin. Regardless of development, mariners over the
north-central and northwest Gulf can expect strong thunderstorms
with gusty winds and locally higher seas early this week. There is
a low chance of tropical formation of this low pressure over the
next 48 hours. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will persist through
the forecast period, sustaining moderate or weaker winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the NE Caribbean.

The pressure gradient from the Bermuda High north of the area
along with the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the S central Caribbean with seas 5-8 ft.
Additionally, seas of 5-8 ft in NE swell are impacting the
Anegada Passage. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas
2-4 ft.

For the forecast, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly will move
quickly westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
eastern Cuba into Tue. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure
gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will
continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades and
moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the NE Caribbean.

The Bermuda-Azores High extends as a ridge along 34N with a 1025
mb center at 34N54W and a second 1026 mb center at 34N32W. The
pressure gradient from those to lower pressure over the ITCZ and
monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to locally strong trades
this morning with seas of 3-7 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
also noted north of 25N between 73W-77W associated with a surface
trough extending from 28N76W to beyond 31N74W.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will move quickly westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and
Monday, then eastern Cuba into Tue, bringing similar conditions to
waters S of 23N early this week. Elsewhere, abundant tropical
moisture and a deep-layer trough will aide in scattered
thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue. To the east, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong off
Hispaniola through tonight.

$$
Landsea/Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Aug 30 23:02:16 2026

385
AXNT20 KNHC 302301
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A low pressure area is located over the northern Gulf of America
about 125 miles south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana.
Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that
this system has become better organized since yesterday.
Additional development is possible as the low moves slowly west-
northwestward, and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical
storm could form before the system reaches the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts Tuesday or Tuesday night. Interests
along the Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the
progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible over portions of the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next couple of days.
this system has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation
through 48 hours, and also through 7 days.

Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico
eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward
Islands. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that
there are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and
redevelopment is unlikely during the next day or two while the
wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The
system should bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
and Hispaniola over the next couple of days. Conditions may
become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week
as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of America. Showers
and thunderstorms are currently affecting the Lesser Antilles
mainly north of St. Lucia, Puerto Rico and the US/UK Virgin
Islands and Dominican Republic. Rainfall amounts and the location
of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as local
topography will enhance orographic lift and support the heaviest
rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for specific
rainfall forecasts for your local area.

Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9MsD2O-W6iNUBAEbfYdvLf4Mbk82s8DQYF7QihFsOSUZq8sQsPZdOZVusDEmLupPIOHps0kBEDTjn8rHXmL_JaIcD-0$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is added to 1800 UTC analysis/surface map along
20W south of 20N. Some shower activity is near the wave axis.

Another tropical is along 42W, south of 21N, moving westward at
around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted where
the wave meets the ITCZ.

A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
along 66W. Please, see the Special Features section for more
details.

Another tropical is over the central Caribbean with axis near
80W, south of 20N, moving westward near 20 kt. The wave appears
to enhance convection over the SW Caribbean, especially over
western Panama. A few showers are near the northern end of the
wave axis over the Cayman Islands.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Mauritania at
20N16W southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ begins there and
extends to 10N39W, then resumes at 09N43W and continues westward
to NE Venezuela at 08.5N60W. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 04N to 10N between 23W and 60W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1014 mb low pressure (AL97) about 100 NM south of the mouth of
the Mississippi River is producing scattered thunderstorms in
the north-central waters. Aside from gusty winds in thunderstorms,
peak winds are around 20 kt and seas 4 ft. Scatterometer data
indicate the cyclonic circulation of this system, and a closed
low is analyzed. Elsewhere, winds across the Gulf are moderate or
weaker with seas 1 to 3 ft.

For the forecast, additional development is possible as the above
mentioned low moves slowly west-northwest and a short-lived
tropical depression or tropical storm could form before the
system reaches the Upper Texas or SW Louisiana coasts Tue or Tue
night. Regardless of development, mariners over the north-central
and northwest Gulf can expect strong thunderstorms with gusty
winds and locally higher seas early this week. Elsewhere, weak
high pressure will persist through the forecast period, sustaining
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to
fresh with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the NE Caribbean.

The pressure gradient from the Bermuda High north of the area
along with the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the south-central Caribbean with seas of 5 to 8 ft.
Additionally, rough seas in NE swell are impacting the Atlantic
passages of the NE Caribbean. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker with seas 2 to 4 ft.

For the forecast, as previously mentioned, a strong tropical
wave is producing numerous thunderstorms, strong winds, and rough
seas over the far NE Caribbean, northern Leeward Islands, Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, and adjacent Atlantic waters. This wave
will move westward toward Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
affect eastern Cuba into Tue. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low
will continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades
and moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the NE Caribbean.

The Bermuda-Azores High extends as a ridge along 34N with a 1025
mb center at 34N53W and a second 1025 mb center at 34N32W. The
pressure gradient from those to lower pressure over the ITCZ and
monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to locally fresh trades
with seas of 4 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
also noted north of 25N W of 60W, including parts of the Bahamas,
and most of the Florida Peninsula. A diffluent pattern aloft
continues to support this convective activity.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will move westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
eastern Cuba into Tue, bringing similar conditions to waters S of
23N early this week. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a
deep-layer trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W
through Tue. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
Winds will pulse to locally strong off Hispaniola tonight.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 04:26:28 2026

991
AXNT20 KNHC 310426
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A 1012 mb low pressure system is located over the north-central
Gulf of America, south of the mouth of the Mississippi River, near
28N 89.5W, and drifting westward near 5 kt. Scattered to numerous
moderate isolated strong convection is occurring within 90 nm of
this low. Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data
indicate that this system has become better organized since
yesterday, 20 to 25 kt winds occurring across the NE semicircle.
Additional development is possible as the low moves slowly west- northwestward, and a short- lived tropical depression or tropical
storm could form before the system reaches the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts Tuesday or Tuesday night. Interests
along the Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the
progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible over portions of the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next couple of days. In
anticipation of this intensification occurring, a Gale Warning has
been issued. This system has a high chance of tropical cyclone
formation through 7 days.

Near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
producing sporadic bursts of showers and thunderstorms from the
Mona Passage east and southeastward across portions of Puerto
Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the adjacent NE Caribbean and
Atlantic waters to the northern Leeward Islands. Satellite data
and surface observations indicate that there are no signs of a
closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is unlikely during
the next day or two while the wave moves westward to west-
northwestward at about 20 kt. This system will bring locally heavy
rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola over the next couple
of days. Conditions may become more conducive for redevelopment by
the middle of the week as the system reaches the southeastern
Gulf of America. Currently, scattered to numerous moderate to
strong convection extends from the St Croix area southeastward to
the waters just W of the northern Leeward Islands. Strong winds 20
to 30 kt accompany this wave, with seas to 8 to 11 ft across much
of the nearby Atlantic waters, and 6 to 9 ft in the Caribbean
Passages. Rainfall amounts and the location of the highest totals
from this broad system will vary from island to island, as local
topography will enhance orographic lift and support the heaviest
rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for specific
rainfall forecasts for your local area.

Please, refer to the HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!-xt_WxlwZkcSfLAxwTWA8HYZryfVA7o2W7fqKCptvKHpgaBvZXgclQkxEJavB6kI9gN2OZ3CBQuRffugLEf0T9d0bzc$ and the latest NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!-xt_WxlwZkcSfLAxwTWA8HYZryfVA7o2W7fqKCptvKHpgaBvZXgclQkxEJavB6kI9gN2OZ3CBQuRffugLEf0d0XcZSA$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is moving away from the African coast, along 22W
south of 20N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated shower
activity is near the wave axis.

Another Atlantic tropical is along 42W-43W, south of 21N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 07N to 15.5N between 38W and 47W.

A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly,
extends from the Atlantic near 22N66W south-southwestward through
the Mona Passage then southwestward to NW Venezuela. Scattered to
numerous strong convection is occurring ahead of the wave across
northern Colombia. Please, see the Special Features section for
more details.

Another tropical is over the western Caribbean near 82W, south of
19N, moving westward near 20 kt. The wave appears to enhance
convection over the SW Caribbean, south of 15N and west of 80W,
especially over northern Costa Rica and coastal sections of
Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from Gambia at 13N17W
southwestward to 08.5N25W. The ITCZ begins near 10N27W and
extends to 12.5N43W, then resumes at 10N46W and continues
westward to coastal Venezuela at 10N63W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 08N to 11N east of 20W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 09N
between 26W and 38W and from 07N to 11N between 47W and 59W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered to numerous moderate isolated strong convection has
become concentrated within 90 nm of a 1012 mb low pressure (AL97)
south of the mouth of the Mississippi River, near 28N 89.5W. Fresh
to strong E to SE winds are occurring across the N and E portions
of this low, where seas are to 5 ft. Scattered weak to moderate
showers dot the eastern portions of the Gulf, and have diminished
in intensity and coverage in recent hours. Elsewhere, a weak
pressure gradient prevails across the basin, producing moderate
or weaker winds with seas 1 to 3 ft.

For the forecast, Invest AL97 has become better defined and
continued gradual development is expected as the low moves slowly
west- northwestward, and a short-lived tropical depression or
tropical storm is likely to form before the system reaches the
Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coasts on Tuesday or Tuesday
night. A Gale Warning has been issued in anticipation of this
intensification. There is a high chance of tropical formation of
this low pressure over the next 48 hours. Elsewhere, weak high
pressure will persist through the forecast period, sustaining
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to
fresh with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the Yucatan
Peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the NE Caribbean.

The pressure gradient between a weak Bermuda High north of the
area and a 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the south-central Caribbean south of 14N with seas of
5 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh winds have shifted across the SE
Caribbean where seas are 4 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate
or weaker with seas 5 ft or less.

For the forecast, as previously mentioned, a strong tropical wave
moving across the eastern Caribbean and adjacent Atlantic waters will
move westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
eastern Cuba into Tue with strong gusty winds, rough seas and
periods of heavy rainfall. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low
will continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades and
moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the NE Caribbean.

The Bermuda-Azores High extends as a ridge along 34N with a 1027
mb center at 34N34W extending westward to 75W. The pressure
gradient between the ridge and lower pressure near the ITCZ and
monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to locally fresh trades S
of 24N between 30W and 60W, with seas of 4 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms continue across the waters N of 24N and
W of 60W, including the NW Bahamas, as a middle level trough
continues across this area.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will move W to W-NW and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday,
then eastern Cuba into Tue, bringing strong gusty winds, rough seas
and periods of heavy rainfall to waters S of 23N through early
this week. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer
trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue.
To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 10:09:26 2026

996
AXNT20 KNHC 311009
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0955 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Northern Gulf of America (AL97): An area of low pressure (Invest
AL97) is near 27N90W over the northern Gulf of America, located
more than 85 nm south of the coast of southern Louisiana. Numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is present north of 26N and
between 88W and 92W. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that
the circulation has not become much better defined from yesterday
while producing 25 to 30 kt winds. Regardless, additional development
is anticipated as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, and a
short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to
form before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern
Louisiana coasts by tonight or Tuesday morning. Interests along
the southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the
progress of this system, as tropical storm watches or warnings
could be required for portions of the area later today. Regardless
of development, this system is expected to bring locally heavy
rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana
coasts during the next several days. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system
later this morning. This system has a high chance of tropical
cyclone formation through 7 days.

Please, refer to the HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9mV4KkHjttrCwmQmxMQSxkPTUT8snm3AVM4wsRbkIHpoS3zxGxY9fTjXYuTsTlNnlRYKyrIDlpmD-2tzBJsVFdWYAvI$ and the latest NHC
Tropical Weather Outlook at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9mV4KkHjttrCwmQmxMQSxkPTUT8snm3AVM4wsRbkIHpoS3zxGxY9fTjXYuTsTlNnlRYKyrIDlpmD-2tzBJsV3cls6GY$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. A few showers are noted near the
trough axis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 43W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is present from 08N to 16N and between 37W and 49W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 74W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is observed
over the ocean.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 84W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring south in eastern Honduras and
Nicaragua and nearby waters.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N37W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N37W to 10N44W and then from 10N46W to 09N61W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from
04N to 14N and east of 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Invest AL97 over the north-central Gulf waters.

Away from the disturbance in the north-central Gulf, a weak high
pressure dominates the basin supporting moderate or weaker winds
and slight to locally moderate seas.

For the forecast, an area of low pressure...Invest AL97...located
near 27N90W over the northern Gulf waters is producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. The system has a high chance
of tropical development over the next couple of days as it moves
toward the NW Gulf coast. Regardless, is expected to bring locally
heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and southwestern
Louisiana coasts during the next several days. Near gale-force
winds and rough seas are forecast to develop in the nearshore
waters this afternoon into tonight. Conditions will improve Tue.
Away from this system, weak high pressure will prevail allowing
for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A surface trough is moving across eastern Hispaniola producing
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms with some storms
extending eastward to the Leeward Islands. Strong storms are also
noted in the SW Caribbean off Panama and Colombia. The pressure
gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the islands and
lower pressures in the deep tropics has slacken a bit as the
remnants of Dolly pass over the Greater Antilles. Moderate to
locally strong easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are occurring in
the central and eastern Caribbean, including the Windward Passage.
Light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, a surface trough located across eastern Hispaniola is producing a few showers and isolated thunderstorms, along with strong
winds and rough seas. This trough will move WNW and continue to
impact Hispaniola today, then Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed.
Localized heavy rainfall is possible, especially in the
mountainousterrain. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure
gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will
continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades and
moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Divergence aloft and plenty of moisture continue to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms between Bermuda and
the NW Bahamas and Florida. Farther south, a surface trough moving
across eastern Hispaniola is generating scattered showers and some thunderstorms over the waters south of 24N and between the SE
Bahamas and 65W. Moderate to locally strong SE winds and rough
seas are occurring south of 26N and between 62W and the Bahamas.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also noted in the north-central Atlantic due to an upper level low in the area. The
rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad
subtropical ridge centered near 33N35W. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are found across much of the
basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
located across eastern Hispaniola is producing a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms, along with strong winds and rough seas.
This trough will move WNW and continue to impact Hispaniola today,
then Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed, bringing similar
conditions to waters S of 24N. Strong upper-level winds are
expected to prevent tropical development of this system over the
next day or two while it moves quickly westward to west-
northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Conditions could become more
conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the
system reaches the southern Bahamas or Florida Straits. The
disturbance has a low chance of formation over the next 7 days.
Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep- layer trough
will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue. To the
east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting mainly
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.

$$
Delgado

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 17:05:38 2026

920
AXNT20 KNHC 311616
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Potential Tropical Cyclone Five: Potential Tropical Cyclone Five
is centered near 27.8N 91.0W at 31/1500 UTC or 110 nm S of Morgan
City Louisiana, moving WNW at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1013 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with
gusts to 40 kt. Rough seas are building, mainly to the north of
the center. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
present north of 26N and between 88W and 92W. A continued slow
west-northwest motion is expected for the next day or two, and the
system is forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf coast Tue.
Strengthening is forecast and the system is forecast to become a
tropical storm by tonight. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9SEn0TnB72CrJAlvPb_88lLj1jyxbwq-ZmHre2jRTJpvOAvApiYRGC5oHYkL0nZYY7c5uuFw15o9tj9MqTmj6S3nJvs$ and the latest Five
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9SEn0TnB72CrJAlvPb_88lLj1jyxbwq-ZmHre2jRTJpvOAvApiYRGC5oHYkL0nZYY7c5uuFw15o9tj9MqTmjPYj_1is$
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 25W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 11N between 20W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 08N to 16N and between 39W and 49W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 76W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
developed S of 12N between 74W and 77W.

The tropical wave previously in the western Caribbean has moved
inland into Central America.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N41W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N47W to 09N61W. Convection near these features
is primarily associated with the eastern Atlantic tropical wave,
described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Potential Tropical Cyclone Five.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, Potential Tropical Cyclone Five will move to
near 28.3N 91.8W this evening with maximum sustained winds 35 kt
gusts 45 kt, to near 29.1N 93.2W Tue morning with maximum
sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt and inland to near 29.9N 94.4W
Tue evening, to near 31.1N 95.5W Wed morning and dissipate Wed
evening. Conditions will improve Tue. Away from this system, weak
high pressure will prevail allowing for moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information about convection
in the southwest basin. A westward-moving surface trough over
Haiti is inducing scattered moderate convection for the offshore
waters of Hispaniola.

The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
basin and lower pressure in the deep tropics is leading to
moderate to fresh trades across the central and eastern basin,
with locally strong winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this
region are 5 to 7 ft. Winds and seas are moderate in the SW
Caribbean, with gentle trades and slight seas in the NW.

For the forecast, the surface trough currently over Haiti will
impact Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed. Elsewhere across the
basin, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and
Colombian low will continue to induce fresh to locally strong
easterly trades and moderate to locally rough seas over the
central and eastern Caribbean through the week, with moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevailing for the
remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section above for information about convection
south of 20N. Divergence aloft and plenty of moisture continue
to produces scattered moderate convection N of 25N and E of 65W. A
surface trough along 62W, extending southward to 25N, is also
inducing a more concentrated area of thunderstorms. Farther south,
another surface trough moving westward across Haiti extends
northward to the Turks and Caicos, and is also generating
scattered thunderstorms. A final area of convection is cluster
around 28N48W, in association with a deep-layer trough.

A zone of fresh trades is present from 65W to 75W S of 25N, where
seas are 7 to 9 ft. Fresh to strong NNE winds are noted off the
African coast and near the Canary Islands, otherwise, mainly
moderate or weaker winds prevail through the basin, with moderate
seas dominant.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough currently over
Haiti will impact Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed, bringing
similar conditions to waters S of 24N. Elsewhere, abundant
tropical moisture and a deep-layer trough will aide in scattered
thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue. To the east, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas.

$$
Konarik

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 17:39:52 2026

921
AXNT20 KNHC 311616
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Potential Tropical Cyclone Five: Potential Tropical Cyclone Five
is centered near 27.8N 91.0W at 31/1500 UTC or 110 nm S of Morgan
City Louisiana, moving WNW at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 1013 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with
gusts to 40 kt. Rough seas are building, mainly to the north of
the center. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
present north of 26N and between 88W and 92W. A continued slow
west-northwest motion is expected for the next day or two, and the
system is forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf coast Tue.
Strengthening is forecast and the system is forecast to become a
tropical storm by tonight. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5eTcDedfWevmT475Lr-gwUpW96qbu0BfhjTcOyWzREXE_4JmZ5J1vdaQmYHl5v57NkRFIIU9rKIu3sAsyY9XhA9eNU4$ and the latest Five
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5eTcDedfWevmT475Lr-gwUpW96qbu0BfhjTcOyWzREXE_4JmZ5J1vdaQmYHl5v57NkRFIIU9rKIu3sAsyY9XOntVA7Y$
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 25W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 11N between 20W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 08N to 16N and between 39W and 49W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 76W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
developed S of 12N between 74W and 77W.

The tropical wave previously in the western Caribbean has moved
inland into Central America.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N41W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N47W to 09N61W. Convection near these features
is primarily associated with the eastern Atlantic tropical wave,
described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Potential Tropical Cyclone Five.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, Potential Tropical Cyclone Five will move to
near 28.3N 91.8W this evening with maximum sustained winds 35 kt
gusts 45 kt, to near 29.1N 93.2W Tue morning with maximum
sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt and inland to near 29.9N 94.4W
Tue evening, to near 31.1N 95.5W Wed morning and dissipate Wed
evening. Conditions will improve Tue. Away from this system, weak
high pressure will prevail allowing for moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information about convection
in the southwest basin. A westward-moving surface trough over
Haiti is inducing scattered moderate convection for the offshore
waters of Hispaniola.

The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
basin and lower pressure in the deep tropics is leading to
moderate to fresh trades across the central and eastern basin,
with locally strong winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this
region are 5 to 7 ft. Winds and seas are moderate in the SW
Caribbean, with gentle trades and slight seas in the NW.

For the forecast, the surface trough currently over Haiti will
impact Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed. Elsewhere across the
basin, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and
Colombian low will continue to induce fresh to locally strong
easterly trades and moderate to locally rough seas over the
central and eastern Caribbean through the week, with moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevailing for the
remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section above for information about convection
south of 20N. Divergence aloft and plenty of moisture continue
to produces scattered moderate convection N of 25N and E of 65W. A
surface trough along 62W, extending southward to 25N, is also
inducing a more concentrated area of thunderstorms. Farther south,
another surface trough moving westward across Haiti extends
northward to the Turks and Caicos, and is also generating
scattered thunderstorms. A final area of convection is cluster
around 28N48W, in association with a deep-layer trough.

A zone of fresh trades is present from 65W to 75W S of 25N, where
seas are 7 to 9 ft. Fresh to strong NNE winds are noted off the
African coast and near the Canary Islands, otherwise, mainly
moderate or weaker winds prevail through the basin, with moderate
seas dominant.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough currently over
Haiti will impact Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed, bringing
similar conditions to waters S of 24N. Elsewhere, abundant
tropical moisture and a deep-layer trough will aide in scattered
thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue. To the east, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas.

$$
Konarik

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 20:15:36 2026

454
AXNT20 KNHC 312015
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Five: Potential Tropical Cyclone Five has
become more organized this afternoon and is now Tropical
DepressionFive. Tropical Depression Five is centered near 28.0N
90.8W at 31/1800 UTC or 100 nm SSE of Morgan City Louisiana,
moving WNW at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1012 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Seas
to near 11 ft are present north of the center. Numerous moderate
to isolated strong convection is present north of 26N and between
89W and 93W. A continued slow west-northwest motion is expected
for the next day or two, and the depression is forecast to reach
the northwestern Gulf coast Tue. Strengthening is expected and
Five is forecast to become a tropical storm by tonight. Please
read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9GGcEb7l5s3xQTrHQk6uh8iBltdTTCkgwOxMji61Fr_vjgUDPqpBp-7968kAZNB0biYoZmrvEji7_e3PeHG4M2EgJN0$ and the latest Five
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9GGcEb7l5s3xQTrHQk6uh8iBltdTTCkgwOxMji61Fr_vjgUDPqpBp-7968kAZNB0biYoZmrvEji7_e3PeHG4TBuHrTk$
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 25W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 11N between 20W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 08N to 16N and between 39W and 49W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 76W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
developed S of 12N between 74W and 77W.

The tropical wave previously in the western Caribbean has moved
inland into Central America.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N41W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N47W to 09N61W. Convection near these features
is primarily associated with the eastern Atlantic tropical wave,
described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
newly-formed Tropical Depression Five.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, Tropical Depression Five will move to near
28.3N 91.8W this evening with maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts
45 kt, to near 29.1N 93.2W Tue morning with maximum sustained
winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt and inland to near 29.9N 94.4W Tue
evening, to near 31.1N 95.5W Wed morning and dissipate Wed
evening. Conditions will improve Tue. Away from this system, weak
high pressure will prevail allowing for moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

See Tropical Waves section above for information about convection
in the southwest basin. A westward-moving surface trough over
Haiti is inducing scattered moderate convection for the offshore
waters of Hispaniola.

The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
basin and lower pressure in the deep tropics is leading to
moderate to fresh trades across the central and eastern basin,
with locally strong winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this
region are 5 to 7 ft. Winds and seas are moderate in the SW
Caribbean, with gentle trades and slight seas in the NW.

For the forecast, the surface trough currently over Haiti will
impact Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed. Elsewhere across the
basin, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and
Colombian low will continue to induce fresh to locally strong
easterly trades and moderate to locally rough seas over the
central and eastern Caribbean through the week, with moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevailing for the
remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

See Tropical Waves section above for information about convection
south of 20N. Divergence aloft and plenty of moisture continue
to produces scattered moderate convection N of 25N and E of 65W. A
surface trough along 62W, extending southward to 25N, is also
inducing a more concentrated area of thunderstorms. Farther south,
another surface trough moving westward across Haiti extends
northward to the Turks and Caicos, and is also generating
scattered thunderstorms. A final area of convection is cluster
around 28N48W, in association with a deep-layer trough.

A zone of fresh trades is present from 65W to 75W S of 25N, where
seas are 7 to 9 ft. Fresh to strong NNE winds are noted off the
African coast and near the Canary Islands, otherwise, mainly
moderate or weaker winds prevail through the basin, with moderate
seas dominant.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough currently over
Haiti will impact Cuba and the Bahamas Tue into Wed, bringing
similar conditions to waters S of 24N. Elsewhere, abundant
tropical moisture and a deep-layer trough will aide in scattered
thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue. To the east, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas.

$$
Konarik

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Aug 31 23:13:56 2026

636
AXNT20 KNHC 312313
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 01 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Five: Tropical Depression Five is centered
near 28.2N 91.5W at 31/2100 UTC or 90 nm S of Morgan City
Louisiana, moving WNW at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure
is 1011 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40
kt and peak seas to 13 ft. Isolated moderate convection is noted
from 27N-30N between 90W-93W. A west-northwestward to
northwestward motion is forecast during the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the center of the system is predicted to
reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning area on
Tuesday and move inland over southeast Texas on Tuesday night.
Strengthening is expected, and the depression is likely to become
a tropical storm this evening.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!8RjMy388lfEh76HlD4fe-JmvkJR-6B-rQFgNYmEtKhfG13dNBAxXxMCwJ03afxWaQChCbrPb62q0zjJDeGil24G_Ono$ and the latest Five
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!8RjMy388lfEh76HlD4fe-JmvkJR-6B-rQFgNYmEtKhfG13dNBAxXxMCwJ03afxWaQChCbrPb62q0zjJDeGilxT898-U$
for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 11N between 23W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 48W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted in
association with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is noted in
association with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W and continues southwestward to 10N46W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N51W to 09N61W along the coast of Guyana.
Scatted moderate and isolate strong convection is occurring
from 05N-10N between 32N042W. Isolated moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 11N between 23W and 30W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Depression Five.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas.

For the forecast, Tropical Depression Five will intensify to a
tropical storm near 28.8N 92.4W late tonight with maximum
sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt, reach near 29.6N 93.8W Tue
afternoon with maximum sustained winds 45 kt gusts 55 kt, move
inland and weaken to a tropical depression near 30.6N 95.2W late
Tue night, continue inland to near 31.6N 96.1W Wed afternoon and
dissipate late Wed night. Conditions will improve Tue. In the wake
of the tropical cyclone, relatively weak high pressure will
prevail allowing for moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores High north of
the basin and a 1009 mb Colombian Low is leading to moderate to
fresh trades across the central and eastern basin, with locally
strong winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this region are 5
to 7 ft. Winds and seas are moderate in the SW Caribbean, with
gentle trades and slight seas in the NW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and Colombian low will continue to induce fresh to locally
strong easterly trades and moderate to locally rough seas over the
central and eastern Caribbean through the rest of the period,
with moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevailing for the remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A zone of fresh trades is present from 65W to 75W south of 25N,
where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Fresh to locally strong NNE winds are
noted off the African coast and near the Canary Islands,
otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds prevail through the
basin, with moderate seas dominant. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted north of 26N between 70W and
78W. A westward-moving surface trough - the remnants of Tropical
Storm Dolly - from Haiti to 23N70W is inducing scattered moderate
convection for the offshore waters of Hispaniola.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will continue
WNW and impacting the Turks and Caicos, Cuba and some portions of
the central and southeastern Bahamas Tue into Wed bringing similar
conditions to the waters S of about 24N. Elsewhere, abundant deep
tropical moisture will continue to help enhance scattered
thunderstorms W of 65W through Wed. Otherwise, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas over the forecast waters.

$$
Landsea/Konarik

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 04:14:46 2026

340
AXNT20 KNHC 010414
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Sep 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Edouard: Satellite and radar presentation of
Tropical Depression Five have improved this afternoon and evening,
and advisories have been issued for newly upgraded Tropical Storm
Edouard. At 01/0300 UTC Edouard is centered near 28.6N 91.8W, or
145 nm SE of Cameron, Louisiana, moving W-NW at 6 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt and peak seas to 13 ft. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 90 nm across
the northern semicircle. A west-northwestward to northwestward
motion is forecast during the next couple of days. Edouard will be
moving through a favorable environment, and strengthening is
expected until landfall near the Louisiana-Texas border late Tue.
A Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Warning have been issued for a
portion of the northwest Gulf coast.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!4X20WCNWMwInLjNlRXPSEKLM6_CHNBi0xKAFpU0lF0oap7pZDoA2LlMO9bII1DgW8fKMztkQ97qmtozqN9LGd8mNryw$
and the latest Edouard NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory
at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!4X20WCNWMwInLjNlRXPSEKLM6_CHNBi0xKAFpU0lF0oap7pZDoA2LlMO9bII1DgW8fKMztkQ97qmtozqN9LGyJ9kRA8$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W-29W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 12.5N between 24W and 32W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 48W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
noted in from 13.5N to 17.5N between 45W and 48W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
noted moving into NE portions of Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24W to
07.5N31W to 12N47W. The ITCZ extends from 09.5N51W to 08N59W
along the coast of Guyana. Scatted to locally numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to 09N between
32N and 44W. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 09N to
11N between 49W and 52W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Edouard.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas, except for moderate to
locally fresh NE winds along the western coastal waters of the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered evening thunderstorms across
northern and central Florida are shifting westward into the
coastal waters of the Florida Big Bend and up to 75 nm offshore
from Venice to Fort Meyers.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Edouard will move to near 29.2N
93.0W Tue morning, inland to 30.1N 94.3W Tue evening, then move
further inland and weaken to a tropical depression near 31.1N
95.4W Wed morning, before dissipating Wed evening. In the wake of
the tropical cyclone, relatively weak high pressure will prevail
allowing for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The low level remnants of former Dolly, now a surface trough, are
moving across Haiti and the adjacent Atlantic waters tonight,
with a surge of E to SE winds across the NE Caribbean and the Mona
Passage, as recently depicted by satellite scatterometer data.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection extends from the
Windward Passage eastward across portions of Hispaniola, Puerto
Rico and the northern Leeward Islands and the adjacent Caribbean
waters N of 16.5N. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the
Azores High and associated ridge and lower pressure across
northern South America is leading to fresh to locally strong
trades across the central and eastern basin S of 16N and E of 73W,
with highest winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this
region are 5 to 7 ft. To the W of 73W, and the low level remnants
of Dolly, winds and seas are moderate across the SW Caribbean,
with gentle trades and slight seas in the NW Caribbean. Isolated
showers accompany the northern portion of the tropical wave along
81W.

For the forecast, A surface trough, remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly,
will continue to move W-NW and impact the Turks and Caicos, Cuba
and some portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas Tue into
Wed. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient between
the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will continue to induce
fresh to strong easterly trades and moderate to rough seas over
the central and eastern Caribbean through the rest of the period,
with moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevailing for the remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A middle level trough extending from south Florida E-NE to just SW
of Bermuda continues to promote scattered moderate isolated strong
convection across this area, north of 26.5N. A deep layered upper
trough extends from 30N46W to Puerto Rico and is also promoting
scattered moderate convection nearby, with more concentrated
convection across Puerto Rico coastal waters, and near 30N46W. At
the surface, a 1028 mb Azores High near 33N35W extends a ridge
westward to near 66W. Fresh to locally strong E to SE winds are
found S of 25N between 73W, the surface trough and remnants of
Dolly, and Puerto Rico, where seas are to 6 to locally 8 ft, and
accompanied by scattered moderate convection. South of the ridge,
fresh NE to E trade winds prevail S of 24N between 25W and the
tropical wave along 48W. Seas in this zone are 5 to 6 ft.
Elsewhere west of 35W, winds are moderate or less, with seas 3 to
5 ft. Fresh to locally strong NNE winds are noted off the African
coast and near the Canary Islands, south and southwestward to
near 17N and E of 25W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough, remnants of
Tropical Storm Dolly across Haiti and adjacent waters tonight
will continue to move W-NW and impact the Turks and Caicos, Cuba
and some portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas Tue into
Wed, bringing fresh to locally strong SE winds and scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms to the waters S of about 24N.
Elsewhere, abundant deep tropical moisture will continue to help
enhance scattered thunderstorms W of 65W into Florida through
Wed. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas over the
forecast waters.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 04:14:48 2026

339
AXNT20 KNHC 010414
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Sep 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Edouard: Satellite and radar presentation of
Tropical Depression Five have improved this afternoon and evening,
and advisories have been issued for newly upgraded Tropical Storm
Edouard. At 01/0300 UTC Edouard is centered near 28.6N 91.8W, or
145 nm SE of Cameron, Louisiana, moving W-NW at 6 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt and peak seas to 13 ft. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 90 nm across
the northern semicircle. A west-northwestward to northwestward
motion is forecast during the next couple of days. Edouard will be
moving through a favorable environment, and strengthening is
expected until landfall near the Louisiana-Texas border late Tue.
A Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Warning have been issued for a
portion of the northwest Gulf coast.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!56jLi2T97lr8y7BJcUGn9kFgsVN9KsVtFnY53p5WGRESluNTwYdZzJhT-HXyIXfyjobZc_SE9jjtPuqirgmHeQLShRw$
and the latest Edouard NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory
at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!56jLi2T97lr8y7BJcUGn9kFgsVN9KsVtFnY53p5WGRESluNTwYdZzJhT-HXyIXfyjobZc_SE9jjtPuqirgmHeRCE43E$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W-29W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 12.5N between 24W and 32W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 48W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
noted in from 13.5N to 17.5N between 45W and 48W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
noted moving into NE portions of Nicaragua.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24W to
07.5N31W to 12N47W. The ITCZ extends from 09.5N51W to 08N59W
along the coast of Guyana. Scatted to locally numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to 09N between
32N and 44W. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 09N to
11N between 49W and 52W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Edouard.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas, except for moderate to
locally fresh NE winds along the western coastal waters of the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered evening thunderstorms across
northern and central Florida are shifting westward into the
coastal waters of the Florida Big Bend and up to 75 nm offshore
from Venice to Fort Meyers.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Edouard will move to near 29.2N
93.0W Tue morning, inland to 30.1N 94.3W Tue evening, then move
further inland and weaken to a tropical depression near 31.1N
95.4W Wed morning, before dissipating Wed evening. In the wake of
the tropical cyclone, relatively weak high pressure will prevail
allowing for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The low level remnants of former Dolly, now a surface trough, are
moving across Haiti and the adjacent Atlantic waters tonight,
with a surge of E to SE winds across the NE Caribbean and the Mona
Passage, as recently depicted by satellite scatterometer data.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection extends from the
Windward Passage eastward across portions of Hispaniola, Puerto
Rico and the northern Leeward Islands and the adjacent Caribbean
waters N of 16.5N. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the
Azores High and associated ridge and lower pressure across
northern South America is leading to fresh to locally strong
trades across the central and eastern basin S of 16N and E of 73W,
with highest winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this
region are 5 to 7 ft. To the W of 73W, and the low level remnants
of Dolly, winds and seas are moderate across the SW Caribbean,
with gentle trades and slight seas in the NW Caribbean. Isolated
showers accompany the northern portion of the tropical wave along
81W.

For the forecast, A surface trough, remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly,
will continue to move W-NW and impact the Turks and Caicos, Cuba
and some portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas Tue into
Wed. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient between
the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will continue to induce
fresh to strong easterly trades and moderate to rough seas over
the central and eastern Caribbean through the rest of the period,
with moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevailing for the remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A middle level trough extending from south Florida E-NE to just SW
of Bermuda continues to promote scattered moderate isolated strong
convection across this area, north of 26.5N. A deep layered upper
trough extends from 30N46W to Puerto Rico and is also promoting
scattered moderate convection nearby, with more concentrated
convection across Puerto Rico coastal waters, and near 30N46W. At
the surface, a 1028 mb Azores High near 33N35W extends a ridge
westward to near 66W. Fresh to locally strong E to SE winds are
found S of 25N between 73W, the surface trough and remnants of
Dolly, and Puerto Rico, where seas are to 6 to locally 8 ft, and
accompanied by scattered moderate convection. South of the ridge,
fresh NE to E trade winds prevail S of 24N between 25W and the
tropical wave along 48W. Seas in this zone are 5 to 6 ft.
Elsewhere west of 35W, winds are moderate or less, with seas 3 to
5 ft. Fresh to locally strong NNE winds are noted off the African
coast and near the Canary Islands, south and southwestward to
near 17N and E of 25W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough, remnants of
Tropical Storm Dolly across Haiti and adjacent waters tonight
will continue to move W-NW and impact the Turks and Caicos, Cuba
and some portions of the central and southeastern Bahamas Tue into
Wed, bringing fresh to locally strong SE winds and scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms to the waters S of about 24N.
Elsewhere, abundant deep tropical moisture will continue to help
enhance scattered thunderstorms W of 65W into Florida through
Wed. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas over the
forecast waters.

$$
Stripling

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 10:45:46 2026

347
AXNT20 KNHC 011045
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Sep 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Edouard: Tropical Storm Edouard is centered near
29.0N 92.8W at 01/0900 UTC or 60 nm SSE of Cameron Louisiana,
moving WNW at 7 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt and
peak seas to 13 ft. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted within 90 nm across the northern semicircle. A west-
northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the next
couple of days. Edouard will be moving through a favorable
environment, and strengthening is expected until landfall near the Louisiana-Texas border tonight. A Hurricane Watch, Tropical Storm
Warning, and Storm Surge Warning are in effect for portion of the
northwest Gulf coast.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!92tl1et5CP0tfXAbiDmlT5GeUDAm3kTmPeCpmhIMJ0aAybFIvCVwdhzJ8iO6sfp2R10ESq7X_l-_9z72XkYjmbgIOqY$ and the latest
Edouard NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!92tl1et5CP0tfXAbiDmlT5GeUDAm3kTmPeCpmhIMJ0aAybFIvCVwdhzJ8iO6sfp2R10ESq7X_l-_9z72XkYjhnMjph8$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 05N to 14N between 26W and 33W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 23N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted along the wave axis.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted along the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 10N44W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N51W to 08N60W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is occurring from 03N to 10N between 31N and 42W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Edouard.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas, except for moderate to
locally fresh NE winds along the western coastal waters of the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered evening thunderstorms across
northern and central Florida are shifting westward into the
coastal waters of the Florida Big Bend and up to 75 nm offshore
from Venice to Fort Meyers.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Edouard will move to 29.7N 93.8W
this afternoon, move inland and weaken to a tropical depression
near 30.6N 95.0W Wed morning, inland to 31.7N 95.9W Wed afternoon,
and dissipate Thu morning. In the wake of the tropical cyclone,
relatively weak high pressure will prevail allowing for moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The low level remnants of former Dolly, now a surface trough, are
moving across Haiti and the adjacent Atlantic waters, with a
surge of E to SE winds across the NE Caribbean and the Mona
Passage, as recently depicted by satellite scatterometer data.
Scattered moderate convection extends from the Windward Passage
eastward across portions of Hispaniola, Puerto Rico and the
northern Leeward Islands and the adjacent Caribbean waters N of
16.5N. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the Azores High
and associated ridge and lower pressure across northern South
America is leading to fresh to locally strong trades across the
central and eastern basin S of 16N and E of 73W, with highest
winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this region are 5 to 7
ft. To the W of 80W, winds and seas are moderate across the SW
Caribbean, with gentle trades and slight seas in the NW Caribbean.
Scattered moderate convection accompany the northern portion of
the tropical wave along 81W.

For the forecast, the remnants of Dolly will continue moving WNW
through midweek. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will continue to
induce fresh to strong easterly trades and moderate to rough seas
over the central and eastern Caribbean through the rest of the
period, with moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevailing for the remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A middle level trough extending from south Florida E-NE to SW of
Bermuda continues to promote scattered moderate convection across
this area, north of 26N. A deep layered upper trough extends from
30N46W to Puerto Rico and is also promoting scattered moderate
convection nearby, with more concentrated convection across Puerto
Rico coastal waters. At the surface, a 1026 mb Azores High near
35N32W extends a ridge westward to near 66W. Fresh to strong E to
SE winds are found S of 27N and W of 70W, and S of 25N and E of
50W. Moderate seas prevail across the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, the remnants of Dolly will continue
moving WNW through midweek. Elsewhere, abundant deep tropical
moisture will continue to help enhance scattered thunderstorms W
of 63W through Wed. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will
dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas over the forecast waters.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 10:45:50 2026

349
AXNT20 KNHC 011045
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Sep 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Edouard: Tropical Storm Edouard is centered near
29.0N 92.8W at 01/0900 UTC or 60 nm SSE of Cameron Louisiana,
moving WNW at 7 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt and
peak seas to 13 ft. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted within 90 nm across the northern semicircle. A west-
northwestward to northwestward motion is forecast during the next
couple of days. Edouard will be moving through a favorable
environment, and strengthening is expected until landfall near the Louisiana-Texas border tonight. A Hurricane Watch, Tropical Storm
Warning, and Storm Surge Warning are in effect for portion of the
northwest Gulf coast.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!805fKhI0tjanu1LQqSodu1jFJBkVthzGNhB0ydgof3D2dn7w7SfaszSFwXhmgHe8MYUff2fqP6PsI_IfkbVWOLw5RzQ$ and the latest
Edouard NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!805fKhI0tjanu1LQqSodu1jFJBkVthzGNhB0ydgof3D2dn7w7SfaszSFwXhmgHe8MYUff2fqP6PsI_IfkbVWNke0dtA$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 05N to 14N between 26W and 33W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 23N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted along the wave axis.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted along the wave axis.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 10N44W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N51W to 08N60W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is occurring from 03N to 10N between 31N and 42W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Edouard.

Away from this feature, weak high pressure dominates, supporting
gentle or weaker winds and slight seas, except for moderate to
locally fresh NE winds along the western coastal waters of the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered evening thunderstorms across
northern and central Florida are shifting westward into the
coastal waters of the Florida Big Bend and up to 75 nm offshore
from Venice to Fort Meyers.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Edouard will move to 29.7N 93.8W
this afternoon, move inland and weaken to a tropical depression
near 30.6N 95.0W Wed morning, inland to 31.7N 95.9W Wed afternoon,
and dissipate Thu morning. In the wake of the tropical cyclone,
relatively weak high pressure will prevail allowing for moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The low level remnants of former Dolly, now a surface trough, are
moving across Haiti and the adjacent Atlantic waters, with a
surge of E to SE winds across the NE Caribbean and the Mona
Passage, as recently depicted by satellite scatterometer data.
Scattered moderate convection extends from the Windward Passage
eastward across portions of Hispaniola, Puerto Rico and the
northern Leeward Islands and the adjacent Caribbean waters N of
16.5N. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the Azores High
and associated ridge and lower pressure across northern South
America is leading to fresh to locally strong trades across the
central and eastern basin S of 16N and E of 73W, with highest
winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this region are 5 to 7
ft. To the W of 80W, winds and seas are moderate across the SW
Caribbean, with gentle trades and slight seas in the NW Caribbean.
Scattered moderate convection accompany the northern portion of
the tropical wave along 81W.

For the forecast, the remnants of Dolly will continue moving WNW
through midweek. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will continue to
induce fresh to strong easterly trades and moderate to rough seas
over the central and eastern Caribbean through the rest of the
period, with moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevailing for the remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A middle level trough extending from south Florida E-NE to SW of
Bermuda continues to promote scattered moderate convection across
this area, north of 26N. A deep layered upper trough extends from
30N46W to Puerto Rico and is also promoting scattered moderate
convection nearby, with more concentrated convection across Puerto
Rico coastal waters. At the surface, a 1026 mb Azores High near
35N32W extends a ridge westward to near 66W. Fresh to strong E to
SE winds are found S of 27N and W of 70W, and S of 25N and E of
50W. Moderate seas prevail across the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, the remnants of Dolly will continue
moving WNW through midweek. Elsewhere, abundant deep tropical
moisture will continue to help enhance scattered thunderstorms W
of 63W through Wed. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will
dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas over the forecast waters.

$$
ERA

= = = = = = =
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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 17:28:20 2026

012
AXNT20 KNHC 011727
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Sep 1 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1727 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Edouard is centered near 29.4N 93.3W at 01/1500
UTC or 30 nm S of Cameron Louisiana, moving NW at 7 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas are around 15
ft. On the forecast track, the center of Edouard is forecast to
reach the northwestern Gulf Coast within the warning area later
today and move inland over southeast Texas tonight. Additional
strengthening is forecast before Edouard makes landfall today, and
the storm could approach hurricane strength. Rapid weakening is
expected after the center moves inland. Edouard is expected to
produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches with maximum totals up to
9 inches for parts of the Upper Texas Coast inland through east-
central Texas, with potential for 2 to 4 inches in far southwest
Louisiana. This rainfall is likely to produce flash flooding,
especially in low- lying and urban areas. River flooding may also
be possible.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!7nNwhx4vNHg21VwwBN1S74IOw094X9y6bGC9S6hp84RWf4AUrez7jRkL4Jnd5U7Nq0u3JIgoHnWspze9Wh2Ek8i1dpM$ and the latest
Edouard NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!7nNwhx4vNHg21VwwBN1S74IOw094X9y6bGC9S6hp84RWf4AUrez7jRkL4Jnd5U7Nq0u3JIgoHnWspze9Wh2EDCVLzKM$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31.5W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 07N to 13.5N between 27W and 34W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 23N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 15N to 19N, along the wave axis.

The western Caribbean tropical wave is transitioning into the
Eastern Pacific. More information about this wave can be found in
the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion (TWDEP)

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 07N45W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N45W to 10N59.5W. Scattered moderate to
strong convection is occurring from 03N to 10N between 35N and
44.5W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Edouard.

Away from Tropical Storm Edouard, weak high pressure dominates,
supporting gentle or weaker winds and slight seas, except for
moderate E winds along the western coastal waters of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is found in the NE Gulf.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Edouard will move inland to near
30.2N 94.2W this evening with maximum sustained 40 kt gusts to 50
kt, then move farther inland and weaken to a tropical depression
near 31.2N 95.2W Wed morning and dissipate Wed evening. In the
wake of Edouard, relatively weak high pressure will prevail
allowing for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The low level remnants of former Dolly, now a surface trough,
extends from the southeastern Bahamas to eastern Cuba and the
adjacent Atlantic waters. To the east of the trough E to SE winds
prevail. Scattered moderate convection is present near the Isla
de la Juventud, the Windward Passage, portions of Hispaniola, and
the adjacent Caribbean waters N of 16.5N. Elsewhere, the pressure
gradient between the Azores High and associated ridge and lower
pressure across northern South America is leading moderate to
fresh trades across the central and eastern basin E of 78.5W, with
highest winds offshore western Venezuela. Seas in this region are
4 to 6 ft. To the W of 78.5W, winds are gentle along with slight
seas. The eastern end of the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough is
supporting a cluster of moderate convection south of 14N and west
of 79W.

For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough will continue
moving WNW through Thu. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure
gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will
continue to induce fresh to strong easterly trades and moderate to
rough seas over the central and eastern Caribbean through the
rest of the period, with moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the waters.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extending from south Florida E-NE to SW of
Bermuda continues to promote scattered moderate convection across
this area, north of 25N. Another surface trough, remnants of
Tropical Storm Dolly, extends from the southeastern Bahamas to
eastern Cuba. Fresh SE winds are over the waters south of about
20N between 68W and 76W. Elsewhere, a 1027 mb Azores High near
33N33W extends a ridge westward to near 59W. Moderate to fresh
E winds along with seas 4 to 6 ft prevail south of 26N and east
of 50W. Fresh to strong NE are present north of 18N and east of
20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across the
rest of the basin.

For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough, remnants of
Tropical Storm Dolly, will continue moving WNW through Thu.
Elsewhere, abundant deep tropical moisture will continue to help
enhance scattered thunderstorms W of 63W through Wed. Otherwise,
the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas over the forecast waters.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 1 22:58:02 2026

913
AXNT20 KNHC 012257
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2255 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Storm Edouard is centered near 29.9N 94.0W at 01/2100
UTC or 30 nm W of Cameron Louisiana, moving NW at 6 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas are around 10
ft and rapidly subsiding as Eduard pushes inland. Edouard is
moving toward the northwest near 5 kt, and this motion is
expected to continue for the next day or so. Continued weakening
is expected during the next day or so, and Edouard is forecast to
weaken to a tropical depression tonight and dissipate by Wednesday
night. The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!9M4r88MuqZIdg2sDdci_NJP-A5uMsou0qUYcYw5sN_8Cpur8c7Wn1Q8mNd2qtZ3ofgg0_vaAlDx0qZLwokQ_DFvUaNY$ and the latest
Edouard NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!9M4r88MuqZIdg2sDdci_NJP-A5uMsou0qUYcYw5sN_8Cpur8c7Wn1Q8mNd2qtZ3ofgg0_vaAlDx0qZLwokQ_ydp1gws$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present within 120 nm on both sides of the trough.

A well-defined tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along
51W, south of 23N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. The wave is
interacting with an upper level trough and producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms from 15N to 24N and between 48W
and 53W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 09N49W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N53W to 11N60W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is occurring from 04N to 10N between 38N and 46W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Storm Edouard located over SW Louisiana.

Away from Tropical Storm Edouard, a weak pressure gradient results
in moderate or weaker winds and slight seas. A few showers and
isolated thunderstorms are seen in the eastern Gulf as storms
that previously formed over Florida and western Cuba push offshore.

For the forecast, Tropical Storm Edouard is near 29.9N 94.0W, or about
35 nm W of Cameron, Louisiana at 5 PM EDT. It is moving northwest
at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt,
and the minimum central pressure is 998 mb. Edouard will move
inland and weaken to a tropical depression near 30.7N 94.8W late
tonight, then move farther inland to near 31.6N 95.7W Wed
afternoon and dissipate Thu morning. In the wake of Edouard,
relatively weak high pressure will prevail allowing for moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper level low centered west of the Cayman Islands, a surface
trough across Central Cuba and diurnal heating combine to produce
showers and isolated thunderstorms over Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica
and surrounding waters. Similar activity is present in the SW
Caribbean. High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to
strong easterly winds and moderate seas across the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are evident in the north-central and eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will continue moving
WNW through Thu. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge and relatively lower pressure in
northern South America will continue to sustain fresh to strong
trades along with moderate to rough seas over the central and
eastern Caribbean through the next few days while moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas remain over the remainder
of the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas and
South Florida. This feature is interacting with an upper level low
over the Florida panhandle and combined with a divergent flow
aloft, numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms are present
north of 25N and west of 70W.

The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge centered southwest of the Azores. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found between 20W and
55W. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
occurring west of 70W. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
likely occurring near the strongest convection by the Bahamas.
Meanwhile, fresh to strong northerly winds and moderate to rough
seas are present north of 18N and east of 20W off Morocco and NW
Mauritania and the Canary Islands.

For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extends from the
central Bahamas to central Cuba. Moderate to fresh east to
southeast winds are over the waters south of about 26N between 67W
and 77W. The trough will continue moving WNW through Thu.
Elsewhere, abundant deep tropical moisture will continue to help
sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms W of 63W
through Wed. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas over
the forecast waters.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 2 04:37:52 2026

821
AXNT20 KNHC 020437
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Sep 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Edouard continues to move farther inland and
weaken tonight, and is centered near 30.5N 94.6W at 02/0300 UTC,
or about 40 miles NW of Beaumont, Texas, moving NW at 8 mph.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Coastal
observations to the south of Edouard indicated that southerly
winds have diminished to 15 to 20 kt with higher gusts, and seas
there are estimated to have subsided to 4-5 ft. A continued
northwest motion and weakening are expected during the next day
or so, as the system moves over southeastern and eastern Texas
through Wednesday, and is expected to dissipate Thursday. With
Edouard well inland across Texas, and winds and seas diminishing
across the NE Texas and SW Louisiana coastal waters, the main
threat is now heavy rainfall and flash flooding.

Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website - https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml__;!!DZ3fjg!5vB9PXvTI8scQiCVreEiT98qGvEyUJjjIMTINqiLuBVSZmyZ3wlQkEpKUebFburSsZI06Qup_b7L3tXrZOm7NkKw0uY$ and the latest
Edouard NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.hurricanes.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5vB9PXvTI8scQiCVreEiT98qGvEyUJjjIMTINqiLuBVSZmyZ3wlQkEpKUebFburSsZI06Qup_b7L3tXrZOm71h5Ed6c$ for more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 08.5N to 14.5N between 33W and 38W.

A well-defined tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along
52W, south of 23N, moving westward at 15 kt. The wave is
interacting with an upper level trough to it's west, and
producing scattered to locally numerous moderate isolated strong
convection from 16N to 21.5N and between 49W and 53W. Recent
satellite scatterometer data has shown a very sharp surface trough
with this wave, with fresh to strong winds currently from 15N to
21N between 47W and 53W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N20W then
to 09N39W to 10N49W. The ITCZ extends from 09N52W to 08N60W.
Scattered strong convection is emerging off the coast of Africa
from 06.5N to 11N E of 16W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is occurring from 04.5N to 10N between 30N and 46W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Please refer to the Special Features section for information on
Tropical Depression Edouard located over NE Texas.

Away from Tropical Depression Edouard, a weak pressure gradient
prevails across the basin, resulting in moderate or weaker
anticyclonic winds and slight seas. Fresh NE winds prevail across
the coastal waters NW and W portions of the Yucatan Peninsula.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms moving off the W coast of
Florida earlier tonight have almost completely collapsed there.
Isolated showers dot central portions of the basin.

For the forecast, Tropical Depression Edouard will continue to move northwestward, and become a remnant low over eastern Texas Wed
evening and dissipate Thu morning. In the wake of Edouard,
relatively weak high pressure will prevail allowing for moderate
or weaker anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas. Expect
fresh winds near the Texas and Mexican coasts each afternoon and
evening.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper level low from the Cayman Islands to NW Cuba continues to
combine with ample low level moisture moving in from the southeast
to produce lingering scattered to locally numerous showers and
thunderstorms over eastern Cuba, western Haiti and the surrounding
waters between the SE Bahamas and Jamaica. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms also prevail across SW portions and into
the coastal waters of NE Nicaragua and Honduras, behind a tropical
wave exiting Central America and moving into the eastern Tropical
Pacific. Weak Bermuda High pressure north of the basin is
promoting a modest pressure gradient to the south, and yielding
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds across the central and
east-central Caribbean between 63W and 75W, per recent satellite
scatterometer data. Seas are 4 to 7 ft across these waters.
Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight
seas are prevalent W portions, except for moderate winds across
the Gulf of Honduras.

For the forecast, a trough across east-central Cuba and the
adjacent waters will continue moving WNW through Fri, accompanied
by scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, mainly east of
the trough. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge to the north and relatively lower
pressure in northern South America will continue to sustain fresh
to strong trades along with moderate to rough seas over the
central and eastern Caribbean through the next few days, while
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas remain over
the rest of the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A low to middle level trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW
Bahamas and the SE Florida coastal waters. Meanwhile, another low
level trough is moving across eastern Cuba and the SE Bahamas,
with abundant low level moisture behind it. These feature are
combining to produce scattered moderate isolated strong convection
from the NW Bahamas to just SW of Bermuda, and across the coastal
waters of NE and central Cuba, that is being sustained by
divergent flow aloft associated with an upper level low over the
Florida Panhandle. Scattered moderate convection also continues
across the near and offshore waters of Florida W of 78W. Moderate
SE surface winds generally prevail from 70W to the Bahamas as
well as S of 25N between 65W and 70W, were seas are 4 to 6 ft.

The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge centered southwest of the Azores, anchored on a
1027 mb high near 35N35W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are found S of 25N between 30W and 65W. Meanwhile,
fresh to strong northerly winds and moderate to rough seas are
present north of 18N and east of 27W off Morocco and NW
Mauritania and the Canary Islands and into the eastern Atlantic.
Light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere N of 25N.

For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extending from the
central Bahamas to east-central Cuba will continue moving W-NW
through Fri, while moderate to fresh east to southeast winds
over the waters south of about 26N between 68W and 78W continue.
Embedded in this E to SE wind flow, abundant deep tropical
moisture will sustain scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms between Florida and 63W through Fri. Otherwise, the
subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas over the forecast waters.

$$
Stripling

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 2 10:40:20 2026

336
AXNT20 KNHC 021040
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Sep 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 40W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Refer to the monsoon trough section
for convection info.

A well-defined tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along
55W, south of 23N, moving westward at 15 kt. The wave is
interacting with an upper level trough to it's west, and producing
scattered moderate convection along the wave axis and N of 18N.
Recent satellite scatterometer data has shown a very sharp
surface trough with this wave, with fresh to strong winds from
15N to 21N between 47W and 53W and moderate seas.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N20W to
09N47W. The ITCZ extends from 10N54W to 09N61W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 06N to 15N between 31W-42W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

In the wake of Tropical Depression Edouard, which continues
to move N away from the area, a weak pressure gradient prevails
across the basin. Moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds and
slight seas are noted over most of the Gulf waters. Fresh NE
winds prevail across the coastal waters NW and W portions of the
Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
allowing for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper level low from the Cayman Islands to NW Cuba continues to
combine with ample low level moisture moving in from the southeast
to produce lingering scattered showers and thunderstorms over
eastern Cuba, western Haiti and the surrounding waters between the
SE Bahamas and Jamaica. A surface trough extends from central
Cuba to near 20N81W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
also prevail across SW portions and into the coastal waters of NE
Nicaragua and Honduras, behind a tropical wave exiting Central
America and moving into the eastern Tropical Pacific. Weak Bermuda
High pressure north of the basin is promoting a modest pressure
gradient to the south, and yielding moderate to fresh easterly
trade winds across the central and east-central Caribbean between
63W and 75W, per recent satellite scatterometer data. Seas are 4
to 7 ft across these waters. Moderate easterly winds and moderate
seas prevail elsewhere the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight seas are prevalent W portions, except for
moderate winds across the Gulf of Honduras.

For the forecast, the trough will continue moving WNW through
Thu. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades along
with moderate seas over the central and eastern Caribbean through
the next few days, while moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas remain over the remainder of the basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A low to middle level trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW
Bahamas and the SE Florida coastal waters. Meanwhile, another low
level trough is moving across eastern Cuba and the SE Bahamas,
with abundant low level moisture behind it. These feature are
combining to produce scattered moderate isolated strong convection
from the NW Bahamas to just SW of Bermuda, and across the coastal
waters of NE and central Cuba, that is being sustained by
divergent flow aloft associated with an upper level low over the
Florida Panhandle. Scattered moderate convection also continues
across the near and offshore waters of Florida W of 78W. Moderate
SE surface winds generally prevail from 70W to the Bahamas as
well as S of 25N between 65W and 70W, were seas are 4 to 6 ft.

The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge centered southwest of the Azores, anchored on a
1026 mb high near 34N33W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are found S of 25N between 30W and 65W. Meanwhile,
fresh to strong northerly winds and moderate to rough seas are
present north of 18N and east of 27W off Morocco and NW Mauritania
and the Canary Islands and into the eastern Atlantic. Light to
gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere N of 25N.

For the forecast west of 55W, the trough will continue moving WNW
through Thu. Elsewhere, abundant deep tropical moisture will
continue to help sustain scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms W of 63W through today. Otherwise, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas over the forecast waters.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 2 17:00:56 2026

206
AXNT20 KNHC 021700
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1650 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 07N to 15N between 34W and 41W.

A well-defined tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along
56W, south of 23N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is
interacting with an upper level trough to it's west, and producing
scattered to numerous moderate convection from 17N to 23N between
52W and 57W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18.5N16W and
continues southwestward to 09N46W. The ITCZ extends from 09N46W
to 10N53W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 05N to
08N and west of 23.5W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered moderate convection associated with Tropical Depression
Edouard continue to affect the water north of 28.5N between 92W
and 95. Scattered moderate convection is also present over the
eastern Gulf in association to an upper level trough. In the wake
of Tropical Depression Edouard, which continues to move inland, a
weak pressure gradient prevails across the basin. Moderate or
weaker anticyclonic winds and slight seas are noted over most of
the Gulf waters.

For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure over the
region will generally allow for moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas across the Gulf for the next few days.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper level low from the Cayman Islands to NW Cuba continues to
combine with ample low level moisture moving in from the southeast
to produce lingering scattered showers and thunderstorms over
Cuba, western Haiti and the surrounding waters between the Bahamas
and Jamaica. A surface trough extends from central Cuba to near
18N80W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms also prevail across SW
portions and into the coastal waters of NE Nicaragua, Costa Rica,
and Panama. Weak Bermuda High pressure north of the basin is
promoting a modest pressure gradient to the south, and yielding
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds across the central and
east-central Caribbean between 64W and 80W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft
across these waters. Gentle to moderate easterly winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will continue moving
WNW through Fri. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge and relatively lower pressure in
northern South America will continue to sustain fresh to strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the next few days, while moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas remain over the remainder of the
basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A low to middle level trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW
Bahamas and the SE Florida coastal waters. Meanwhile, another low
level trough is moving across eastern Cuba and the SE Bahamas,
with abundant low level moisture behind it. These features are
combining to produce scattered moderate isolated strong convection
from the NW Bahamas to just SW of Bermuda, and across the coastal
waters of NE and central Cuba, that is being sustained by
divergent flow aloft associated with an upper level low over the
Florida Panhandle. Scattered moderate convection also continues
across the near and offshore waters of Florida W of 78W. Moderate
SE surface winds generally prevail south of 27N between 70W and
76W along with seas 4 to 6 ft.

The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge centered south of the Azores, anchored on a
1027 mb high near 36N29W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are found S of 24N between 22W and 58W. Meanwhile,
fresh to strong northerly winds and moderate to rough seas are
present north of 19N and east of 22W. Light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail elsewhere N of 25N.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 70W through the rest of
the week as an upper low gradually shifts westward while abundant
tropical moisture remains in place. A cold front will then
approach from the NW Sat through Sun night enhancing the potential
for scattered and thunderstorms over the NW portion of the area.
Moderate to fresh east to southeast winds are over the waters
south of about 27N between 70W and 77W. Otherwise, the subtropical
ridge will provide for generally moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas over the forecast waters.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 2 17:01:36 2026

205
AXNT20 KNHC 021700
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 2 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1650 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 07N to 15N between 34W and 41W.

A well-defined tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along
56W, south of 23N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is
interacting with an upper level trough to it's west, and producing
scattered to numerous moderate convection from 17N to 23N between
52W and 57W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18.5N16W and
continues southwestward to 09N46W. The ITCZ extends from 09N46W
to 10N53W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 05N to
08N and west of 23.5W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered moderate convection associated with Tropical Depression
Edouard continue to affect the water north of 28.5N between 92W
and 95. Scattered moderate convection is also present over the
eastern Gulf in association to an upper level trough. In the wake
of Tropical Depression Edouard, which continues to move inland, a
weak pressure gradient prevails across the basin. Moderate or
weaker anticyclonic winds and slight seas are noted over most of
the Gulf waters.

For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure over the
region will generally allow for moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas across the Gulf for the next few days.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper level low from the Cayman Islands to NW Cuba continues to
combine with ample low level moisture moving in from the southeast
to produce lingering scattered showers and thunderstorms over
Cuba, western Haiti and the surrounding waters between the Bahamas
and Jamaica. A surface trough extends from central Cuba to near
18N80W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms also prevail across SW
portions and into the coastal waters of NE Nicaragua, Costa Rica,
and Panama. Weak Bermuda High pressure north of the basin is
promoting a modest pressure gradient to the south, and yielding
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds across the central and
east-central Caribbean between 64W and 80W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft
across these waters. Gentle to moderate easterly winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds and slight seas are prevalent.

For the forecast, the aforementioned trough will continue moving
WNW through Fri. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge and relatively lower pressure in
northern South America will continue to sustain fresh to strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the next few days, while moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas remain over the remainder of the
basin.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A low to middle level trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW
Bahamas and the SE Florida coastal waters. Meanwhile, another low
level trough is moving across eastern Cuba and the SE Bahamas,
with abundant low level moisture behind it. These features are
combining to produce scattered moderate isolated strong convection
from the NW Bahamas to just SW of Bermuda, and across the coastal
waters of NE and central Cuba, that is being sustained by
divergent flow aloft associated with an upper level low over the
Florida Panhandle. Scattered moderate convection also continues
across the near and offshore waters of Florida W of 78W. Moderate
SE surface winds generally prevail south of 27N between 70W and
76W along with seas 4 to 6 ft.

The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge centered south of the Azores, anchored on a
1027 mb high near 36N29W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are found S of 24N between 22W and 58W. Meanwhile,
fresh to strong northerly winds and moderate to rough seas are
present north of 19N and east of 22W. Light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail elsewhere N of 25N.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 70W through the rest of
the week as an upper low gradually shifts westward while abundant
tropical moisture remains in place. A cold front will then
approach from the NW Sat through Sun night enhancing the potential
for scattered and thunderstorms over the NW portion of the area.
Moderate to fresh east to southeast winds are over the waters
south of about 27N between 70W and 77W. Otherwise, the subtropical
ridge will provide for generally moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas over the forecast waters.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 2 22:50:22 2026

290
AXNT20 KNHC 022249
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Sep 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An central Atlantic tropical wave is along 42W, south of 21N,
moving westward around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 13N-16N between 38W-43W.

A well-defined tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along
59W, south of 23N, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. The wave
is interacting with an upper-level trough to its west, and
producing scattered moderate convection from 19N-23N
between 55W-60W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Mauritania
near 17N17W and continues southwestward to 10N48W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N48W to 10N56W. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 06N-10N between 15W-33W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1018 mb high centered over the N central Gulf near 29N88W
is leading toward gentle winds across the entire Gulf today.
Isolated moderate convection is occurring from 24N-27N east of 87W
due to an upper-level low.

For the forecast, weak high pressure in place over the region
will generally allow for moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas across the Gulf through the next few days. The
presence of abundant tropical moisture will favor scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the eastern Gulf
through the weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A weak pressure gradient from the Bermuda High north of the area
to a 1010 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to locally strong
trades only in the S central Caribbean with seas 5-6 ft.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas 1-4 ft. A
surface trough extends from central Cuba to near 20N80W with
isolated showers and thunderstorms near the trough and over E
Cuba.

For the forecast, he trough will continue moving WNW through Thu
night while becoming diffuse. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and relatively
lower pressure in northern South America will maintain mostly
fresh trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean,
and over the western portion of the eastern Caribbean through Sat
night. These trades are forecast to increase to fresh to strong
speeds while expanding in coverage over the south-central portion
of the basin beginning Sun. Winds reaching near gale are expected
Mon night and Tue night near Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Fresh to strong east winds are expected in the Gulf of
Honduras Fri night and Mon night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas will continue across the
remainder of the basin during the period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The pressure gradient between a weak 1019 mb Bermuda High at
33N72W and lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is
forcing only moderate to locally fresh trades with seas 3-6 ft.
The only exceptions are fresh to locally strong NE winds with
seas 6-8 ft off of the coast of Western Sahara and the Canary
Islands. In addition to the convection noted over the Atlantic due
to the two tropical waves, a surface trough interacting with an
upper-level low is forcing scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection from 25N-30N between 74W-79W.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 70W through the rest of
the week as a mid-level low and surface trough gradually shift
westward while at the same time abundant tropical moisture remains
in place. A cold front will then approach from the NW Sat through
Sun night enhancing the potential for scattered and thunderstorms
over the NW portion of the area. Moderate to fresh east to
southeast winds are over the waters south of about 27N between 70W
and 77W. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will provide for
generally moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas over the
forecast waters.

$$
Landsea/Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 3 04:36:56 2026

158
AXNT20 KNHC 030436
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Sep 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0435 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is added to the 0000 UTC analysis/surface map
along 18W/19W south of 20N. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 07N to 14N E of 20W to the coast of W Africa.

A tropical wave is along 44W, south of 20N, moving westward at
around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is on either side of
the trough axis from 12N to 17N between 40W and 48W. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds are from 15N to 20N between 40W and 48W.

A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles. Its axis is
along 59W south of 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave
is interacting with an upper-level trough to its west, and
producing scattered moderate convection from 20N to 24N between
54W and 61W. A recent scatterometer pass indicates fresh to strong
winds near the northern end of the wave axis, particularly from
19N to 21N between 55W and 59W. Moisture associated with the wave
will increase the probability of rain across the Lesser Antilles
today.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 17N16W and continues westward to 14N30W to 10N48W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N48W to 11N57W. In addition to the convection associated
with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is observed
from 05N to 08N between 20W and 35W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1016 mb high pressure centered over the NE Gulf near 29N87W
dominates the basin, and is supporting light to gentle winds and
slight seas, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh SE
winds over the west-central waters. Numerous showers and thunderstorms
are affecting the western Florida peninsula and coastal waters.
Meanwhile, the remnants of Edouard continue to add heavy rainfall
to flooded areas across east Texas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure in place over the region will
generally allow for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas across the Gulf through the next few days. The presence of
abundant tropical moisture will favor scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the eastern Gulf through the weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A surface trough extends across the central Bahamas and central
Cuba generating scattered to numerous showers, with embedded
thunderstorms, over most of Cuba and the Cayman Islands. An
upper-level low over the SE Gulf of America and the Yucatan
peninsula is also helping to induce this convective activity.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge N of the area
and the Colombian Low supports fresh to locally strong trade winds
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela.
Moderate to fresh winds dominate the remainder of the central
Caribbean while mainly moderate trades are noted over the eastern
part of the basin. Gentle to locally moderate winds are occurring
in the NW Caribbean. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the strongest winds,
and 3 to 5 elsewhere, except in the NW Caribbean where seas are 1
to 3 ft.

For the forecast, the trough will continue moving WNW through Thu
night while becoming diffuse. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and lower pressure
in northern South America will maintain mostly fresh trades along
with moderate seas over the central Caribbean, and over the western
portion of the eastern Caribbean through Sat night. These trades
are forecast to increase to fresh to strong speeds while expanding
in coverage over the south-central portion of the basin on Sun.
Winds reaching near gale are expected Mon night and Tue night near
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh to strong east winds
are expected in the Gulf of Honduras Fri night and Mon night.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will continue across the remainder of the basin during the period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

As previously mentioned, a surface trough extends over the central
Bahamas and central Cuba, and is generating some shower and
thunderstorm activity over the Bahamas and regional waters. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1026 mb located
NE of the Azores near 41N19W. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and a surface trough over Morocco and Western Sahara is
promoting fresh to locally strong N to NE winds N of 20N and E of
22W, including the Canary Islands. Seas are in the 6 to 8 ft range
with this winds. Moderate to fresh winds are just offshore
Hispaniola with moderate seas. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 70W through the rest of
the week as a mid-level low and surface trough gradually shift
westward while at the same time abundant tropical moisture remains
in place. A cold front will then approach from the NW Sat through
Sun night enhancing the potential for scattered and thunderstorms
over the NW portion of the area. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge
will provide for generally moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas over the forecast waters.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 3 10:11:26 2026

804
AXNT20 KNHC 031011
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Sep 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 20W south of 20N. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N E of 33W to the
coast of W Africa.

A tropical wave is along 45W, south of 20N, moving westward at
around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to
17N between 41W and 49W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds are
from 15N to 20N between 40W and 48W.

A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles, with axis
along 60W south of 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave
is interacting with an upper-level trough to its west, and
producing scattered moderate convection from 20N to 24N between
54W and 62W. Fresh to strong winds are near the northern end of
the wave axis, particularly from 19N to 21N between 55W and 59W.
Moisture associated with the wave will increase the probability of
rain across the Lesser Antilles today.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 17N16W and continues westward to 14N30W to 10N47W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N47W to 09N58W. The convection in the vicinity of
the boundaries is associated with the tropical waves described
above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1016 mb high pressure centered over the NE Gulf near 29N86W
dominates the basin, and is supporting light to gentle winds and
slight seas, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh SE
winds over the west-central waters. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms are affecting the western Florida peninsula and
coastal waters. Meanwhile, the remnants of Edouard continue to add
heavy rainfall to flooded areas across east Texas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure in place over the region will
generally allow for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas across the Gulf through the next few days. The presence of
abundant tropical moisture will favor scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the eastern Gulf through the weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A surface trough extends across the central Bahamas and central
Cuba generating scattered to numerous showers, with embedded
thunderstorms, over most of Cuba and the Cayman Islands. An
upper-level low over the SE Gulf of America and the Yucatan
peninsula is also helping to induce this convective activity.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge N of the area
and the Colombian Low supports fresh to locally strong trade winds
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela.
Moderate to fresh winds dominate the remainder of the central
Caribbean while mainly moderate trades are noted over the eastern
part of the basin. Gentle to moderate winds are occurring in the
NW Caribbean. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the strongest winds, and 3
to 5 elsewhere, except in the NW Caribbean where seas are 1 to 3
ft.

For the forecast, the trough will continue moving WNW through
tonight while becoming diffuse. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and lower pressure
in northern South America will maintain mostly fresh trades along
with moderate seas over the central Caribbean, and over the
western portion of the eastern Caribbean through Sat night. These
trades are forecast to increase to fresh to strong speeds while
expanding in coverage over the south-central portion of the basin
on Sun. Winds reaching near gale are expected Mon night and Tue
night near Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh to strong
east winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras Fri night and Mon
night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will continue across the remainder of the basin through the
period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

As previously mentioned, a surface trough extends over the central
Bahamas and central Cuba, and is generating some shower and
thunderstorm activity over the Bahamas and regional waters. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located
near 27N48W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a
surface trough over Morocco and Western Sahara is promoting fresh
to strong N to NE winds N of 20N and E of 22W, including the
Canary Islands. Seas are in the 6 to 8 ft range with this winds.
Moderate to fresh winds are just offshore Hispaniola with moderate
seas. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 70W through the rest of
the week as a mid-level low and surface trough gradually shift
westward while at the same time abundant tropical moisture remains
in place. A cold front will then approach from the NW this weekend
enhancing the potential for scattered and thunderstorms over the
NW portion of the area. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will
provide for moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas over the
forecast waters.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 3 10:11:36 2026

205
AXNT20 KNHC 031011
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Sep 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 20W south of 20N. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N E of 33W to the
coast of W Africa.

A tropical wave is along 45W, south of 20N, moving westward at
around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to
17N between 41W and 49W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds are
from 15N to 20N between 40W and 48W.

A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles, with axis
along 60W south of 21N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave
is interacting with an upper-level trough to its west, and
producing scattered moderate convection from 20N to 24N between
54W and 62W. Fresh to strong winds are near the northern end of
the wave axis, particularly from 19N to 21N between 55W and 59W.
Moisture associated with the wave will increase the probability of
rain across the Lesser Antilles today.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 17N16W and continues westward to 14N30W to 10N47W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N47W to 09N58W. The convection in the vicinity of
the boundaries is associated with the tropical waves described
above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak 1016 mb high pressure centered over the NE Gulf near 29N86W
dominates the basin, and is supporting light to gentle winds and
slight seas, with the exception of moderate to locally fresh SE
winds over the west-central waters. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms are affecting the western Florida peninsula and
coastal waters. Meanwhile, the remnants of Edouard continue to add
heavy rainfall to flooded areas across east Texas.

For the forecast, weak high pressure in place over the region will
generally allow for moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas across the Gulf through the next few days. The presence of
abundant tropical moisture will favor scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the eastern Gulf through the weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A surface trough extends across the central Bahamas and central
Cuba generating scattered to numerous showers, with embedded
thunderstorms, over most of Cuba and the Cayman Islands. An
upper-level low over the SE Gulf of America and the Yucatan
peninsula is also helping to induce this convective activity.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge N of the area
and the Colombian Low supports fresh to locally strong trade winds
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela.
Moderate to fresh winds dominate the remainder of the central
Caribbean while mainly moderate trades are noted over the eastern
part of the basin. Gentle to moderate winds are occurring in the
NW Caribbean. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with the strongest winds, and 3
to 5 elsewhere, except in the NW Caribbean where seas are 1 to 3
ft.

For the forecast, the trough will continue moving WNW through
tonight while becoming diffuse. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and lower pressure
in northern South America will maintain mostly fresh trades along
with moderate seas over the central Caribbean, and over the
western portion of the eastern Caribbean through Sat night. These
trades are forecast to increase to fresh to strong speeds while
expanding in coverage over the south-central portion of the basin
on Sun. Winds reaching near gale are expected Mon night and Tue
night near Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh to strong
east winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras Fri night and Mon
night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will continue across the remainder of the basin through the
period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

As previously mentioned, a surface trough extends over the central
Bahamas and central Cuba, and is generating some shower and
thunderstorm activity over the Bahamas and regional waters. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located
near 27N48W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a
surface trough over Morocco and Western Sahara is promoting fresh
to strong N to NE winds N of 20N and E of 22W, including the
Canary Islands. Seas are in the 6 to 8 ft range with this winds.
Moderate to fresh winds are just offshore Hispaniola with moderate
seas. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 70W through the rest of
the week as a mid-level low and surface trough gradually shift
westward while at the same time abundant tropical moisture remains
in place. A cold front will then approach from the NW this weekend
enhancing the potential for scattered and thunderstorms over the
NW portion of the area. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will
provide for moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas over the
forecast waters.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 3 17:03:08 2026

114
AXNT20 KNHC 031702
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Sep 3 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 20W south of 20N. Scattered
moderate convection is noted behind the wave from 10N to 17N and
E of 20W, and also from 03N to 12N between 20W and 35W.

A tropical wave is along 47W, south of 20N, moving westward at
around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 13N to
18N between 43W and 50W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds are
from 15N to 20N between 44W and 50W.

A tropical wave is analyzed along 61/62W south of 21N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is interacting with an upper-
level trough to its west, and producing scattered moderate
convection from 20N to 25N between 57W and 65W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N27W and then to
11N46W. The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to 08N59W. The convection in
the vicinity of the boundaries is associated with the tropical
waves described above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered moderate convection continues along a developing surface
trough in the northeastern Gulf. Scattered showers are also
ongoing near a surface trouhg extending from the Bay of Campeche
into the south-central Gulf. Outside of convection, surface
ridging maintains gentle to moderate or weaker winds and slight
seas across the Gulf.

For the forecast, weak high pressure prevails over the region and
will generally allow for moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas across the Gulf through the next few days. The
presence of abundant tropical moisture will favor scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the eastern Gulf
through the weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between ridging over the Atlantic and the
Colombia Low maintains fresh to strong E winds and 5-8 ft seas
offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and 2-5 ft seas
prevail from the remainder of the E and central Caribbean to the
SW basin as well as the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate or
weaker winds and 1-3 ft seas prevail elsewhere. Convergent surface
winds are leading to scattered moderate convection occurring over
the waters between Cuba, Jamaica, and the Cayman Islands.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and lower pressure in northern South America will maintain
fresh to pulsing strong trades along with moderate seas over the
central Caribbean, and over the western portion of the eastern
Caribbean through Sat night. These trades are forecast to increase
to fresh to strong speeds while expanding in coverage over the
south- central portion of the basin on Sun. Winds reaching near
gale are expected Mon night and Tue night near Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Fresh to pulsing strong east winds are
expected in the Gulf of Honduras Fri night and Tue night.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will continue across the remainder of the basin during the period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends over the western Bahamas, and is
generating some shower and thunderstorm activity over much of the
Bahamas and the regional waters. The remainder of the Atlantic
forecast waters is under the influence of a ridge, with the main
high pressure center of 1025 mb located NE of the Azores. Moderate
to locally fresh winds and moderate seas prevail across much of
the Atlantic S of 25N and away from any convection or tropical
waves. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 2-5 ft
seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 70W through the end of
the week as a mid-level low and surface trough gradually shift
westward while at the same time abundant tropical moisture remains
in place. A cold front will then approach from the NW late this
weekend enhancing the potential for scattered and thunderstorms
over the NW portion of the area. Moderate to fresh east to
southeast winds are over the waters south of about 29N between 70W
and 79W. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge will provide for
generally moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas over the
forecast waters.

$$
Adams

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Thu Sep 3 22:22:46 2026

275
AXNT20 KNHC 032222
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 21W south of 20N, moving W at
10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
from 09N to 16N, E of 22W.

A tropical wave is along 48W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Convection previously associated with this wave has diminished
this evening.

A tropical wave is along 63W, south of 21N, moving west at around
15 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N29W and then to
11N46W. The ITCZ extends from 10N50W to 08N58W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 03N to 12N between 22W and 35W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered moderate convection is focused within 30 nm on either
side of a pair of surface trough axes, one of which is oriented
just offshore Florida from near Apalachicola to Tampa Bay and
another extending southeast from just west of the mouth of the
Mississippi River to 27N89W. Winds blow toward lower pressure over
Texas have increased to moderate to fresh offshore NE Mexico and
within 90 nm of the Texas coast, and moderate to fresh NE winds
have developed offshore the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
surface trough is forming just inland. Otherwise, light to gentle
winds prevail outside of convection. Seas are 3 ft or less.

For the forecast, a diurnal trough will develop over the Yucatan
Peninsula each afternoon supporting locally fresh easterly winds
over the eastern Bay of Campeche through the forecast period.
Elsewhere, weak high pressure prevails and will generally allow for
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas through the
next few days. The presence of abundant tropical moisture will favor
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly in the eastern
Gulf through the weekend.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 8 ft
seas offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E
winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered moderate convection is noted offshore Costa
Rica and Panama, in associated with the eastern extension of the
Eastern Pacific monsoon trough.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and lower pressure in northern South America will maintain
fresh to pulsing strong trades along with moderate seas over the
central Caribbean, and over the western portion of the eastern
Caribbean through Sat night. These trades are forecast to increase
to fresh to strong speeds while expanding in coverage over the
south- central portion of the basin on Mon. Winds reaching near
gale are expected Tue night near Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Fresh to pulsing strong east winds are expected in the
Gulf of Honduras Fri night and Tue night. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will continue across the
remainder of the basin during the period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extending offshore Florida is inducing scattered
moderate convection over and north of the northwest Bahamas. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located
NE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and away from
any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and 2-5 ft seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the waters W of about 73W through the end of
the week as a mid-level low and surface trough gradually shift
westward while at the same time abundant tropical moisture remains
in place. A cold front will then approach from the NW late this
weekend enhancing the potential for scattered and thunderstorms
over the NW portion of the area. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds are over the waters west of 74W. Otherwise, the
subtropical ridge will provide for generally moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas over the forecast waters.

$$
Konarik

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Sep 4 04:15:48 2026

868
AXNT20 KNHC 040415
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0415 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is moving across the Cabo Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 24N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is affecting the islands.

A tropical wave is along 50W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern end
of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 18N between 46W and 53W.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 65W, south of 21N, moving west at around 15 kt. Recent
scatterometer data show the winds shift associated with the wave,
mainly across the northern portion. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 10N27W to
07N35W to 10N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N51W to NE Venezuela
near 09N62W. Convection is limited across the area.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates most of the Gulf region supporting gentle to
moderate winds, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just
offshore the western Yucatan Peninsula due to the presence of a
trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. A surface trough is analyzed
over Florida and extends from 30N81W to 25N85W. Scattered
thunderstorms are near the trough axis. Convection has flared-up
over the Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 8 ft
seas offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E
winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
parts of Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and Jamaica. Similar convective
activity is noted over portions of central America.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend then once again
increase to fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will continue
across the remainder of the basin during the period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak low pressure of 1016 mb is located near 30.5N61W. A surface
trough extends from the low center to near 27N67W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high
pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near
30N72W. Its associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to
moderate east to southeast winds are seen over the waters west of
74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the
influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1024
mb located NE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and
moderate seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and
away from any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will approach from the
NW late this weekend enhancing the potential for scattered and
thunderstorms over the NW portion of the area.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Sep 4 04:15:50 2026

869
AXNT20 KNHC 040415
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0415 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is moving across the Cabo Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 24N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is affecting the islands.

A tropical wave is along 50W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern end
of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 18N between 46W and 53W.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 65W, south of 21N, moving west at around 15 kt. Recent
scatterometer data show the winds shift associated with the wave,
mainly across the northern portion. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 10N27W to
07N35W to 10N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N51W to NE Venezuela
near 09N62W. Convection is limited across the area.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A ridge dominates most of the Gulf region supporting gentle to
moderate winds, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just
offshore the western Yucatan Peninsula due to the presence of a
trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. A surface trough is analyzed
over Florida and extends from 30N81W to 25N85W. Scattered
thunderstorms are near the trough axis. Convection has flared-up
over the Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 8 ft
seas offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E
winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
parts of Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and Jamaica. Similar convective
activity is noted over portions of central America.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend then once again
increase to fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will continue
across the remainder of the basin during the period.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A weak low pressure of 1016 mb is located near 30.5N61W. A surface
trough extends from the low center to near 27N67W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high
pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near
30N72W. Its associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to
moderate east to southeast winds are seen over the waters west of
74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the
influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1024
mb located NE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and
moderate seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and
away from any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will approach from the
NW late this weekend enhancing the potential for scattered and
thunderstorms over the NW portion of the area.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Sep 4 16:39:14 2026

560
AXNT20 KNHC 041638
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Atlantic. Its axis
is along 27N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 07N between 26.5W and
29W.

A tropical wave is along 53.5W, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern
end of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 19N between 47W and
56W.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 69W, south of 19N, moving west at around 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 05N41W. The ITCZ extends from 05N41W to
09N57W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 4N to 19N
and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

An upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate convection
over the central and NE Gulf. A ridge dominates most of the Gulf
region supporting gentle to moderate winds. Seas are generally 1
to 3 ft.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E winds
and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
portions of central America.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend, but increase to
fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail through
early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Scattered to numerous moderate convection prevails north of 27N
and west of 77W in association to a mid level trough. A weak low
pressure of 1016 mb is located near 33N57W. A surface trough
extends from the low center to near 29N64W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high pressure
remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near 30N71W. Its
associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds are seen over the waters west of 74W. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located
SE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and away from
any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across
the area through early next week, generating a weak pressure
pattern. This will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas across the area.

$$
KRV

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From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Sep 4 16:39:16 2026

559
AXNT20 KNHC 041638
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Atlantic. Its axis
is along 27N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 07N between 26.5W and
29W.

A tropical wave is along 53.5W, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern
end of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 19N between 47W and
56W.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 69W, south of 19N, moving west at around 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 05N41W. The ITCZ extends from 05N41W to
09N57W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 4N to 19N
and east of 23W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

An upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate convection
over the central and NE Gulf. A ridge dominates most of the Gulf
region supporting gentle to moderate winds. Seas are generally 1
to 3 ft.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E winds
and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
portions of central America.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend, but increase to
fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail through
early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Scattered to numerous moderate convection prevails north of 27N
and west of 77W in association to a mid level trough. A weak low
pressure of 1016 mb is located near 33N57W. A surface trough
extends from the low center to near 29N64W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high pressure
remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near 30N71W. Its
associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds are seen over the waters west of 74W. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located
SE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and away from
any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across
the area through early next week, generating a weak pressure
pattern. This will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas across the area.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Fri Sep 4 22:30:28 2026

085
AXNT20 KNHC 042230
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Sep 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28N, south of 20N,
moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 08N to 12N between 27W and 30W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of 20N,
moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 10N to 12N between 54W and 57W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave along 71W, south of 19N, moving
west at around 15 kt. No significant convection is associated
with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
southwestward to 07N35W to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W
to 08N53W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 05N to
10N between 20W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

An upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate convection
over the central. A ridge dominates most of the Gulf region from
east to west along 27W, supporting gentle to moderate winds. Seas
are generally 1 to 3 ft.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the waters
into the middle of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E winds
and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
portions of central America.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trades along
with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over these
waters will briefly diminish this weekend, then increase to
strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas will prevail through early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

1014 mb low pressure is centered off northeast Florida near
30N78W, supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
northern Bahamas. Additional showers and thunderstorms along with
moderate winds are active along a trough reaching from 24N65W to
north of Hispaniola, and near another trough southeast of Bermuda
extending from 31N58W to 29N64W. 1018 mb high pressure is between
these features between the northern Bahamas and Bermuda near
30N72W. Gentle breezes and 1-3 ft are noted elsewhere west of 55W.
A ridge extends from the Azores to 25N55W, and this supports
gentle to moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas elsewhere east of 55W.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across
the area into early next week, generating a weak pressure pattern.
This will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
across the area. A weak cold front may approach the northern
waters, then stall along 31N for the first part of next week.

$$
Christensen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Sep 5 04:16:28 2026

236
AXNT20 KNHC 050416
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the west coast of Africa
soon, and will likely be added to the 0600 UTC analysis/surface
map.

A tropical wave is along 29N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the southern end of the
wave axis.

A tropical wave is along 56W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 16N to 20N between
54W and 58W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 72W,
and extends from Hispaniola to near the Venezuela/Colombia border.
No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24, then westward
to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 08N53W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 20W and 45W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region supporting
light to gentle winds. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. Isolated
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the central part of the
basin. Convection increases over north-central Florida where a
surface trough is analyzed. Once again, convection has flared-up
over the western Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters into the middle of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 7 ft
seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh
winds are blowing across the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are occurring over parts of Cuba and the Cayman
Islands and regional waters under a diffluent pattern aloft. Similar
convective activity is observed over northern central America.

For the forecast, the fresh to strong winds over the central Caribbean
will briefly diminish this weekend, then increase to strong speeds
early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail through early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1014 mb low pressure is centered off northeast Florida near 30.5N79W.
A surface trough extends from the low center across northern Florida.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these features. Additional showers and thunderstorms along with moderate winds are
active along a trough reaching from 25N68W to just north of Hispaniola.
A 1018 mb high pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is
centered near 28N74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region
is also under the influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure
center of 1023 mb located midway between the Azores and the Madeira
Islands. Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail. A band of showers and thunderstorms ahead
of a cold front is reaching 30N between 40W and 50W.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across the
area into early next week, generating a weak pressure pattern. This
will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas across the
area. A weak cold front may approach the northern waters, then stall
along 31N for the first part of next week.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Sep 5 05:36:30 2026

587
AXNT20 KNHC 050536
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the west coast of Africa
soon, and will likely be added to the 0600 UTC analysis/surface
map.

A tropical wave is along 29N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the southern end of the
wave axis.

A tropical wave is along 56W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 16N to 20N between
54W and 58W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 72W,
and extends from Hispaniola to near the Venezuela/Colombia border.
No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24, then westward
to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 08N53W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 20W and 45W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region supporting light
to gentle winds, except gentle to moderate winds over the western
Gulf likely due to the pressure gradient between the ridge and a low
pressure area over NE Mexico. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. Isolated
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the central part of the
basin. Convection increases over north-central Florida where a
surface trough is analyzed. Once again, convection has flared-up
over the western Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters into the middle of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 7 ft
seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh
winds are blowing across the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are occurring over parts of Cuba and the Cayman
Islands and regional waters under a diffluent pattern aloft. Similar
convective activity is observed over northern central America.

For the forecast, the fresh to strong winds over the central Caribbean
will briefly diminish this weekend, then increase to strong speeds
early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail through early next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A 1014 mb low pressure is centered off northeast Florida near 30.5N79W.
A surface trough extends from the low center across northern Florida.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these features. Additional showers and thunderstorms along with moderate winds are
active along a trough reaching from 25N68W to just north of Hispaniola.
A 1018 mb high pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is
centered near 28N74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region
is also under the influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure
center of 1023 mb located midway between the Azores and the Madeira
Islands. Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail. A band of showers and thunderstorms ahead
of a cold front is reaching 30N between 40W and 50W.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across the
area into early next week, generating a weak pressure pattern. This
will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas across the
area. A weak cold front may approach the northern waters, then stall
along 31N for the first part of next week.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Sep 5 16:13:52 2026

637
AXNT20 KNHC 051613
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1610 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa and is
along 18.5W, south of 20N. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 11N to 13N and west of 20W.

A tropical wave is along 32.5N, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 03N to 10N
between 26W and 35W.

A tropical wave is along 62.5W, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 16N to 20N
between 58W and the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 76W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to 08N40W. The ITCZ extends from 08N40W to 11N59W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 07N between
38W and 48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region supporting light
to gentle winds, except gentle to moderate winds over the Bay of
Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient between the ridge
and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. Isolated
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the central and north-
central part of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters through the
middle of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. This
gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader area of
strong, with locally near-gale force winds and rough seas, early
next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail into the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from near 30N78.5W to southern Florida.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with this
feature. Additional showers and thunderstorms are active along a
trough reaching from 28N68W to just north of Hispaniola. Another
surface trough is supporting scattered moderate convection north
of 26N between 45W and 55W. A 1019 mb high pressure remains over
the Atlantic and is centered near 24N40W. The remainder of the
Atlantic forecast region is also under the influence of a ridge,
with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located midway
between the Azores and the Madeira Islands. Under this weather
pattern, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
prevail across the area through early next week, supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front is
likely to approach the northern waters, then stall along 31N for
the first part of next week.

$$
KRV

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Sep 5 16:13:54 2026

754
AXNT20 KNHC 051613
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 5 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1610 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa and is
along 18.5W, south of 20N. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 11N to 13N and west of 20W.

A tropical wave is along 32.5N, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 03N to 10N
between 26W and 35W.

A tropical wave is along 62.5W, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 16N to 20N
between 58W and the wave axis.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 76W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to 08N40W. The ITCZ extends from 08N40W to 11N59W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 07N between
38W and 48W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region supporting light
to gentle winds, except gentle to moderate winds over the Bay of
Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient between the ridge
and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. Isolated
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the central and north-
central part of the basin.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters through the
middle of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. This
gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader area of
strong, with locally near-gale force winds and rough seas, early
next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail into the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from near 30N78.5W to southern Florida.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with this
feature. Additional showers and thunderstorms are active along a
trough reaching from 28N68W to just north of Hispaniola. Another
surface trough is supporting scattered moderate convection north
of 26N between 45W and 55W. A 1019 mb high pressure remains over
the Atlantic and is centered near 24N40W. The remainder of the
Atlantic forecast region is also under the influence of a ridge,
with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located midway
between the Azores and the Madeira Islands. Under this weather
pattern, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
prevail across the area through early next week, supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front is
likely to approach the northern waters, then stall along 31N for
the first part of next week.

$$
KRV

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sat Sep 5 23:17:34 2026

574
AXNT20 KNHC 052317
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 19W, south of 20N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is noted with this feature at this
time.

A tropical wave is along 34N, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis and S
of 12N.

A tropical wave is along 64W, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are in the vicinity of the wave axis
between 57W and 69W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 77W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to 06N43W. The ITCZ extends from 06N43W to 10N58W.
Aside from the convection described in the tropical wave section
above, no activity is noted at this time.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region, anchored by a
1015 mb high centered near 26N88W. Light to gentle winds prevail
across most of the basin, except gentle to moderate winds over
the Bay of Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient between
the ridge and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted in the periphery of
the high pressure, mainly affecting the land areas and nearshore
waters.

For the forecast, weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue supporting
fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate seas over the
central Caribbean through the weekend. This gradient will tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong, locally near-
gale force, winds and rough seas, early next week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from near 30N78W to 25N81W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are associated with this feature.
Another trough is analyzed along 72W from 21N to 28N with no
dominates the remainder of the Atlantic, centered near 26N36W.
Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
prevail across the area into the middle of next week, supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front will
approach the northern waters then stall along 31N for the first
part of next week.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 04:15:38 2026

818
AXNT20 KNHC 060414
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 21W, south of 20N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is noted with this feature at this
time.

A tropical wave is along 36N, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave axis and S of
15N.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 67W, south of
20N, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are near
the northern end of the wave axis mainly between 56W and 69W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 78W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 09N25W, then westward
to near 07N42W. The ITCZ extends from 07N42W to the coast of French
Guiana near 05N52W. Convection is limited across the area.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region, anchored by a
weak 1014 mb high pressure centered near 26N86W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across most of the basin, except gentle to moderate
winds over the Bay of Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient
between the ridge and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3
ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over south-central
Florida and in the western Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western
Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving
west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to locally strong trade winds
and 6 to 8 ft seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Similar wind speeds and moderate seas are noted in the Gulf of
Honduras. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail elsewhere. A tropical wave over Puerto Rico is supporting
some convective activity. Showers and thunderstorms have developed
over parts of Cuba, more concentrated in the central portion of
the island. Similar convection is also affecting the Cayman
Islands.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. This
gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader area of
strong, locally near-gale force, winds and rough seas, early next
week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from 28N71W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. Scatterometer data indicate the wind shift related to the trough
axis. This feature is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms.
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main center of 1026 mb located midway between
the Azores and the Madeira Islands. The pressure gradient between
this high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa is promoting
fresh to strong N to NE winds N of 18N and E of 21W, including
the Canary Islands. Seas are in the 5 to 7 ft range with these
winds. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere,
except just offshore Hispaniola where moderate to fresh winds are
noted.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally prevail
across the area into the middle of next week, producing a weak
pressure gradient. This will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas. A weak cold front will approach the northern waters
then stall along 31N for the first part of week.

$$
GR

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 04:15:42 2026

834
AXNT20 KNHC 060415
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 21W, south of 20N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is noted with this feature at this
time.

A tropical wave is along 36N, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave axis and S of
15N.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 67W, south of
20N, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are near
the northern end of the wave axis mainly between 56W and 69W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 78W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 09N25W, then westward
to near 07N42W. The ITCZ extends from 07N42W to the coast of French
Guiana near 05N52W. Convection is limited across the area.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region, anchored by a
weak 1014 mb high pressure centered near 26N86W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across most of the basin, except gentle to moderate
winds over the Bay of Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient
between the ridge and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3
ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over south-central
Florida and in the western Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western
Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving
west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to locally strong trade winds
and 6 to 8 ft seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Similar wind speeds and moderate seas are noted in the Gulf of
Honduras. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail elsewhere. A tropical wave over Puerto Rico is supporting
some convective activity. Showers and thunderstorms have developed
over parts of Cuba, more concentrated in the central portion of
the island. Similar convection is also affecting the Cayman
Islands.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. This
gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader area of
strong, locally near-gale force, winds and rough seas, early next
week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from 28N71W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. Scatterometer data indicate the wind shift related to the trough
axis. This feature is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms.
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main center of 1026 mb located midway between
the Azores and the Madeira Islands. The pressure gradient between
this high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa is promoting
fresh to strong N to NE winds N of 18N and E of 21W, including
the Canary Islands. Seas are in the 5 to 7 ft range with these
winds. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere,
except just offshore Hispaniola where moderate to fresh winds are
noted.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally prevail
across the area into the middle of next week, producing a weak
pressure gradient. This will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas. A weak cold front will approach the northern waters
then stall along 31N for the first part of week.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 04:16:22 2026

516
AXNT20 KNHC 060415
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is analyzed along 21W, south of 20N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is noted with this feature at this
time.

A tropical wave is along 36N, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave axis and S of
15N.

A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 67W, south of
20N, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are near
the northern end of the wave axis mainly between 56W and 69W.

A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 78W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 09N25W, then westward
to near 07N42W. The ITCZ extends from 07N42W to the coast of French
Guiana near 05N52W. Convection is limited across the area.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region, anchored by a
weak 1014 mb high pressure centered near 26N86W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across most of the basin, except gentle to moderate
winds over the Bay of Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient
between the ridge and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3
ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over south-central
Florida and in the western Yucatan Peninsula.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western
Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving
west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to locally strong trade winds
and 6 to 8 ft seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Similar wind speeds and moderate seas are noted in the Gulf of
Honduras. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail elsewhere. A tropical wave over Puerto Rico is supporting
some convective activity. Showers and thunderstorms have developed
over parts of Cuba, more concentrated in the central portion of
the island. Similar convection is also affecting the Cayman
Islands.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. This
gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader area of
strong, locally near-gale force, winds and rough seas, early next
week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A surface trough extends from 28N71W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. Scatterometer data indicate the wind shift related to the trough
axis. This feature is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms.
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main center of 1026 mb located midway between
the Azores and the Madeira Islands. The pressure gradient between
this high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa is promoting
fresh to strong N to NE winds N of 18N and E of 21W, including
the Canary Islands. Seas are in the 5 to 7 ft range with these
winds. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere,
except just offshore Hispaniola where moderate to fresh winds are
noted.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally prevail
across the area into the middle of next week, producing a weak
pressure gradient. This will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas. A weak cold front will approach the northern waters
then stall along 31N for the first part of week.

$$
GR

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 08:30:50 2026

100
AXNT20 KNHC 060830
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 22W, south of 20N, moving W
at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to
12N between 22W and 25W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 37N, south of 20N, moving W
at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave
axis and S of 15N.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 68W, south of 20N, moving W
at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are near the northern end
of the wave axis mainly between 65W and 70W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 79W, and extends from central
Cuba southward into the far eastern Pacific. No significant
convection is noted in the Caribbean waters with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, then
westward to near 07N43W. The ITCZ continues from 07N43W to near
08N58W. Convection is limited across the area, aside from the
areas noted in the tropical waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

High pressure prevails across the Gulf region, anchored by a 1014
mb high pressure centered near 26N87W. Light to gentle winds are
in the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to moderate winds are
over the SW Gulf. Mainly gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight
seas dominate the forecast waters.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader
area of strong, locally near-gale force, winds and rough seas,
early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A pair of surface troughs are over the far western Atlantic
waters. One off the coast of Florida, and the other surface
trough extends from 26N71W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. These
feature are producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of high pressure, anchored by a 1017 mb high centered near 25N54W.
Light to gentle winds prevail near the high center, as well as
along the ridge extending from the high along 26N. A stronger area
of high pressure, 1025 mb, is centered north of the area near
35N22W. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure,
and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds N of
the monsoon trough and east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate winds
prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
prevail across the area into the middle of next week, producing a
weak pressure gradient. The weak pressure gradient will support
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front will
approach the northern waters then stall along 31N for the first
part of next week.

$$
AL

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 16:02:26 2026

766
AXNT20 KNHC 061602
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 24W, south of 20N, moving W
at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06.5N
to 12.5N between the wave axis and 27W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 39N, south of 20N, moving W
at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered convection is along the wave
axis.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 69.5W, south of 19N, moving W
at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted from 16N to
21N between 63W and 70W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 80W, and extends from central
Cuba southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving
west at around 10 kt. No significant convection is noted in the
Caribbean waters with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 06.5N27W, then westward to near
07N37W. The ITCZ continues from 07N37W to near 07N54W. Convection
is limited across the area, aside from the areas noted in the
tropical waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate
convection over the central and northern Gulf. Similar convection
is depicted over the eastern Gulf in association to a surface
trough over Florida. High pressure prevails across the Gulf
region, anchored by a 1014 mb high pressure centered near 26N87W.
Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly gentle winds
prevail elsewhere. Slight seas dominate the forecast waters.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, supporting light to gentle winds and
slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the Yucatan peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 25N into south Florida. The pressure gradient between this
subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to
locally strong trades and moderate seas over the south-central
Caribbean. The pressure gradient will begin to tighten starting
Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, locally near- gale
force, and rough seas, early through mid week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A mid level trough is supporting numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms north of 24N and between 73W and 19.5W. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high centered near
25N55W. Light to gentle winds prevail near the high center, as
well as along the ridge extending from the high along 23N. A
stronger area of high pressure, 1027 mb, is centered north of the
area near 36N22W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds
N of the monsoon trough and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate
winds prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate
range.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extends from the
central Atlantic westward along about 25N and into south Florida
this morning, and will gradually shift eastward through early next
week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas. A weak cold front will approach the northern waters
then stall along 30N-31N during the first part of next week.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 16:02:30 2026

826
AXNT20 KNHC 061602
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 24W, south of 20N, moving W
at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06.5N
to 12.5N between the wave axis and 27W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 39N, south of 20N, moving W
at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered convection is along the wave
axis.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 69.5W, south of 19N, moving W
at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted from 16N to
21N between 63W and 70W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 80W, and extends from central
Cuba southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving
west at around 10 kt. No significant convection is noted in the
Caribbean waters with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 06.5N27W, then westward to near
07N37W. The ITCZ continues from 07N37W to near 07N54W. Convection
is limited across the area, aside from the areas noted in the
tropical waves section above.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A mid to upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate
convection over the central and northern Gulf. Similar convection
is depicted over the eastern Gulf in association to a surface
trough over Florida. High pressure prevails across the Gulf
region, anchored by a 1014 mb high pressure centered near 26N87W.
Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly gentle winds
prevail elsewhere. Slight seas dominate the forecast waters.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, supporting light to gentle winds and
slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the Yucatan peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 25N into south Florida. The pressure gradient between this
subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to
locally strong trades and moderate seas over the south-central
Caribbean. The pressure gradient will begin to tighten starting
Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, locally near- gale
force, and rough seas, early through mid week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A mid level trough is supporting numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms north of 24N and between 73W and 19.5W. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high centered near
25N55W. Light to gentle winds prevail near the high center, as
well as along the ridge extending from the high along 23N. A
stronger area of high pressure, 1027 mb, is centered north of the
area near 36N22W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds
N of the monsoon trough and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate
winds prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate
range.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extends from the
central Atlantic westward along about 25N and into south Florida
this morning, and will gradually shift eastward through early next
week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas. A weak cold front will approach the northern waters
then stall along 30N-31N during the first part of next week.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 23:56:50 2026

124
AXNT20 KNHC 062356
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Mon Sep 07 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 25W south
of 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
20N. It is moving westward around 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are seen near its southern portion from 07N to 09N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W. It is
moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
is presently occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 81W, reaching
southward to central Panama. It is extends from central Cuba
southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving west
at around 10 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are south of
11N west of the wave inland Central America, and also south of
10N east of the wave to the northwest portion of Colombia. This
activity is being further enhanced by the eastern extension of
the East Pacific monsoon trough that crosses the wave axis near
10N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16W, and
continues southwestward to 05N32W, then west-northwestward
to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to near 07N55W.
Aside from convection described above under Tropical Waves,
convection remains very limited across the area under a dry and
stable atmospheric environment. At best, only isolated showers
and thunderstorms are present.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A shortwave trough aloft moving through the southeastern U.S. is
working on a very moist and unstable airmass that is in place
over the region. This is resulting in scattered showers and
thunderstorms over some sections of northern and central Florida,
southern Alabama and Mississippi. A weak trough near the southeastern
Gulf is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
south of about 25N and east of 92W to near the Florida Keys and
over some sections of the Straits of Florida. Otherwise, relatively
weak high pressure, anchored by a 1014 mb high near 26N87W, is
providing for light to gentle winds in the vicinity of the high
center. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly
gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas are over the forecast
waters.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
persist across the Gulf basin through the period, supporting
mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over much of the
waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean as highlighted by satellite scatterometer data passes.
Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends east to
west roughly along 25N to South Florida. The pressure gradient
between this subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. The gradient will begin to tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, and
locally near-gale force, with rough seas, Mon through midweek.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The combination of a mid-level trough and ample deep atmospheric
moisture and instability in place is supporting numerous showers
and thunderstorms north of about 23N and west of 72W. Similar
activity to the southeast of a frontal boundary is noted north
of 27N between 56W and 72W. The remainder of the Atlantic
forecast region is under the influence of high pressure, anchored
by a 1018 mb high center near 25N54W. The associated gradient is
generally allowing for gentle winds near the high center, as
well as along the ridge extending from the high along 25N. A
stronger high center of 1026 mb is centered north of the area
near 36N21W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W as depicted in
satellite scatterometer data passes. Elsewhere, moderate winds
prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

For the forecast west of 55W, the high center near 25N54W will
gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early next
week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front will approach the
northern waters tonight, hen stall near 31N through midweek
before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
active across these northern waters west of 65W through Tue.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 23:56:54 2026

266
AXNT20 KNHC 062356
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Mon Sep 07 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 25W south
of 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
20N. It is moving westward around 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are seen near its southern portion from 07N to 09N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W. It is
moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
is presently occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 81W, reaching
southward to central Panama. It is extends from central Cuba
southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving west
at around 10 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are south of
11N west of the wave inland Central America, and also south of
10N east of the wave to the northwest portion of Colombia. This
activity is being further enhanced by the eastern extension of
the East Pacific monsoon trough that crosses the wave axis near
10N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16W, and
continues southwestward to 05N32W, then west-northwestward
to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to near 07N55W.
Aside from convection described above under Tropical Waves,
convection remains very limited across the area under a dry and
stable atmospheric environment. At best, only isolated showers
and thunderstorms are present.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A shortwave trough aloft moving through the southeastern U.S. is
working on a very moist and unstable airmass that is in place
over the region. This is resulting in scattered showers and
thunderstorms over some sections of northern and central Florida,
southern Alabama and Mississippi. A weak trough near the southeastern
Gulf is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
south of about 25N and east of 92W to near the Florida Keys and
over some sections of the Straits of Florida. Otherwise, relatively
weak high pressure, anchored by a 1014 mb high near 26N87W, is
providing for light to gentle winds in the vicinity of the high
center. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly
gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas are over the forecast
waters.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
persist across the Gulf basin through the period, supporting
mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over much of the
waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean as highlighted by satellite scatterometer data passes.
Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends east to
west roughly along 25N to South Florida. The pressure gradient
between this subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. The gradient will begin to tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, and
locally near-gale force, with rough seas, Mon through midweek.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The combination of a mid-level trough and ample deep atmospheric
moisture and instability in place is supporting numerous showers
and thunderstorms north of about 23N and west of 72W. Similar
activity to the southeast of a frontal boundary is noted north
of 27N between 56W and 72W. The remainder of the Atlantic
forecast region is under the influence of high pressure, anchored
by a 1018 mb high center near 25N54W. The associated gradient is
generally allowing for gentle winds near the high center, as
well as along the ridge extending from the high along 25N. A
stronger high center of 1026 mb is centered north of the area
near 36N21W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W as depicted in
satellite scatterometer data passes. Elsewhere, moderate winds
prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

For the forecast west of 55W, the high center near 25N54W will
gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early next
week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front will approach the
northern waters tonight, hen stall near 31N through midweek
before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
active across these northern waters west of 65W through Tue.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Sun Sep 6 23:58:46 2026

661
AXNT20 KNHC 062358
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Mon Sep 07 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 25W south
of 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
20N. It is moving westward around 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are seen near its southern portion from 07N to 09N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W. It is
moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
is presently occurring with this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 81W, reaching
southward to central Panama. It is extends from central Cuba
southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving west
at around 10 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are south of
11N west of the wave inland Central America, and also south of
10N east of the wave to the northwest portion of Colombia. This
activity is being further enhanced by the eastern extension of
the East Pacific monsoon trough that crosses the wave axis near
10N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16W, and
continues southwestward to 05N32W, then west-northwestward
to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to near 07N55W.
Aside from convection described above under Tropical Waves,
convection remains very limited across the area under a dry and
stable atmospheric environment. At best, only isolated showers
and thunderstorms are present.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A shortwave trough aloft moving through the southeastern U.S. is
working on a very moist and unstable airmass that is in place
over the region. This is resulting in scattered showers and
thunderstorms over some sections of northern and central Florida,
southern Alabama and Mississippi. A weak trough near the southeastern
Gulf is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
south of about 25N and east of 92W to near the Florida Keys and
over some sections of the Straits of Florida. Otherwise, relatively
weak high pressure, anchored by a 1014 mb high near 26N87W, is
providing for light to gentle winds in the vicinity of the high
center. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly
gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas are over the forecast
waters.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
persist across the Gulf basin through the period, supporting
mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over most of the
waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean as highlighted by satellite scatterometer data passes.
Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends east to
west roughly along 25N to South Florida. The pressure gradient
between this subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. The gradient will begin to tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, and
locally near-gale force, with rough seas, Mon through midweek.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail through the middle of next week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

The combination of a mid-level trough and ample deep atmospheric
moisture and instability in place is supporting numerous showers
and thunderstorms north of about 23N and west of 72W. Similar
activity to the southeast of a frontal boundary is noted north
of 27N between 56W and 72W. The remainder of the Atlantic
forecast region is under the influence of high pressure, anchored
by a 1018 mb high center near 25N54W. The associated gradient is
generally allowing for gentle winds near the high center, as
well as along the ridge extending from the high along 25N. A
stronger high center of 1026 mb is centered north of the area
near 36N21W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W as depicted in
satellite scatterometer data passes. Elsewhere, moderate winds
prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

For the forecast west of 55W, the high center near 25N54W will
gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early next
week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front will approach the
northern waters tonight, hen stall near 31N through midweek
before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
active across these northern waters west of 65W through Tue.

$$
Aguirre

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 03:43:02 2026

105
AXNT20 KNHC 070339
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Sep 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0305 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
present near this wave.

A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near this wave.

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is observed
near this wave.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong occurring south of 13N and west of 79W in the SW Caribbean.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W, and continues southwestward to 05N32W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N32W to 07N43W and then from 07N46W to
near 05N53W. No significant convection is evident near the monsoon
trough and ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the SE
Gulf waters, while some storms are approaching the Florida Gulf
coast north of Tampa. In the eastern Bay of Campeche, storms
that developed over the western Yucatan peninsula are moving
westward at 25-30 kt. Mariners in the area are urged to use
caution. The pressure gradient between the high pressure over the
central Gulf and the thermal trough over western Yucatan support
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas in the eastern
half of the Bay of Campeche. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, high pressure will persist across the Gulf basin
through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient. The
pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds and
slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of the
islands and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft in the central and eastern
Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. The strongest winds and
highest seas are found off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere. An upper level low in the central Caribbean and diurnal
heating combine to produce showers and isolated thunderstorms
across Cuba and nearby waters. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms also dot the NE and SW Caribbean.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 25N to south Florida. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades and moderate seas over the south-central Caribbean. The
gradient will begin to tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader
area of strong winds, and locally near- gale force, with rough
seas, Mon through mid week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas will prevail through the week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A mid-level trough over the western Atlantic and ample deep
atmospheric moisture and instability support numerous showers and
thunderstorms in the SW North Atlantic, especially north of 23N
and west of 55W. Moderate to fresh SW winds and seas of 4-8 ft are
noted north of 25N and between 50W and 70W.

The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the
influence of a broad subtropical ridge centered near 26N52W.
Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas are
present south of 24N and between 30W and 70W. A stronger pressure
gradient in the far eastern Atlantic sustains fresh to strong
northerly winds and rough seas north of 20N and east of 25W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 25N to south Florida
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early
next week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient
across the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front approaching the
northern waters will stall near 31N through mid week before
lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active
across these northern waters W of 65W through Tue.

$$
Delgado

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 08:30:38 2026

678
AXNT20 KNHC 070830
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Sep 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 29W,
south of 19N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant
convection is present near this wave.

The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 45W, south
of 19N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 13N to 17N between 45W and 48W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is near 73W, south
of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is in the vicinity of the wave.

The axis of a western Caribbean tropical wave is near 85W, south
of 19N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is noted south of 14N and west of 80W in the SW
Caribbean.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W, and continues southwestward to 06N32W.
The ITCZ extends from 06N32W to 06N45W and then resumes from
06N48W to near 05N52W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
02N to 05N between 34W and 42W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A surface trough has moved off the Yucatan peninsula into the SW
Gulf. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted
in the vicinity of the trough. A 1015 mb high is centered near
26N88W. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure
and the surface trough is supporting moderate to locally fresh
winds over the SW Gulf, where moderate seas are noted. Light winds
and slight seas are in the vicinity of the high center. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

For the forecast, high pressure will persist across the Gulf basin
through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient. This will
support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over much of
the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of the
islands and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft in the central Caribbean. Moderate
to fresh winds, and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
Caribbean waters.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 25N to south Florida. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trades
and moderate seas over the south-central Caribbean. The pressure
gradient will tighten today, leading to an increase in areal
coverage of strong winds, locally near- gale force, through
midweek. Rough seas will develop over these waters with the
persistent strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will prevail.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is along 31N west of 68W. High pressure
dominates the remainder of the discussion waters, anchored by a
1020 mb high centered near 26N53W. The pressure gradient between
these features is supporting fresh to strong winds, and 6-8 ft
seas, N of 28N between 50W and 65W. Light to gentle winds are in
the vicinity of the high center. A stronger high center, 1027 mb,
is centered near 35N23W. The pressure gradient between this area
of high pressure and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to
strong winds N of the monsoon trough and east of 25W. These winds
are generating rough seas over these waters. Light to gentle
winds, and slight seas, cover the waters W of 70W. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 25N to south Florida
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen early this week.
This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across the
regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas through Tue. A weak cold front will stall near 31N through
mid week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain active across these northern waters W of 65W through Tue.

$$
AL

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 15:47:54 2026

582
AXNT20 KNHC 071547
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Sep 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1547 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has been
relocated based on tropical wave diagnostics and satellite
imagery. The wave is near 34.4W, south of 19N. Isolated showers
are depicted from 04.5N to 07.5N between 34W and 38W.

The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 47W, south
of 18N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 05N to 10N between 46W and 50W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave has been relocated
based on tropical wave diagnostics and satellite imagery. The wave
axis is near 70W, south of 19N. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 12.5N to 17N between 68W and 72W.

More information about the western Caribbean tropical wave can be
found in the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion (TWDEP).

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W, and continues
southwestward to 07N43W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W to 08N58W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N between
38.5W and 43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A deep layered trough is supporting scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms north of 27N between 86W and 91W. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are depicted across the basin. A
surface trough has moved off the Yucatan peninsula into the SW
Gulf. Scattered showers are noted in the vicinity of the trough. A
weak 1013 mb high is centered near 24N87.5W, producing a weak
pressure gradient. Outside of convection, this weather pattern is
supporting light to gentle winds and slight seas across the
basin.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient.
This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas
over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along about 26N to the
NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trades and
moderate seas over the south-central Caribbean. Mainly moderate E
winds, and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Caribbean
waters, except for the NW part of the basin where light to gentle
winds prevail.

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will begin
to tighten today, leading to an increase in areal coverage of
strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through midweek. Rough
seas will develop over these waters with the persistent strong
winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical
wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is along 31N west of 68W. Ahead of this frontal
boundary, scattered moderate convection prevails north of a line
from 23N78W to 31N60W. An upper level trough north of Puerto Rico
and the Hispaniola is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms
from 18.5N to 23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure dominates
the remainder of the discussion waters, anchored by a 1024 mb
high centered near 26N53W. The pressure gradient between these
features is supporting moderate to fresh winds, and 6-8 ft seas,
N of 20N between 52W and 70W. Light to gentle winds are in the
vicinity of the high center. A stronger high center, 1029 mb, is
centered near 35N23W. The pressure gradient between this area of
high pressure and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
winds N of the monsoon trough and east of 27W. These winds are
generating rough seas over these waters. Light to gentle winds,
and slight seas, cover the waters W of 70W. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen early this week.
This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across the
regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas through Tue. A weak cold front will stall near 31N through
mid week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through Tue.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 15:47:56 2026

583
AXNT20 KNHC 071547
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Sep 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1547 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has been
relocated based on tropical wave diagnostics and satellite
imagery. The wave is near 34.4W, south of 19N. Isolated showers
are depicted from 04.5N to 07.5N between 34W and 38W.

The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 47W, south
of 18N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 05N to 10N between 46W and 50W.

The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave has been relocated
based on tropical wave diagnostics and satellite imagery. The wave
axis is near 70W, south of 19N. Scattered moderate convection is
depicted from 12.5N to 17N between 68W and 72W.

More information about the western Caribbean tropical wave can be
found in the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion (TWDEP).

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W, and continues
southwestward to 07N43W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W to 08N58W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N between
38.5W and 43W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A deep layered trough is supporting scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms north of 27N between 86W and 91W. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are depicted across the basin. A
surface trough has moved off the Yucatan peninsula into the SW
Gulf. Scattered showers are noted in the vicinity of the trough. A
weak 1013 mb high is centered near 24N87.5W, producing a weak
pressure gradient. Outside of convection, this weather pattern is
supporting light to gentle winds and slight seas across the
basin.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient.
This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas
over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along about 26N to the
NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trades and
moderate seas over the south-central Caribbean. Mainly moderate E
winds, and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the Caribbean
waters, except for the NW part of the basin where light to gentle
winds prevail.

For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will begin
to tighten today, leading to an increase in areal coverage of
strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through midweek. Rough
seas will develop over these waters with the persistent strong
winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical
wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is along 31N west of 68W. Ahead of this frontal
boundary, scattered moderate convection prevails north of a line
from 23N78W to 31N60W. An upper level trough north of Puerto Rico
and the Hispaniola is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms
from 18.5N to 23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure dominates
the remainder of the discussion waters, anchored by a 1024 mb
high centered near 26N53W. The pressure gradient between these
features is supporting moderate to fresh winds, and 6-8 ft seas,
N of 20N between 52W and 70W. Light to gentle winds are in the
vicinity of the high center. A stronger high center, 1029 mb, is
centered near 35N23W. The pressure gradient between this area of
high pressure and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
winds N of the monsoon trough and east of 27W. These winds are
generating rough seas over these waters. Light to gentle winds,
and slight seas, cover the waters W of 70W. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen early this week.
This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across the
regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas through Tue. A weak cold front will stall near 31N through
mid week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through Tue.

$$
KRV

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 23:06:56 2026

508
AXNT20 KNHC 072306
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 08 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 36W from 03N
to 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 240 nm west of the wave
from 05N to 07N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W. It is
moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
within 240 nm east of the wave from 05N to 08N. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 120 nm west of the wave from 11N to
18N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 71W south
of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are possible under high cloudiness from 12N to
17N between 68W and 72W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86.5W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection
information, please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion (TWDEP)

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
continues southwestward to 13N24W and west-southwestward to
09N40W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N47W. It resumes
near 08N51W to 10N59W. Scattered moderate convection is within
240 nm south of the ITCZ between 40W and 46W. Similar convection
is well to the southeast of the trough from 06N to 10N east of
22W to well inland Africa.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to
just of Key and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are
elsewhere.

Weak high pressure of 1015 mb is centered near 27N93W. Its
associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for
light to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per
latest buoy observations, scatterometer data and as few
satellite altimeter data passes.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
persist across the Gulf basin through the period, producing a
weak pressure gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle
winds and slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse
to fresh with moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula
during the evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving
westward from the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
sustaining fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate
seas over the south- central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades
and moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of
the northwestern portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds
are continuing.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and the lower pressure in northern South America
will begin to tighten tonight, leading to an increase in areal
coverage of strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through
Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough seas
will develop over these waters with the persistent strong winds.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave
into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
of 1014 mb near 31.5N71W southwestward to 30N76W and westward to
inland northern Florida near 30N81W. To the south and southeast
of this frontal boundary, numerous showers and thunderstorms are
occurring northwest and north of a line from 31N61W to 27N70W and
to 23N78W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
trough situated north of Puerto Rico and the Hispaniola continues
to support scattered showers and thunderstorms from 18.5N to
23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb
high center near 27N55W pretty much controls the wind regime
throughout the remainder of the basin. A stronger high center
of 1027 mb is north of the area at 35W24W. A ridge stretches
from this high center southwestward to the 1022 mb high and to
near 25N70W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and
a pair of tropical waves moving through the tropical Atlantic
region is supporting fresh to strong winds north of 11N and east
of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas over these waters.
Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are over the waters west
of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
are present elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
of 1022 mb and ridge will gradually shift northeastward and
strengthen through mid week. This pattern will support moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to
fresh winds south of about 21N Tue night through Thu. A weak cold
front will stall near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters west of 60W through Tue night.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 23:07:00 2026

686
AXNT20 KNHC 072306
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 08 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 36W from 03N
to 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 240 nm west of the wave
from 05N to 07N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W. It is
moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
within 240 nm east of the wave from 05N to 08N. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 120 nm west of the wave from 11N to
18N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 71W south
of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are possible under high cloudiness from 12N to
17N between 68W and 72W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86.5W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection
information, please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion (TWDEP)

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
continues southwestward to 13N24W and west-southwestward to
09N40W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N47W. It resumes
near 08N51W to 10N59W. Scattered moderate convection is within
240 nm south of the ITCZ between 40W and 46W. Similar convection
is well to the southeast of the trough from 06N to 10N east of
22W to well inland Africa.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to
just of Key and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are
elsewhere.

Weak high pressure of 1015 mb is centered near 27N93W. Its
associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for
light to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per
latest buoy observations, scatterometer data and as few
satellite altimeter data passes.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
persist across the Gulf basin through the period, producing a
weak pressure gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle
winds and slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse
to fresh with moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula
during the evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving
westward from the peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
sustaining fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate
seas over the south- central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades
and moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of
the northwestern portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds
are continuing.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and the lower pressure in northern South America
will begin to tighten tonight, leading to an increase in areal
coverage of strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through
Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough seas
will develop over these waters with the persistent strong winds.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave
into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
of 1014 mb near 31.5N71W southwestward to 30N76W and westward to
inland northern Florida near 30N81W. To the south and southeast
of this frontal boundary, numerous showers and thunderstorms are
occurring northwest and north of a line from 31N61W to 27N70W and
to 23N78W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
trough situated north of Puerto Rico and the Hispaniola continues
to support scattered showers and thunderstorms from 18.5N to
23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb
high center near 27N55W pretty much controls the wind regime
throughout the remainder of the basin. A stronger high center
of 1027 mb is north of the area at 35W24W. A ridge stretches
from this high center southwestward to the 1022 mb high and to
near 25N70W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and
a pair of tropical waves moving through the tropical Atlantic
region is supporting fresh to strong winds north of 11N and east
of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas over these waters.
Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are over the waters west
of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
are present elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
of 1022 mb and ridge will gradually shift northeastward and
strengthen through mid week. This pattern will support moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to
fresh winds south of about 21N Tue night through Thu. A weak cold
front will stall near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters west of 60W through Tue night.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Mon Sep 7 23:20:50 2026

982
AXNT20 KNHC 072320
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 08 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 36W from 03N
to 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 240 nm west of the wave
from 05N to 07N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W. It is
moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
within 240 nm east of the wave from 05N to 08N. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 120 nm west of the wave from 11N to
18N.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 71W south
of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are possible under high cloudiness from 12N to
17N between 68W and 72W.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86.5W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection
information, please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion (TWDEP)

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
continues southwestward to 13N24W and west-southwestward to
09N40W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N47W. It resumes
near 08N51W to 10N59W. Scattered moderate convection is within
240 nm south of the ITCZ between 40W and 46W. Similar convection
is well to the southeast of the trough from 06N to 10N east of
22W to well inland Africa.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to just west
of Key West and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere.

Weak high pressure of 1015 mb is centered near 27N93W. Its
associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for
light to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per latest
buoy observations, scatterometer data and a few satellite
altimeter data passes.

For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will persist
across the Gulf through the period, producing a weak pressure
gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight
seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
sustaining fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate
seas over the south- central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades
and moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of
the northwestern portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds
are continuing.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and the lower pressure in northern South America
will begin to tighten tonight, leading to an increase in areal
coverage of strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through
Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough seas
will develop over these waters with the persistent strong winds.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave
into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
of 1014 mb near 31.5N71W southwestward to 30N76W and westward to
inland northern Florida near 30N81W. To the south and southeast
of this frontal boundary, numerous showers and thunderstorms are
occurring northwest and north of a line from 31N61W to 27N70W and
to 23N78W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
trough situated north of Puerto Rico and the Hispaniola continues
to support scattered showers and thunderstorms from 18.5N to
23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb
high center near 27N55W pretty much controls the wind regime
throughout the remainder of the basin. A stronger high center
of 1027 mb is north of the area at 35W24W. A ridge stretches
from this high center southwestward to the 1022 mb high and to
near 25N70W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and
a pair of tropical waves moving through the tropical Atlantic
region is supporting fresh to strong winds north of 11N and east
of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas over these waters.
Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are over the waters west
of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
are present elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
of 1022 mb and ridge will gradually shift northeastward and
strengthen through mid week. This pattern will support moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to
fresh winds south of about 21N Tue night through Thu. A weak cold
front will stall near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters west of 60W through Tue night.

$$
Aguirre

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 05:24:58 2026

433
AXNT20 KNHC 080524
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Sep 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 38W from 03N
to 19N, moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is noted at this time.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 51W, moving
westward near 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted at
this time.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 73W, south
of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the wave axis.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 88W south of 19N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection information,
please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion
(TWDEP).

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, and continues
southwestward to 08N30W. The ITCZ continues from that point to
07N37W. It resumes near 07N41W to 06N49W. Scattered showers are
noted along and south of the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate
convection is along the ITCZ between 41W and 49W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to just west
of Key West and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere.

Weak high pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 28N94W. Its
associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for light
to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per latest buoy
observations, scatterometer data and a few satellite altimeter
data passes.

For the forecast, the aforementioned high pressure will persist
across the Gulf basin through the period, producing a weak
pressure gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle winds
and slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
sustaining fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas over
the south-central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades and moderate
are over the rest of basin, with the exception of the northwestern
portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds are continuing.

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and moderate seas over
the south-central Caribbean will increase in areal coverage
through Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough
seas will develop over these waters with the persistent strong
winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical
wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
of 1015 mb near 31N72W southwestward to 30N81W. To the south of
this boundary, a surface trough is analyzed along 79W and S of
29N. Scattered moderate convection prevails near the trough mainly
W of 77W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
trough situated north of Hispaniola continues to support
scattered showers S of 25N between 64W and 70W. A high center of
1028 mb is north of the area at 34W28W. A ridge stretches across
the remainder of the basin. The pressure gradient between the
high pressure and a pair of tropical waves moving through the
tropical Atlantic region is supporting fresh to strong winds north
of 11N and east of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas
over these waters. Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are
over the waters west of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along
with moderate seas are present elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This pattern will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to fresh winds S of 21N
Tue night through Thu. The stationary front will linger near 31N
through mid week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms
will remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through
Tue night.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 05:25:00 2026

434
AXNT20 KNHC 080524
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Sep 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 38W from 03N
to 19N, moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is noted at this time.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 51W, moving
westward near 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted at
this time.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 73W, south
of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the wave axis.

A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 88W south of 19N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection information,
please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion
(TWDEP).

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, and continues
southwestward to 08N30W. The ITCZ continues from that point to
07N37W. It resumes near 07N41W to 06N49W. Scattered showers are
noted along and south of the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate
convection is along the ITCZ between 41W and 49W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to just west
of Key West and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere.

Weak high pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 28N94W. Its
associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for light
to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per latest buoy
observations, scatterometer data and a few satellite altimeter
data passes.

For the forecast, the aforementioned high pressure will persist
across the Gulf basin through the period, producing a weak
pressure gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle winds
and slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the
peninsula each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
sustaining fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas over
the south-central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades and moderate
are over the rest of basin, with the exception of the northwestern
portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds are continuing.

For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and moderate seas over
the south-central Caribbean will increase in areal coverage
through Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough
seas will develop over these waters with the persistent strong
winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical
wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
of 1015 mb near 31N72W southwestward to 30N81W. To the south of
this boundary, a surface trough is analyzed along 79W and S of
29N. Scattered moderate convection prevails near the trough mainly
W of 77W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
trough situated north of Hispaniola continues to support
scattered showers S of 25N between 64W and 70W. A high center of
1028 mb is north of the area at 34W28W. A ridge stretches across
the remainder of the basin. The pressure gradient between the
high pressure and a pair of tropical waves moving through the
tropical Atlantic region is supporting fresh to strong winds north
of 11N and east of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas
over these waters. Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are
over the waters west of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along
with moderate seas are present elsewhere.

For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This pattern will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to fresh winds S of 21N
Tue night through Thu. The stationary front will linger near 31N
through mid week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms
will remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through
Tue night.

$$
ERA

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 08:34:20 2026

697
AXNT20 KNHC 080834
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Sep 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W from 03N
to 19N, moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N between
43W and 48W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 56W, moving
westward near 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 11N to 17N between 52W and 57W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 78W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the wave axis S of 12N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W, and continues
southwestward to 09N27W. The ITCZ continues from 09N27W to
07N40W. It resumes near 07N41W to 06N49W. Scattered showers are
noted along and south of the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 14N between
14W and 20W, and from 05N to 08N between 26N and 32W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends across the eastern waters from central
Florida to Mississippi. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are in
the vicinity of the front. A surface trough has moved westward off
the Yucatan peninsula into the SW Gulf. Gentle to moderate winds
are in the vicinity of the trough. Light to gentle winds are over
the SE Gulf. Gentle winds and slight seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient.
This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas
over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
trades along with moderate seas over the south- central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate are over the rest of basin,
with the exception of the northwestern waters, where light to
gentle winds are noted.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to
near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly
through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters with the
persistent strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will
accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters
early Wed through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N69W to central Florida.
Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of the front.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1027 mb high centered near 33N31W. Fresh to strong
winds are noted N of 20N and E of 30W. Moderate to fresh winds
prevail S of 22N and E of 60W. Gentle to moderate winds generally
prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 7-9 ft range from 15N to 28N
and E of 45W. Mainly moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This pattern will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas today, then moderate to fresh winds S of 21N tonight
through Thu. A stationary front will linger near 31N through mid
week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through
tonight.

$$
AL

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 08:34:22 2026

636
AXNT20 KNHC 080833
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Sep 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W from 03N
to 19N, moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N between
43W and 48W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 56W, moving
westward near 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 11N to 17N between 52W and 57W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 78W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the wave axis S of 12N.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W, and continues
southwestward to 09N27W. The ITCZ continues from 09N27W to
07N40W. It resumes near 07N41W to 06N49W. Scattered showers are
noted along and south of the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 14N between
14W and 20W, and from 05N to 08N between 26N and 32W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends across the eastern waters from central
Florida to Mississippi. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are in
the vicinity of the front. A surface trough has moved westward off
the Yucatan peninsula into the SW Gulf. Gentle to moderate winds
are in the vicinity of the trough. Light to gentle winds are over
the SE Gulf. Gentle winds and slight seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient.
This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas
over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula
each night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
trades along with moderate seas over the south- central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate are over the rest of basin,
with the exception of the northwestern waters, where light to
gentle winds are noted.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to
near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly
through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters with the
persistent strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will
accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters
early Wed through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N69W to central Florida.
Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of the front.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1027 mb high centered near 33N31W. Fresh to strong
winds are noted N of 20N and E of 30W. Moderate to fresh winds
prevail S of 22N and E of 60W. Gentle to moderate winds generally
prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 7-9 ft range from 15N to 28N
and E of 45W. Mainly moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This pattern will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas today, then moderate to fresh winds S of 21N tonight
through Thu. A stationary front will linger near 31N through mid
week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through
tonight.

$$
AL

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 17:40:28 2026

606
AXNT20 KNHC 081740
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Sep 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W from 02N
to 18N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 15N between
44W and 53W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 58W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 07N to 19N between 53W and 60W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 79W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted S of 12N between 80W and 84W, likely enhanced
by the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and continues
southwestward to 10N28W. The ITCZ continues from 10N28W to
08N35W to 10N44W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is seen from 07N to 15N and E of 22W. Scattered
moderate convection is also seen from 05N to 10N between 25W and
34W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends across the eastern waters from central
FL to south-central LA. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms
are in the vicinity of the front. A surface trough has moved
westward off the Yucatan Peninsula into the SW Gulf. Gentle to
moderate winds are in the vicinity of the trough. Light to gentle
winds are over the SE Gulf. Gentle winds and slight seas are noted
elsewhere.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient.
This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas
over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
trades along with moderate seas over the south- central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate are over the rest of basin,
with the exception of the northwestern waters, where light to
gentle winds are noted.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to
near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly
through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters with the
persistent strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will
accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters
early Wed through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N70W to central Florida. A
pre-frontal trough also extends from just north of Hispaniola to
near 32N58W. Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of
the front and trough. Convergent surface winds are also supporting
scattered moderate convection near the SW Bahamas and FL Straits.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1028 mb high centered near 32N34W. Fresh to strong
winds are noted N of 20N and E of 30W. Moderate to fresh winds
prevail S of 22N and E of 60W, with fresh to locally strong winds
occurring near the Tropical Wave analyzed near 47W. Gentle to
moderate winds generally prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 7-9 ft
range from 14N to 28N between 21W and 55W. Mainly moderate seas
dominate the remainder of the discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This pattern will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas today, then moderate to fresh winds S of 21N tonight
through Thu. A stationary front will linger near 31N through mid
week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through
tonight.

$$
Adams

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 17:40:30 2026

605
AXNT20 KNHC 081740
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Sep 8 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W from 02N
to 18N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 15N between
44W and 53W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 58W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 07N to 19N between 53W and 60W.

A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 79W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted S of 12N between 80W and 84W, likely enhanced
by the Eastern Pacific monsoon trough.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W, and continues
southwestward to 10N28W. The ITCZ continues from 10N28W to
08N35W to 10N44W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is seen from 07N to 15N and E of 22W. Scattered
moderate convection is also seen from 05N to 10N between 25W and
34W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A cold front extends across the eastern waters from central
FL to south-central LA. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms
are in the vicinity of the front. A surface trough has moved
westward off the Yucatan Peninsula into the SW Gulf. Gentle to
moderate winds are in the vicinity of the trough. Light to gentle
winds are over the SE Gulf. Gentle winds and slight seas are noted
elsewhere.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
basin through the period, producing a weak pressure gradient.
This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas
over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
trades along with moderate seas over the south- central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate are over the rest of basin,
with the exception of the northwestern waters, where light to
gentle winds are noted.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to
near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly
through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters with the
persistent strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will
accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters
early Wed through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from near 31N70W to central Florida. A
pre-frontal trough also extends from just north of Hispaniola to
near 32N58W. Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of
the front and trough. Convergent surface winds are also supporting
scattered moderate convection near the SW Bahamas and FL Straits.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 20N,
anchored by a 1028 mb high centered near 32N34W. Fresh to strong
winds are noted N of 20N and E of 30W. Moderate to fresh winds
prevail S of 22N and E of 60W, with fresh to locally strong winds
occurring near the Tropical Wave analyzed near 47W. Gentle to
moderate winds generally prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 7-9 ft
range from 14N to 28N between 21W and 55W. Mainly moderate seas
dominate the remainder of the discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This pattern will support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas today, then moderate to fresh winds S of 21N tonight
through Thu. A stationary front will linger near 31N through mid
week before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will
remain active across these northern waters W of 60W through
tonight.

$$
Adams

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Tue Sep 8 22:45:44 2026

263
AXNT20 KNHC 082245
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave along 17W north of 03N is moving into the eastern
Atlantic at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident
from 10N to 15N between 17W and 22W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 49W from 02N
to 18N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 16N between
50W and 55W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 60W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 12N to 15N between 58W and 62W.

A central western tropical wave has its axis near 82W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 17N to 21N between 80W
and 85W.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N16W, and continues
southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ continues from 09N30W to 08N35W
to 10N45W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
seen from 06N to 11N between 30W and 35W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends across the eastern waters from Venice,
Florida to south-central Louisiana. A few showers and thunderstorms
are in the vicinity of the front. A surface trough persists over
the southwest Gulf, northeast of Veracruz. Gentle to moderate
winds are active over the central and west-central Gulf north of
the trough. Light to gentle winds are over the SE Gulf. Gentle
winds and slight seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
through the weekend, producing a weak pressure gradient. This
will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over
much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper low is centered between Panama and Jamaica, supporting
clusters of showers and thunderstorms over the northwest Caribbean
between Cuba and Belize. The pressure gradient between high
pressure over the western Atlantic and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of the
northwestern waters, where light to gentle winds are noted.

For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally
to near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing
modestly through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters
with the persistent strong winds. Fresh to locally strong winds
will pulse tonight in the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large
easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N
Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from Bermuda to Fort Pierce Florida. A
pre-frontal trough also extends from 31N63W to the Windward
Passage. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are active along the
trough from 25N to 30N. The subtropical ridge dominates the
remainder of the basin, anchored by 1027 mb high pressure near
31N38W, and extending westward through the northwest Bahamas.
This pattern is supporting gentle breezes and 3-5 ft seas along
the ridge axis through the Bahamas, and moderate to fresh NE winds
and 6-9 ft seas south of the ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will gradually shift
northeastward and strengthen through mid week. This will cause
winds to increase slightly S of 21N through Thu. A stationary
front will linger near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters W of 60W through tonight.

$$
Christensen

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 9 04:42:42 2026

039
AXNT20 KNHC 090442
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Sep 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave along 19W north of 03N is moving into the eastern
Atlantic at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident
from 05N to 17N and E of 24W.

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 51W from 02N
to 18N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers
are noted along the wave axis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 61W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 10N to 16N between 58W and 64W.

A central western tropical wave has its axis near 83W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the northern half of the wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, and continues
southwestward to 10N32W. The ITCZ continues from 10N32W to 08N48W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted within 200 nm on
either side of the boundaries and E of 38W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends across the eastern waters from Venice,
Florida to south-central Louisiana. Scattered showers are in the
vicinity of the front. Gentle to moderate winds are active over
the central and west-central Gulf north of the trough. Light to
gentle winds are over the SE Gulf. Gentle winds and slight seas
are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
through the weekend, producing a weak pressure gradient. This
will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over
much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

An upper-level low is centered between Panama and Jamaica,
supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms over the
northwest Caribbean between Cuba and Belize. The pressure gradient
between high pressure over the western Atlantic and the Colombian
low is supporting fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas
over the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of the
northwestern waters, where light to gentle winds are noted.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the
Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to near-gale
force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri.
Rough seas will prevail over these waters with the persistent
strong winds. Fresh to strong winds will pulse tonight in the
Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany
a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed
through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from Bermuda to Fort Pierce Florida. A
pre-frontal trough extends from 29N61W to 20N72W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are active along the trough N of 25N
between 53W-66W. The subtropical ridge dominates the remainder of
the basin, anchored by 1027 mb high pressure near 34N33W, and
extending westward through the northwest Bahamas. This pattern is
supporting gentle breezes and 3-5 ft seas along the ridge axis
through the Bahamas, and moderate to fresh NE winds and 6-9 ft
seas south of the ridge.

For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will gradually shift
northeastward and strengthen through mid week. This will cause
winds to increase slightly S of 21N through Thu. The stationary
front will linger near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters W of 60W through tonight.

$$
ERA

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 9 08:31:02 2026

220
AXNT20 KNHC 090830
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Sep 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis near 20W north of 03N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 10N to 17N and E of 23W.

A tropical wave has its axis near 53W from 02N to 18N, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted along
the wave axis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 64W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 10N to 16N between 60W and 64W.

A central western tropical wave has its axis near 84W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is noted with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W, and continues
southwestward to 10N32W. The ITCZ continues from 10N32W to
09N51W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section
above, scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted
from 05N to 10N between 33W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends across the eastern waters. Scattered
showers are in the vicinity of the front. Gentle to moderate winds
are noted over the SW Gulf as well as south of the Florida
panhandle. Light too gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas
dominate the Gulf waters.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
through the weekend, producing a weak pressure gradient. This
will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over
much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Strong to near gale force winds, and rough seas, prevail over the
south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate
seas cover the remainder of the Caribbean waters, except for light
to gentle winds in the lee of Cuba.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the
Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to near-gale
force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri.
Rough seas will prevail over these waters with the persistent
strong winds. Fresh to strong winds will pulse tonight in the
Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany
a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed
through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N62W to central Florida.
Moderate winds are found N of the front. A surface trough extends
from 29N61W to E Cuba. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted N of 27N within 180 nm E of the trough. Light
to gentle winds are elsewhere N of 25N and W of 60W. The remainder
of the waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1025
mb high centered near 31N45W. Light to gentle winds are over the
waters S of the monsoon trough and E of 30W. Moderate to fresh
winds dominate the remainder of the discussion waters. Moderate to
rough seas prevail E of 40W, and S of 20N between 40W and 61W.
Moderate winds are elsewhere over the discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This will cause winds to increase slightly S of 21N through
Thu. A stationary front will linger over the NW waters through mid
week before lifting northward.

$$
AL

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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

From COD Weather Processor @1:2320/107 to All on Wed Sep 9 08:31:08 2026

219
AXNT20 KNHC 090830
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Sep 9 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis near 20W north of 03N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 10N to 17N and E of 23W.

A tropical wave has its axis near 53W from 02N to 18N, moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted along
the wave axis.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 64W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 10N to 16N between 60W and 64W.

A central western tropical wave has its axis near 84W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is noted with this wave.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W, and continues
southwestward to 10N32W. The ITCZ continues from 10N32W to
09N51W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section
above, scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted
from 05N to 10N between 33W and 40W.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A stationary front extends across the eastern waters. Scattered
showers are in the vicinity of the front. Gentle to moderate winds
are noted over the SW Gulf as well as south of the Florida
panhandle. Light too gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas
dominate the Gulf waters.

For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
through the weekend, producing a weak pressure gradient. This
will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over
much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Strong to near gale force winds, and rough seas, prevail over the
south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate
seas cover the remainder of the Caribbean waters, except for light
to gentle winds in the lee of Cuba.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the
Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to near-gale
force, through Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri.
Rough seas will prevail over these waters with the persistent
strong winds. Fresh to strong winds will pulse tonight in the
Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany
a tropical wave into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed
through Thu morning.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A stationary front extends from 31N62W to central Florida.
Moderate winds are found N of the front. A surface trough extends
from 29N61W to E Cuba. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted N of 27N within 180 nm E of the trough. Light
to gentle winds are elsewhere N of 25N and W of 60W. The remainder
of the waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1025
mb high centered near 31N45W. Light to gentle winds are over the
waters S of the monsoon trough and E of 30W. Moderate to fresh
winds dominate the remainder of the discussion waters. Moderate to
rough seas prevail E of 40W, and S of 20N between 40W and 61W.
Moderate winds are elsewhere over the discussion waters.

For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extending from
the central Atlantic westward along about 26N to the NW Bahamas
will gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through mid
week. This will cause winds to increase slightly S of 21N through
Thu. A stationary front will linger over the NW waters through mid
week before lifting northward.

$$
AL

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--- scorpsmtpd
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * KY, USA (1:2320/107)

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